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Sabres at Utah Hockey Club
NHL

Buffalo Sabres at Utah Mammoth

NHL scoreboard
Buffalo Sabres
2
Utah Mammoth
▸5
FinalTV Utah16, MSG-B·Delta Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Buffalo Sabres 5-2. The Utah Hockey Club scored first and never trailed. The Utah Hockey Club led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dylan Guenther's goal at 14:13 of the third period, which took the Utah Hockey Club's chances from 52% to 89%. Expected goals favored the Utah Hockey Club, 5.0 to 3.5; shots on goal were BUF 27, UTA 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Utah Hockey Club win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. James Reimer stopped 27 of 30 (.900), 0.7 goals saved above expected; Karel Vejmelka stopped 25 of 27 (.926), 1.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Logan Cooley (1 G), 2. Dylan Guenther (1 G), 3. Mikhail Sergachev (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    UTA
    L. Cooley1 G
  2. ★★
    UTA
    D. Guenther1 G
  3. ★★★
    UTA
    M. Sergachev2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BUFBUF1120817227
UTAUTA110111310531

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. UTA
    L. Cooley(19)
    N. Schmaltz (38), C. Keller (52)
    snapxG 0.25win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-1
    17:27
  2. BUF
    J. Peterka(20)PPG
    J. Zucker (27), T. Thompson (26)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    19:49

2nd period

  1. UTA
    M. Sergachev(12)
    J. McBain (9)
    snapxG 0.02win prob +19 ptsVideo
    1-2
    11:50

3rd period

  1. BUF
    R. McLeod(16)SHG
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +25 ptsVideo
    2-2
    1:32
  2. UTA
    D. Guenther(25)
    B. Hayton (22), M. Carcone (12)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +37 ptsVideo
    2-3
    14:13
  3. UTA
    K. Stenlund(11)
    Unassisted
    xG 0.46win prob +5 ptsVideo
    2-4
    18:50
  4. UTA
    M. Sergachev(13)EN
    K. Vejmelka (1)
    snapxG 0.43Video
    2-5
    19:41

Penalties

BUF 10 PIM·UTA 12 PIM

1st

  • 6:25UTAIan Cole · Holdingdrawn by Rasmus Dahlin2 min
  • 9:29BUFTyson Kozak · Holdingdrawn by Clayton Keller2 min
  • 18:35UTAIan Cole · Cross checkingdrawn by Peyton Krebs2 min

2nd

  • 5:40BUFSam Lafferty · High stickingdrawn by Clayton Keller2 min
  • 7:15UTASean Durzi · Hookingdrawn by Jordan Greenway2 min
  • 18:41UTALogan Cooley · Roughingdrawn by Connor Clifton2 min
  • 18:41BUFConnor Clifton · Roughingdrawn by Logan Cooley2 min
  • 19:54BUFPeyton Krebs · Delaying game face off violation2 min

3rd

  • 9:24BUFPeyton Krebs · Hookingdrawn by Logan Cooley2 min
  • 9:38UTAClayton Keller · Hookingdrawn by Mattias Samuelsson2 min
  • 18:50UTAKevin Stenlund · High stickingdrawn by Bowen Byram2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
UTA goalBUF goalFinal: UTA 100%

Biggest swing: Dylan Guenther, 3rd 14:13 — UTA 52% → 89%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Stenlund · Goal · xG 0.46M. Sergachev · Goal · xG 0.43A. Kerfoot · Missed · xG 0.42L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.41L. Cooley · Goal · xG 0.25N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.20J. Doan · On goal · xG 0.17L. Cooley · On goal · xG 0.15N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.14N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.14I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.13N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.13D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.12S. Durzi · On goal · xG 0.10D. Guenther · Goal · xG 0.10M. Maccelli · Missed · xG 0.10B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.10C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.09K. Stenlund · On goal · xG 0.09L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.09D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.08A. Kerfoot · Missed · xG 0.08D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.08M. Maccelli · On goal · xG 0.08N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.08L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.07K. Stenlund · On goal · xG 0.07A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.06S. Durzi · Missed · xG 0.06M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.06J. McBain · Missed · xG 0.06S. Durzi · On goal · xG 0.05I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.04L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.04B. Hayton · Missed · xG 0.03M. Carcone · Missed · xG 0.03K. Stenlund · Missed · xG 0.02C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.02J. McBain · On goal · xG 0.02O. Maatta · Missed · xG 0.02M. Sergachev · Goal · xG 0.02J. Marino · On goal · xG 0.02O. Maatta · Missed · xG 0.02M. Maccelli · On goal · xG 0.01M. Kesselring · Missed · xG 0.01S. Durzi · On goal · xG 0.01K. Stenlund · Missed · xG 0.01M. Kesselring · Missed · xG 0.01M. Kesselring · Missed · xG 0.01M. Kesselring · Missed · xG 0.01M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.01O. Maatta · Missed · xG 0.01I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.01M. Kesselring · On goal · xG 0.01M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.00
UTA5 G · 5.0 xG · 55 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsUTA
3.52 G
All situations
4 G5.0
2.50 G
Even strength
4 G3.0
0.91 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 100 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF44%56%UTA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.30 – 3.67

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsUTA
27
Shots on goal
31
52%
Faceoffs
48%
1/5
Power play
0/4
10
Penalty minutes
12
24
Hits
18
16
Blocked shots
9
14
Giveaways
11
2
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
26R. DahlinD000-420.16100—24:27
4B. ByramD000-100.05120—23:20
77J. PeterkaR101-360.72010—21:01
72T. ThompsonC011-330.940005620:56
25O. PowerD000-120.01110—20:36
71R. McLeodC101-130.300005620:12
89A. TuchR000-220.682005018:33
23M. SamuelssonD000-120.03120—17:52
17J. ZuckerL011-350.4610010016:32
78J. BrysonD000+100.00200—14:29
12J. GreenwayL000-110.09320—14:09
75C. CliftonD000-100.00232—14:09
48T. KozakC000-100.000424413:33
29B. MalenstynL000000.00300—12:27
81S. LaffertyC000010.014026312:19
19P. KrebsC000000.082045011:21
22J. QuinnR000-100.00010—09:50
57B. MurrayL000-100.00100—05:55
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
47J. Reimer(L)30273.9003.74+0.7458:19

Season series

UTA leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).