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Lightning at Utah Hockey Club
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at Utah Mammoth

NHL scoreboard
Tampa Bay Lightning
4
Utah Mammoth
▸6
FinalTV FDSNSUN, Utah16·Delta Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 6-4. The Utah Hockey Club scored first and never trailed. The Utah Hockey Club led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Logan Cooley's goal at 17:53 of the second period, which took the Utah Hockey Club's chances from 53% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Utah Hockey Club, 4.3 to 2.9; shots on goal were TBL 27, UTA 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Brandon Halverson stopped 19 of 24 (.792), 2.1 goals below expected; Karel Vejmelka stopped 23 of 27 (.852), 1.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Logan Cooley (2 G, 1 A), 2. Nick Schmaltz (1 G, 2 A), 3. Alexander Kerfoot (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    UTA
    L. Cooley2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    UTA
    N. Schmaltz1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    UTA
    A. Kerfoot2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TBLTBL1621318427
UTAUTA292729625

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. UTA
    J. Doan(5)
    J. McBain (10), L. Crouse (5)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    6:42
  2. UTA
    L. Cooley(20)
    M. Kesselring (20), N. Schmaltz (39)
    snapxG 0.30win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    17:42
  3. TBL
    B. Point(33)PPG
    J. Guentzel (32), O. Bjorkstrand (22)
    snapxG 0.26win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-2
    18:49

2nd period

  1. TBL
    A. Cirelli(24)
    B. Hagel (44), N. Kucherov (68)
    slapxG 0.12win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-2
    5:22
  2. UTA
    A. Kerfoot(9)
    K. Stenlund (9), J. Marino (9)
    tip-inxG 0.16win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-3
    5:58
  3. TBL
    J. Guentzel(34)
    N. Perbix (11), Y. Gourde (17)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +22 ptsVideo
    3-3
    17:23
  4. UTA
    L. Cooley(21)
    J. Marino (10), N. Schmaltz (40)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +22 ptsVideo
    3-4
    17:53

3rd period

  1. UTA
    N. Schmaltz(17)
    L. Cooley (32), C. Keller (53)
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +15 ptsVideo
    3-5
    1:10
  2. TBL
    B. Point(34)
    R. McDonagh (21), J. Guentzel (33)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +14 ptsVideo
    4-5
    2:54
  3. UTA
    A. Kerfoot(10)EN
    I. Cole (14)
    snapxG 0.47win prob +6 ptsVideo
    4-6
    19:03

Penalties

TBL 7 PIM·UTA 11 PIM

1st

  • 18:05UTAIan Cole · Trippingdrawn by Nikita Kucherov2 min

2nd

  • 6:12TBLZemgus Girgensons · Interferencedrawn by Michael Kesselring2 min
  • 8:24TBLZemgus Girgensons · Fightingdrawn by Jack McBain5 min
  • 8:24UTAJack McBain · Fightingdrawn by Zemgus Girgensons5 min
  • 13:38UTALogan Cooley · Trippingdrawn by Erik Cernak2 min

3rd

  • 17:51UTAserved by L. Crouse · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
UTA goalTBL goalFinal: UTA 100%

Biggest swing: Logan Cooley, 2nd 17:53 — UTA 53% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.52A. Kerfoot · Goal · xG 0.47K. Stenlund · Missed · xG 0.35L. Cooley · Goal · xG 0.30L. Cooley · On goal · xG 0.27L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.21J. Doan · Goal · xG 0.20A. Kerfoot · Goal · xG 0.16C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.15L. Cooley · On goal · xG 0.14N. Schmaltz · Goal · xG 0.13M. Kesselring · On goal · xG 0.13C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.13J. Doan · Missed · xG 0.13C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.10L. Cooley · Missed · xG 0.10N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.08L. Cooley · Goal · xG 0.07A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.06M. Carcone · Missed · xG 0.06D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.06A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.06L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.06K. Stenlund · On goal · xG 0.05D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.05N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.05A. Kerfoot · Missed · xG 0.04L. Cooley · On goal · xG 0.04K. Stenlund · Missed · xG 0.04D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.02L. Cooley · Missed · xG 0.01M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.01M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.01O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.00O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.00M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.00
UTA6 G · 4.3 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsUTA
2.94 G
All situations
5 G4.3
1.53 G
Even strength
5 G2.7
1.41 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL52%48%UTA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.90 – 2.79

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsUTA
27
Shots on goal
25
48%
Faceoffs
52%
1/3
Power play
0/1
7
Penalty minutes
11
13
Hits
23
13
Blocked shots
23
16
Giveaways
9
1
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
77V. HedmanD000-300.04130—26:02
86N. KucherovR011-160.24000—21:09
59J. GuentzelC123050.450002520:40
43D. RaddyshD000-140.15020—20:35
27R. McDonaghD011020.04010—19:45
38B. HagelL011-210.05000—19:24
71A. CirelliC101-140.400106319:09
21B. PointC202030.641004019:05
81E. CernakD000-100.01200—18:28
20N. PaulL000-110.162105016:28
37Y. GourdeC011-100.061005016:15
22O. BjorkstrandR011-110.34110—16:03
90J. MoserD000+100.00110—16:03
48N. PerbixD011-100.11020—15:16
93G. GoncalvesC000-100.2220010013:07
11L. GlendeningC000-100.000003608:04
28Z. GirgensonsC000-100.00107007:34
41M. ChaffeeR000-100.02110—06:56
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33B. Halverson(L)24195.7922.93-2.0757:57

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).