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Blue Jackets at Predators
NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Columbus Blue Jackets
3
Nashville Predators
▸4
Final/OTTV FDSNSO, FDSNOH·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 4-3 in overtime, Jonathan Marchessault scoring at 1:44. The Predators came back from two goals down. The Blue Jackets led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jonathan Marchessault's goal at 1:44 of overtime, which took the Predators' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 2.7 to 2.2; shots on goal were CBJ 28, NSH 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Daniil Tarasov stopped 29 of 33 (.879), 1.3 goals below expected; Scott Wedgewood stopped 25 of 28 (.893), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jonathan Marchessault (1 G), 2. Alexandre Carrier (1 G), 3. Zachary L'Heureux (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    J. Marchessault1 G
  2. ★★
    NSH
    A. Carrier1 G
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    Z. L'Heureux1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
CBJCBJ082101901328
NSHNSH0611421112433

Scoring

7 goals

2nd period

  1. CBJ
    K. Marchenko(4)
    A. Fantilli (1), J. Johnson (1)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-0
    3:53
  2. CBJ
    Z. Aston-Reese(2)
    M. Olivier (2)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-0
    6:42
  3. NSH
    F. Forsberg(4)
    R. O'Reilly (5)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +14 pts
    2-1
    10:40

3rd period

  1. NSH
    C. Smith(1)
    M. McCarron (1), B. Skjei (2)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +24 ptsVideo
    2-2
    0:26
  2. CBJ
    Z. Werenski(3)
    K. Labanc (4), S. Kuraly (1)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +26 ptsVideo
    3-2
    3:07
  3. NSH
    A. Carrier(1)
    Z. L'Heureux (1)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +27 pts
    3-3
    4:09

Overtime

  1. NSH
    J. Marchessault(2)
    B. Skjei (3)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +49 pts
    3-4
    1:44

Penalties

CBJ 6 PIM·NSH 6 PIM

1st

  • 19:59CBJZach Werenski · Slashingdrawn by Filip Forsberg2 min
  • 19:59NSHFilip Forsberg · Slashingdrawn by Zach Werenski2 min

2nd

  • 0:43CBJKirill Marchenko · Holdingdrawn by Brady Skjei2 min
  • 9:20NSHTommy Novak · Hookingdrawn by Sean Monahan2 min
  • 10:13CBJKirill Marchenko · Hookingdrawn by Jeremy Lauzon2 min
  • 13:11NSHColton Sissons · Cross checkingdrawn by Jordan Harris2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalCBJ goalFinal: NSH 100%

Biggest swing: Jonathan Marchessault, OT 1:44 — NSH 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.16J. Marchessault · Goal · xG 0.13F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.13R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.13L. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.12T. Novak · On goal · xG 0.12S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.12R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.10R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.10B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.09F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.09Z. L'Heureux · Missed · xG 0.08B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.08R. O'Reilly · Missed · xG 0.08F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.08J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.08R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.08C. Smith · Goal · xG 0.07S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.06Z. L'Heureux · Missed · xG 0.05A. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.05F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.05J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.05R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.04F. Forsberg · Goal · xG 0.04R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.04R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.04F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.04F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.03R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.03T. Novak · Missed · xG 0.03F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.03F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.03T. Novak · On goal · xG 0.03F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.02C. Sissons · Missed · xG 0.02Z. L'Heureux · Missed · xG 0.02J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.02A. Carrier · Goal · xG 0.02F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.02R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.02C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01M. McCarron · On goal · xG 0.01R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.01M. McCarron · Missed · xG 0.01M. McCarron · On goal · xG 0.01L. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.01B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.01A. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.00B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.00L. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH4 G · 2.7 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CBJvsNSH
2.23 G
All situations
4 G2.7
1.83 G
Even strength
4 G2.2
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CBJ41%59%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.15 – 2.64

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CBJvsNSH
28
Shots on goal
33
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/2
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
6
25
Hits
39
15
Blocked shots
14
19
Giveaways
18
6
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8Z. WerenskiD101+140.30222—27:46
9I. ProvorovD000000.00020—24:38
78D. SeversonD000-300.12120—20:43
2J. ChristiansenD000-120.06110—19:36
86K. MarchenkoR101-130.21004—19:30
4C. SillingerC000020.200006718:13
23S. MonahanC000-130.090005718:01
59E. ChinakhovR000-110.01300—17:16
19A. FantilliC011-160.701203316:32
17J. DanforthR000000.003006316:08
27Z. Aston-ReeseL101030.19400—15:32
3J. JohnsonD011+100.00100—14:03
24M. OlivierR011+100.00310—13:47
22J. HarrisD000+100.00430—13:16
82M. PyyhtiaL000-130.25010—13:12
7S. KuralyC011+100.011106011:39
62K. LabancR011+110.03100—11:10
21J. van RiemsdykL000+100.00000—08:47
Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40D. Tarasov(O)33294.8792.67-1.3361:07

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).