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Oilers at Kraken
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Seattle Kraken

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
▸4
Seattle Kraken
2
FinalTV KHN/Prime, KING 5·Climate Pledge Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Seattle Kraken 4-2. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jaden Schwartz's goal at 7:27 of the third period, which took the Kraken's chances from 7% to 22%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 4.8 to 1.3; shots on goal were EDM 32, SEA 18. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 79% of the time. Calvin Pickard stopped 16 of 18 (.889), 0.7 goals below expected; Philipp Grubauer stopped 28 of 31 (.903). Three stars: 1. Leon Draisaitl (1 G, 1 A), 2. Vasily Podkolzin (1 G), 3. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    V. Podkolzin1 G
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM21011418432
SEASEA041717218

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    V. Podkolzin(4)
    L. Draisaitl (30), V. Arvidsson (6)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    0:57
  2. EDM
    J. Skinner(7)
    K. Kapanen (2), D. Ryan (4)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-0
    5:18

2nd period

  1. EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins(10)
    C. Brown (13), B. Kulak (7)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +10 ptsVideo
    3-0
    11:52
  2. SEA
    C. Stephenson(5)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.08win prob +9 ptsVideo
    3-1
    15:56

3rd period

  1. SEA
    J. Schwartz(13)
    V. Dunn (10), K. Kakko (13)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +16 ptsVideo
    3-2
    7:27
  2. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(29)EN
    V. Arvidsson (7), E. Bouchard (23)
    wristxG 0.94win prob +5 ptsVideo
    4-2
    18:02

Penalties

EDM 4 PIM·SEA 2 PIM

2nd

  • 0:24EDMConnor McDavid · Hookingdrawn by Andre Burakovsky2 min
  • 6:01EDMEvan Bouchard · Hookingdrawn by Jamie Oleksiak2 min
  • 13:53SEATye Kartye · Hookingdrawn by Ty Emberson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SEA goalEDM goalFinal: SEA 0%

Biggest swing: Jaden Schwartz, 3rd 7:27 — SEA 7% → 22%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Wright · Missed · xG 0.24B. Meyers · On goal · xG 0.15J. Schwartz · Goal · xG 0.14J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.09C. Stephenson · Goal · xG 0.08K. Kakko · Missed · xG 0.08T. Kartye · On goal · xG 0.06M. Beniers · On goal · xG 0.04M. Beniers · On goal · xG 0.04J. Mahura · Missed · xG 0.04T. Kartye · On goal · xG 0.04C. Stephenson · Missed · xG 0.04J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.04O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.03A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.03B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.02E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.02A. Burakovsky · Missed · xG 0.02C. Stephenson · Missed · xG 0.02V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.01K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.01V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.01T. Kartye · On goal · xG 0.01E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.01B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.01J. McCann · Missed · xG 0.01J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.00
SEA2 G · 1.3 xG · 27 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsSEA
4.83 G
All situations
2 G1.3
2.23 G
Even strength
2 G1.2
0.70 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM79%21%SEA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.90 – 1.30

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsSEA
32
Shots on goal
18
59%
Faceoffs
41%
0/1
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
7
Hits
23
21
Blocked shots
19
18
Giveaways
16
5
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25D. NurseD000000.02340—25:00
14M. EkholmD000020.15140—24:13
97C. McDavidC000+160.690025722:10
2E. BouchardD011+220.22022—21:01
27B. KulakD011+200.34000—20:40
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC101+120.1302010019:58
28C. BrownR011+110.12010—19:24
29L. DraisaitlC112+141.180107118:06
13M. JanmarkC000040.1702010016:22
19A. HenriqueC000-110.250106415:25
18Z. HymanL000020.34010—15:08
51T. StecherD000010.03000—14:53
49T. EmbersonD000000.00010—13:15
33V. ArvidssonL022+120.14010—12:30
92V. PodkolzinR101+120.73200—11:52
53J. SkinnerL101020.28100—09:22
42K. KapanenR011010.00000—08:51
10D. RyanC011+100.000102007:57
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30C. Pickard(W)18162.8891.30-0.7059:53

Season series

EDM leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).