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Predators at Blue Jackets
NHL

Nashville Predators at Columbus Blue Jackets

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
4
Columbus Blue Jackets
▸8
FinalTV FDSNSO, FDSNOH·Nationwide Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Columbus Blue Jackets beat the Nashville Predators 8-4. The Blue Jackets scored first and never trailed. The Blue Jackets led 7-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Adam Fantilli's goal at 12:00 of the second period, which took the Blue Jackets' chances from 72% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Blue Jackets, 4.1 to 2.7; shots on goal were NSH 28, CBJ 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blue Jackets win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Juuse Saros stopped 19 of 26 (.731), 3.9 goals below expected; Elvis Merzlikins stopped 24 of 28 (.857), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Kirill Marchenko (3 G, 1 A), 2. Sean Monahan (2 G, 2 A), 3. Adam Fantilli (2 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CBJ
    K. Marchenko3 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CBJ
    S. Monahan2 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    CBJ
    A. Fantilli2 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH1132718428
CBJCBJ313413111837

Scoring

12 goals

1st period

  1. CBJ
    K. Marchenko(29)
    Z. Werenski (53)
    snapxG 0.19win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    1:15
  2. CBJ
    A. Fantilli(23)
    D. Mateychuk (7), K. Johnson (25)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    16:34
  3. CBJ
    S. Monahan(15)PPG
    K. Johnson (26), Z. Werenski (54)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +8 ptsVideo
    0-3
    18:10
  4. NSH
    F. Forsberg(29)
    L. Evangelista (17), R. O'Reilly (28)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-3
    18:34

2nd period

  1. CBJ
    K. Marchenko(30)
    S. Monahan (31)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-4
    4:12
  2. NSH
    M. Bunting(17)
    F. Svechkov (8), L. Evangelista (18)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +9 pts
    2-4
    5:43
  3. NSH
    J. Barron(5)
    J. Vrana (5)
    slapxG 0.09win prob +15 pts
    3-4
    6:26
  4. CBJ
    A. Fantilli(24)
    B. Jenner (11)
    wristxG 0.22win prob +16 ptsVideo
    3-5
    12:00
  5. CBJ
    S. Monahan(16)PPG
    K. Marchenko (39), B. Jenner (12)
    wristxG 0.43win prob +6 ptsVideo
    3-6
    16:47
  6. CBJ
    D. Fabbro(7)
    A. Fantilli (23), K. Johnson (27)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +2 ptsVideo
    3-7
    19:41

3rd period

  1. CBJ
    K. Marchenko(31)
    S. Monahan (32), D. Fabbro (15)
    slapxG 0.13Video
    3-8
    5:23
  2. NSH
    J. Oesterle(2)
    C. Smith (8), M. McCarron (9)
    slapxG 0.05
    4-8
    9:02

Penalties

NSH 19 PIM·CBJ 17 PIM

1st

  • 17:10NSHAndreas Englund · Holding the stickdrawn by Kirill Marchenko2 min

2nd

  • 15:10NSHFilip Forsberg · Slashingdrawn by Erik Gudbranson2 min
  • 20:00CBJDamon Severson · Hookingdrawn by Cole Smith2 min

3rd

  • 1:04NSHLuke Evangelista · Trippingdrawn by Sean Monahan2 min
  • 6:23CBJSean Kuraly · High stickingdrawn by Justin Barron2 min
  • 11:04CBJIvan Provorov · Interferencedrawn by Nick Blankenburg2 min
  • 14:27NSHMichael Bunting · Roughingdrawn by Ivan Provorov2 min
  • 14:27NSHMichael Bunting · Roughingdrawn by Ivan Provorov2 min
  • 14:27CBJIvan Provorov · Roughingdrawn by Michael Bunting2 min
  • 16:40CBJDamon Severson · Trippingdrawn by Filip Forsberg2 min
  • 17:23NSHFedor Svechkov · Hookingdrawn by Justin Danforth2 min
  • 18:34CBJIvan Provorov · Holdingdrawn by Filip Forsberg2 min
  • 18:34NSHRyan O'Reilly · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Ivan Provorov2 min
  • 18:34NSHRyan O'Reilly · Fightingdrawn by Ivan Provorov5 min
  • 18:34CBJIvan Provorov · Fightingdrawn by Ryan O'Reilly5 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CBJ goalNSH goalFinal: CBJ 100%

Biggest swing: Adam Fantilli, 2nd 12:00 — CBJ 72% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Monahan · Goal · xG 0.43A. Fantilli · Goal · xG 0.22K. Marchenko · Goal · xG 0.20K. Marchenko · Goal · xG 0.19J. Danforth · Missed · xG 0.18D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.17Z. Aston-Reese · Missed · xG 0.15Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.15Z. Aston-Reese · Missed · xG 0.14K. Marchenko · Goal · xG 0.13L. Kunin · Missed · xG 0.13S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.12K. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.12A. Fantilli · Goal · xG 0.11S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.10B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.10S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.10Z. Aston-Reese · On goal · xG 0.09Z. Aston-Reese · On goal · xG 0.09K. Marchenko · On goal · xG 0.08K. Marchenko · On goal · xG 0.08S. Monahan · Goal · xG 0.08L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.08J. Danforth · On goal · xG 0.07S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.07D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.07D. Voronkov · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Aston-Reese · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Werenski · Missed · xG 0.05K. Marchenko · On goal · xG 0.05M. Olivier · Missed · xG 0.04C. Sillinger · Missed · xG 0.03J. Danforth · On goal · xG 0.03D. Fabbro · Goal · xG 0.03Z. Werenski · Missed · xG 0.03L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.03S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.02S. Monahan · Missed · xG 0.02C. Sillinger · On goal · xG 0.02E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.02D. Mateychuk · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.01A. Fantilli · On goal · xG 0.01S. Kuraly · Missed · xG 0.01C. Sillinger · On goal · xG 0.01E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.00
CBJ8 G · 4.1 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsCBJ
2.74 G
All situations
8 G4.1
2.14 G
Even strength
6 G2.9
0.60 G
Power play
2 G1.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH29%71%CBJ

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.68 – 4.02

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsCBJ
28
Shots on goal
37
43%
Faceoffs
57%
0/4
Power play
2/5
19
Penalty minutes
17
10
Hits
22
14
Blocked shots
12
11
Giveaways
12
2
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
76B. SkjeiD000010.02010—20:17
90R. O'ReillyC011010.310275019:44
20J. BarronD101030.15120—19:44
9F. ForsbergL101-240.23002—18:49
47M. McCarronC011+200.002005218:03
37N. BlankenburgD000000.12020—17:53
40F. SvechkovC011-120.200023317:17
7M. Del GaizoD000-130.06010—17:01
58M. BuntingL101040.33104—16:59
36C. SmithR011010.08000—16:55
91S. StamkosC000-410.390001416:12
77L. EvangelistaR022+130.21012—15:42
68Z. L'HeureuxL000010.02610—15:29
24S. StastneyD000010.11000—14:11
82J. OesterleD101-110.05020—13:11
19J. VranaL011010.140105012:12
8A. EnglundD000-200.00012—11:48
26K. BellowsL000-210.31000—09:56
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74J. Saros(L)26197.7313.06-3.9440:00
29J. Annunen11101.9091.02+0.0220:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).