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Utah Hockey Club at Lightning
NHL

Utah Mammoth at Tampa Bay Lightning

FinalTV FDSNSUN, Utah16·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Utah Mammoth 8-0. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 6-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Victor Hedman's goal at 4:20 of the first period, which took the Lightning's chances from 66% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 2.8 to 1.7; shots on goal were UTA 25, TBL 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Jaxson Stauber stopped 6 of 10 (.600), 2.7 goals below expected; Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 25 of 25 (1.000), 1.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Ryan McDonagh (2 A), 2. Nikita Kucherov (1 G, 3 A), 3. Andrei Vasilevskiy (25 saves, 1.000).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    R. McDonagh2 A
  2. ★★
    TBL
    N. Kucherov1 G, 3 A
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    A. Vasilevskiy25 saves, 1.000

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
UTAUTA0508012025
TBLTBL2841024822

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    backhandxG 0.24win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    1:30
  2. TBL
    J. Moser (11), B. Hagel (47)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    4:20

2nd period

  1. TBL
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-3
    5:05
  2. TBL
    B. Point (35), D. Raddysh (29)
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +4 ptsVideo
    0-4
    9:14
  3. TBL
    wristxG 0.10Video
    0-5
    17:54
  4. TBL
    snapxG 0.13Video
    0-6
    19:36

3rd period

  1. TBL
    batxG 0.22Video
    0-7
    8:59
  2. TBL
    snapxG 0.04Video
    0-8
    14:54

Penalties

UTA 9 PIM·TBL 9 PIM

1st

  • 8:47UTALogan Cooley · Interferencedrawn by Erik Cernak2 min
  • 11:34TBLErik Cernak · Fightingdrawn by Michael Kesselring5 min
  • 11:34UTAMichael Kesselring · Fightingdrawn by Erik Cernak5 min

2nd

  • 2:16TBLErik Cernak · Holdingdrawn by Alexander Kerfoot2 min
  • 17:48UTAIan Cole · Slashingdrawn by Nikita Kucherov2 min

3rd

  • 9:47TBLGage Goncalves · Holdingdrawn by Kevin Stenlund2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalUTA goalFinal: TBL 100%

Biggest swing: Victor Hedman, 1st 4:20 — TBL 66% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
Y. Gourde · Missed · xG 0.27N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.26J. Guentzel · Goal · xG 0.24B. Point · Goal · xG 0.22J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.21N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.15D. Raddysh · Missed · xG 0.14O. Bjorkstrand · Goal · xG 0.13B. Point · On goal · xG 0.13Z. Girgensons · On goal · xG 0.12J. Guentzel · Goal · xG 0.10N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.10A. Cirelli · Missed · xG 0.08Y. Gourde · Missed · xG 0.08G. Goncalves · Goal · xG 0.07J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.06N. Paul · Missed · xG 0.05V. Hedman · Goal · xG 0.05N. Kucherov · Goal · xG 0.04N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.04G. Goncalves · Missed · xG 0.04O. Bjorkstrand · Goal · xG 0.04J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.04N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.02R. McDonagh · Missed · xG 0.02J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.02G. Goncalves · On goal · xG 0.02G. Goncalves · Missed · xG 0.01N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.01O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.01Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.01J. Moser · Missed · xG 0.01V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.01R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.00E. Lilleberg · On goal · xG 0.00
TBL8 G · 2.8 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

UTAvsTBL
1.70 G
All situations
8 G2.8
1.50 G
Even strength
7 G2.6
0.20 G
Power play
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 70 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
UTA29%71%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.70 – 2.79

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

UTAvsTBL
25
Shots on goal
22
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/2
Power play
1/2
9
Penalty minutes
9
23
Hits
11
9
Blocked shots
23
14
Giveaways
17
4
Takeaways
1

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
98M. SergachevD000-400.01310—22:53
9C. KellerR000-220.08000—19:49
6J. MarinoD000-320.07010—19:40
92L. CooleyC000-220.171025519:34
50S. DurziD000-230.09010—19:15
8N. SchmaltzC000-120.171205019:10
2O. MaattaD000000.00000—18:49
28I. ColeD000-200.02202—18:44
7M. KesselringD000-320.07105—16:49
11D. GuentherR000-320.12120—15:34
27B. HaytonC000-220.151005515:10
15A. KerfootC000-310.0110010014:19
91J. DoanR000-120.090105014:11
22J. McBainC000-110.175002914:05
82K. StenlundC000-210.090104513:09
53M. CarconeL000-110.05200—12:48
67L. CrouseL000-120.35300—12:37
17N. BjugstadC000-200.00200011:18
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33J. Stauber1064.6001.33-2.6730:46
70K. Vejmelka(L)1284.6671.49-2.5129:14

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).