Skip to content

Seattle Kraken at Edmonton Oilers

FinalTV KHN/Prime, KING 5·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Seattle Kraken 5-4. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jeff Skinner's goal at 12:31 of the second period, which took the Oilers' chances from 53% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Kraken, 3.7 to 3.1; shots on goal were SEA 32, EDM 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kraken win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Joey Daccord stopped 24 of 28 (.857), 1.2 goals below expected; Stuart Skinner stopped 28 of 32 (.875). Three stars: 1. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (3 G), 2. Kaapo Kakko (2 G), 3. Jeff Skinner (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins3 G
  2. ★★
    SEA
    K. Kakko2 G
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    J. Skinner1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SEASEA11119212432
EDMEDM11031019529

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    M. Ekholm (22), D. Nurse (22)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    14:30
  2. SEA
    K. Kakko(12)PPG
    wristxG 0.47win prob +10 ptsVideo
    1-1
    15:49

2nd period

  1. EDM
    snapxG 0.07win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-2
    3:48
  2. SEA
    backhandxG 0.26win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-2
    7:01
  3. EDM
    C. Brown (17), M. Ekholm (23)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +19 ptsVideo
    2-3
    12:31
  4. EDM
    snapxG 0.05win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-4
    18:11

3rd period

  1. SEA
    snapxG 0.04win prob +14 ptsVideo
    3-4
    5:57
  2. EDM
    wristxG 0.38win prob +12 ptsVideo
    3-5
    17:43
  3. SEA
    J. McCann (31), V. Dunn (22)
    tip-inxG 0.36win prob +4 ptsVideo
    4-5
    17:57

Penalties

SEA 10 PIM·EDM 6 PIM

1st

  • 12:38SEAAdam Larsson · Slashingdrawn by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins2 min
  • 15:11EDMBrett Kulak · Interferencedrawn by Jaden Schwartz2 min

2nd

  • 1:44EDMAdam Henrique · Hookingdrawn by Kaapo Kakko2 min
  • 12:48SEAEeli Tolvanen · Hookingdrawn by Darnell Nurse2 min
  • 15:26SEAVince Dunn · High sticking double minordrawn by Zach Hyman4 min

3rd

  • 16:34EDMVasily Podkolzin · High stickingdrawn by Jamie Oleksiak2 min
  • 19:14SEAJared McCann · Trippingdrawn by Mattias Ekholm2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalSEA goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Jeff Skinner, 2nd 12:31 — EDM 53% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Nugent-Hopkins · Goal · xG 0.38C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.22M. Janmark · Missed · xG 0.19M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.17R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.17J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.12C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.12J. Skinner · Goal · xG 0.11M. Jones · Missed · xG 0.11J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.10V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.09R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.09D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.09D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.08J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.08C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.08R. Nugent-Hopkins · Goal · xG 0.07M. Janmark · Missed · xG 0.07M. Jones · Missed · xG 0.06Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.06M. Janmark · Missed · xG 0.06R. Nugent-Hopkins · Goal · xG 0.05R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.05Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.05A. Henrique · Goal · xG 0.05C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.05V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.05R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.04E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.03E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.03B. Kulak · Missed · xG 0.03M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.03M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.03T. Stecher · Missed · xG 0.03B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.02D. Ryan · Missed · xG 0.02T. Stecher · On goal · xG 0.01E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.01V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.01J. Walman · Missed · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.00M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.00D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.00
EDM5 G · 3.1 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SEAvsEDM
3.74 G
All situations
4 G3.1
2.42 G
Even strength
2 G2.2
1.32 G
Power play
2 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SEA61%39%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.41 – 2.76

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SEAvsEDM
32
Shots on goal
29
44%
Faceoffs
56%
2/3
Power play
2/5
10
Penalty minutes
6
18
Hits
13
21
Blocked shots
12
17
Giveaways
14
6
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Seattle Kraken skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
10M. BeniersC011-120.261103523:44
6A. LarssonD000020.03422—22:31
29V. DunnD011-120.13134—21:45
62B. MontourD000-120.05010—20:25
7J. EberleR000-110.0701010019:27
41R. EvansD000+100.02000—18:49
24J. OleksiakD000-120.11110—18:10
84K. KakkoR202-120.77230—17:24
38J. NymanR022-140.30010—17:10
17J. SchwartzL101010.3602010016:56
51S. WrightC000000.292003815:23
28J. MahuraD000000.00120—15:09
19J. McCannL022+120.111024215:07
20E. TolvanenR000+110.09212—14:24
95A. BurakovskyL101+110.04000—11:21
12T. KartyeL000-140.47010—09:54
15J. HaydenC000-120.233108009:22
21M. EyssimontC000-140.40010007:36
Seattle Kraken goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35J. Daccord(L)28244.8572.77-1.2358:00

Season series

EDM leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).