Boston Bruins at Carolina Hurricanes
Recap
written from the game dataThe Carolina Hurricanes beat the Boston Bruins 3-2. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Seth Jarvis's goal at 19:41 of the third period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 52% to 99%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 2.9 to 2.4; shots on goal were BOS 34, CAR 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Joonas Korpisalo stopped 20 of 23 (.870), 0.6 goals below expected; Pyotr Kochetkov stopped 32 of 34 (.941), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Seth Jarvis (1 G), 2. Sebastian Aho (1 G), 3. Pyotr Kochetkov (32 saves, .941).
Three stars
- ★S. Jarvis1 G

- ★★S. Aho1 G

- ★★★P. Kochetkov32 saves, .941

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals1st period
0-16:29
1-118:55
2nd period
1-22:06
3rd period
2-21:14
2-319:41
Penalties
1st
- 2:34
Brandon Carlo · Trippingdrawn by Andrei Svechnikov2 min
- 5:44
Mikko Rantanen · Hookingdrawn by Ian Mitchell2 min
- 10:21
Andrei Svechnikov · Trippingdrawn by Charlie Coyle2 min
2nd
- 5:39
Mark Kastelic · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- 17:26
Matthew Poitras · Trippingdrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Seth Jarvis, 3rd 19:41 — 52% → 99%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.92 G
- All situations
- 3 G2.4
- 2.62 G
- Even strength
- 2 G1.8
- 0.20 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.3
- 0.10 G
- Shorthanded
- 1 G0.2
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.84 – 2.39
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 34
- Shots on goal
- 23
- 61%
- Faceoffs
- 39%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 0/3
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 25
- Hits
- 13
- 12
- Blocked shots
- 13
- 10
- Giveaways
- 17
- 2
- Takeaways
- 6
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















