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Seattle Kraken at Edmonton Oilers

FinalTV KHN/Prime, KONG·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Seattle Kraken 4-2. The Kraken scored first; the Oilers answered. The Oilers led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Corey Perry's goal at 9:38 of the second period, which took the Oilers' chances from 53% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 3.9 to 3.2; shots on goal were SEA 28, EDM 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Joey Daccord stopped 27 of 30 (.900); Calvin Pickard stopped 26 of 28 (.929), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Calvin Pickard (26 saves, .929), 2. Corey Perry (1 G), 3. Mattias Ekholm (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    C. Pickard26 saves, .929
  2. ★★
    EDM
    C. Perry1 G
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    M. Ekholm1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SEASEA2120808228
EDMEDM11221118431

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. SEA
    snapxG 0.44win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    3:37
  2. EDM
    deflectedxG 0.04win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    14:27
  3. SEA
    slapxG 0.08win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-1
    17:41

2nd period

  1. EDM
    snapxG 0.36win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-2
    1:57
  2. EDM
    snapxG 0.19win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-3
    9:38

3rd period

  1. EDM
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.52win prob +2 ptsVideo
    2-4
    19:02

Penalties

SEA 2 PIM·EDM 8 PIM

1st

  • 0:41SEARyker Evans · Trippingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 3:37EDMserved by Z. Hyman · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 18:25EDMRyan Nugent-Hopkins · Cross checkingdrawn by Jared McCann2 min
  • 19:15EDMConnor Brown · Trippingdrawn by Andre Burakovsky2 min

3rd

  • 0:59EDMViktor Arvidsson · Trippingdrawn by Matty Beniers2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalSEA goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Corey Perry, 2nd 9:38 — EDM 53% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Ekholm · Goal · xG 0.52C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.36V. Podkolzin · On goal · xG 0.35C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.23B. Kulak · Missed · xG 0.22C. Perry · Goal · xG 0.19V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.15Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.15L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.14L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.14K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.14L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.11Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.11L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.10Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.09Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.09L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.07Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.07Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.07L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.06V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.06B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.06R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.05M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.05M. Janmark · Goal · xG 0.05K. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.03E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.03M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.03B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.02A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.02R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.02D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.02K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.02N. Philp · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.02L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.02V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.01B. Kulak · Missed · xG 0.01E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.01V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM4 G · 3.9 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SEAvsEDM
3.22 G
All situations
3 G3.9
2.82 G
Even strength
3 G2.9
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SEA47%53%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.13 – 3.32

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SEAvsEDM
28
Shots on goal
31
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/4
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
8
18
Hits
14
15
Blocked shots
11
16
Giveaways
22
1
Takeaways
0

Box score

every player line
Seattle Kraken skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
62B. MontourD000-250.40340—25:21
29V. DunnD101+150.34010—24:15
41R. EvansD000-100.00232—21:33
17J. SchwartzL000030.310006720:24
10M. BeniersC011010.031002920:15
22O. BjorkstrandR000-240.53000—19:12
6A. LarssonD000+100.00110—18:51
9C. StephensonC000-200.260007518:24
84K. KakkoR000000.00100—18:07
19J. McCannL000-200.00000—17:54
51S. WrightC011000.262003815:26
95A. BurakovskyL000-210.15010—14:49
20E. TolvanenR101020.47420—14:20
24J. OleksiakD000-220.04020—12:04
28J. MahuraD000-120.15100—11:37
13B. TanevL000000.00100—10:47
67M. StephensC000000.000006708:42
15J. HaydenC011+130.31210007:23
Seattle Kraken goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35J. Daccord(L)30273.9003.43+0.4358:36

Season series

EDM leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).