Utah Mammoth at Tampa Bay Lightning
Recap
written from the game dataThe Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Utah Mammoth 8-0. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 6-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Victor Hedman's goal at 4:20 of the first period, which took the Lightning's chances from 66% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 2.8 to 1.7; shots on goal were UTA 25, TBL 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Jaxson Stauber stopped 6 of 10 (.600), 2.7 goals below expected; Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 25 of 25 (1.000), 1.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Ryan McDonagh (2 A), 2. Nikita Kucherov (1 G, 3 A), 3. Andrei Vasilevskiy (25 saves, 1.000).
Three stars
- ★R. McDonagh2 A

- ★★N. Kucherov1 G, 3 A

- ★★★A. Vasilevskiy25 saves, 1.000

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
8 goals1st period
0-11:30
0-24:20
2nd period
0-35:05
0-49:14
0-517:54
0-619:36
3rd period
0-78:59
0-814:54
Penalties
1st
- 8:47
Logan Cooley · Interferencedrawn by Erik Cernak2 min
- 11:34
Erik Cernak · Fightingdrawn by Michael Kesselring5 min
- 11:34
Michael Kesselring · Fightingdrawn by Erik Cernak5 min
2nd
- 2:16
Erik Cernak · Holdingdrawn by Alexander Kerfoot2 min
- 17:48
Ian Cole · Slashingdrawn by Nikita Kucherov2 min
3rd
- 9:47
Gage Goncalves · Holdingdrawn by Kevin Stenlund2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Victor Hedman, 1st 4:20 — 66% → 79%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.70 G
- All situations
- 8 G2.8
- 1.50 G
- Even strength
- 7 G2.6
- 0.20 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.2
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 70 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.70 – 2.79
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 25
- Shots on goal
- 22
- 48%
- Faceoffs
- 52%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 1/2
- 9
- Penalty minutes
- 9
- 23
- Hits
- 11
- 9
- Blocked shots
- 23
- 14
- Giveaways
- 17
- 4
- Takeaways
- 1
Box score
every player line
Season series
Tied 1-1
4@
6Final
0@
8this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















