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Minnesota Wild at Vancouver Canucks

FinalTV FDSNNOX, FDSNWI·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vancouver Canucks beat the Minnesota Wild 3-1. The Canucks scored first and never trailed. The Canucks led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kiefer Sherwood's goal at 16:15 of the third period, which took the Canucks' chances from 52% to 92%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 3.0 to 2.4; shots on goal were MIN 38, VAN 20. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Filip Gustavsson stopped 17 of 19 (.895); Kevin Lankinen stopped 37 of 38 (.974), 2.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Kevin Lankinen (37 saves, .974), 2. Filip Hronek (2 A), 3. Elias Pettersson (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VAN
    K. Lankinen37 saves, .974
  2. ★★
    VAN
    F. Hronek2 A
  3. ★★★
    VAN
    E. Pettersson1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN010013115138
VANVAN160826320

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    F. Hronek (18), B. Boeser (20)
    slapxG 0.06win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    16:14

3rd period

  1. MIN
    B. Faber(7)PPG
    M. Rossi (31), M. Boldy (33)
    slapxG 0.11win prob +26 ptsVideo
    1-1
    7:12
  2. VAN
    wristxG 0.08win prob +40 ptsVideo
    1-2
    16:15
  3. VAN
    backhandxG 0.38win prob +2 ptsVideo
    1-3
    19:06

Penalties

MIN 11 PIM·VAN 9 PIM

1st

  • 12:23MINDevin Shore · Hookingdrawn by Drew O'Connor2 min
  • 14:59MINZach Bogosian · Holdingdrawn by Nils Hoglander2 min
  • 17:18VANKiefer Sherwood · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min
  • 17:18VANKiefer Sherwood · Fightingdrawn by Ryan Hartman5 min
  • 17:18MINRyan Hartman · Fightingdrawn by Kiefer Sherwood5 min

2nd

  • 17:23MINYakov Trenin · Slashingdrawn by Marcus Pettersson2 min

3rd

  • 5:37VANFilip Hronek · Trippingdrawn by Mats Zuccarello2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalMIN goalFinal: VAN 100%

Biggest swing: Kiefer Sherwood, 3rd 16:15 — VAN 52% → 92%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Blueger · Goal · xG 0.38N. Hoglander · Missed · xG 0.38E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.18B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.15C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.12J. DeBrusk · Missed · xG 0.12C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.09F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.09C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.08E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.08K. Sherwood · Goal · xG 0.08E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.08F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.07B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.06E. Pettersson · Goal · xG 0.06B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.05J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.04D. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.04E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.04C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.03J. Lekkerimäki · Missed · xG 0.03T. Myers · Missed · xG 0.02V. Mancini · Missed · xG 0.02M. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.02V. Mancini · On goal · xG 0.02M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Lekkerimäki · On goal · xG 0.01B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.01J. Lekkerimäki · On goal · xG 0.01K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.01T. Blueger · On goal · xG 0.01F. Hronek · Missed · xG 0.01M. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.01J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.00F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.00
VAN3 G · 2.4 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsVAN
3.01 G
All situations
2 G2.4
2.20 G
Even strength
1 G1.0
0.61 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN73%27%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.90 – 1.65

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsVAN
38
Shots on goal
20
63%
Faceoffs
38%
1/2
Power play
1/3
11
Penalty minutes
9
31
Hits
29
16
Blocked shots
21
16
Giveaways
11
8
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7B. FaberD101-140.21310—27:20
5J. MiddletonD000020.04130—21:50
46J. SpurgeonD000010.02060—21:49
12M. BoldyL011-120.37200—20:42
36M. ZuccarelloR000-230.1910010020:37
23M. RossiC011-140.572108219:24
90M. JohanssonL000-160.28100—16:53
89F. GaudreauC000030.160005416:12
41G. NyquistR000030.38210—16:09
47D. ChisholmD000010.02200—16:09
17M. FolignoL000-120.19510—15:46
38R. HartmanR000000.073055515:40
18V. HinostrozaC000020.22000014:19
24Z. BogosianD000-110.04302—13:42
4J. MerrillD000-120.08020—13:38
13Y. TreninC000-120.0720210010:54
19D. ShoreC000-100.072025007:40
15J. BrazeauR000000.00210—07:11
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32F. Gustavsson(L)19172.8951.66-0.3458:50

Season series

MIN leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).