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Wild at Canucks
NHL

Minnesota Wild at Vancouver Canucks

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
▸3
Vancouver Canucks
2
Final/OTTV FDSNNO, FDSNWI·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Vancouver Canucks 3-2 in overtime, Mats Zuccarello scoring at 2:47. The Wild came back from two goals down. The Canucks led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mats Zuccarello's goal at 2:47 of overtime, which took the Wild's chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 3.1 to 1.1; shots on goal were MIN 33, VAN 14. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 85% of the time. Filip Gustavsson stopped 12 of 14 (.857), 0.9 goals below expected; Kevin Lankinen stopped 30 of 33 (.909). Three stars: 1. Brock Faber (1 G, 1 A), 2. Kevin Lankinen (30 saves, .909), 3. Mats Zuccarello (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    B. Faber1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    VAN
    K. Lankinen30 saves, .909
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    M. Zuccarello1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
MINMIN0120721311333
VANVAN16140400214

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    M. Pettersson(4)
    L. Karlsson (3), T. Blueger (17)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    3:11

2nd period

  1. VAN
    J. DeBrusk(27)PPG
    N. Hoglander (16), Q. Hughes (59)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    13:08

3rd period

  1. MIN
    B. Faber(10)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.14win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    0:22
  2. MIN
    M. Foligno(14)
    R. Hartman (15), J. Brazeau (11)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +35 ptsVideo
    2-2
    13:14

Overtime

  1. MIN
    M. Zuccarello(19)
    K. Kaprizov (31), B. Faber (19)
    wristxG 0.35win prob +51 ptsVideo
    3-2
    2:47

Penalties

MIN 21 PIM·VAN 11 PIM

1st

  • 12:40VANTeddy Blueger · Interferencedrawn by Mats Zuccarello2 min

2nd

  • 5:17MINMats Zuccarello · Interferencedrawn by Victor Mancini2 min
  • 11:49MINZach Bogosian · Slashingdrawn by Dakota Joshua2 min

3rd

  • 4:12MINYakov Trenin · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Derek Forbort2 min
  • 4:12VANTeddy Blueger · Interferencedrawn by Yakov Trenin2 min
  • 4:12VANDerek Forbort · Fightingdrawn by Yakov Trenin5 min
  • 4:12MINYakov Trenin · Fightingdrawn by Derek Forbort5 min
  • 4:12MINYakov Trenin · Aggressor10 min
  • 7:20VANTy Mueller · Holdingdrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalMIN goalFinal: VAN 0%

Biggest swing: Mats Zuccarello, OT 2:47 — MIN 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Räty · On goal · xG 0.14L. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.12J. DeBrusk · Goal · xG 0.10T. Mueller · On goal · xG 0.08P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.08M. Pettersson · Goal · xG 0.06K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.06P. Suter · Missed · xG 0.06K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.05M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.05D. Joshua · Missed · xG 0.05L. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.04C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.04Q. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.04J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.03Q. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.02V. Mancini · Missed · xG 0.02L. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.02Q. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.01D. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.01J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.00N. Hoglander · On goal · xG 0.00
VAN2 G · 1.1 xG · 22 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsVAN
3.13 G
All situations
2 G1.1
2.83 G
Even strength
1 G0.8
0.30 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN85%15%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.11 – 1.09

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsVAN
33
Shots on goal
14
42%
Faceoffs
58%
0/2
Power play
1/2
21
Penalty minutes
11
30
Hits
17
11
Blocked shots
17
10
Giveaways
13
8
Takeaways
1

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7B. FaberD112+230.32010—33:28
25J. BrodinD000+110.05110—32:09
12M. BoldyL000+140.38410—27:15
97K. KaprizovL011+240.34010—26:09
14J. Eriksson EkC000+110.142205024:41
36M. ZuccarelloR101+140.84112—22:31
24Z. BogosianD000+110.01322—18:22
89F. GaudreauC000020.032003116:55
90M. JohanssonL000030.16200—16:46
4J. MerrillD000000.03100—15:01
17M. FolignoL101+130.26300—12:39
23M. RossiC000000.001002912:11
38R. HartmanR011020.210006010:49
47D. ChisholmD000020.14110—10:31
15J. BrazeauR011010.09410—07:31
41G. NyquistR000000.05000—06:53
13Y. TreninC000-120.085017006:03
34C. CrottyD000-100.00000—05:08
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32F. Gustavsson(W)14122.8571.09-0.9162:47

Season series

MIN leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).