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Washington Capitals at New York Rangers

Final/OTTV TNT, truTV·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the New York Rangers 3-2 in overtime, Tom Wilson scoring at 4:07. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Rangers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tom Wilson's goal at 4:07 of overtime, which took the Capitals' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 3.2 to 2.8; shots on goal were WSH 26, NYR 17. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Charlie Lindgren stopped 15 of 17 (.882), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Igor Shesterkin stopped 23 of 26 (.885). Three stars: 1. Tom Wilson (1 G, 1 A), 2. Alex Ovechkin (1 G), 3. Sam Carrick (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    T. Wilson1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    WSH
    A. Ovechkin1 G
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    S. Carrick1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
WSHWSH18071813326
NYRNYR17160301217

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    snapxG 0.14win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    1:04
  2. NYR
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    13:37

2nd period

  1. NYR
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-2
    8:05

3rd period

  1. WSH
    wristxG 0.12win prob +28 ptsVideo
    2-2
    10:28

Overtime

  1. WSH
    tip-inxG 0.26win prob +51 ptsVideo
    3-2
    4:07

Penalties

WSH 18 PIM·NYR 18 PIM

1st

  • 15:30WSHEthen Frank · High sticking double minordrawn by Brett Berard4 min

2nd

  • 4:42WSHserved by A. Ovechkin · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 8:38NYRUrho Vaakanainen · Roughingdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min
  • 12:54WSHBrandon Duhaime · Fightingdrawn by Sam Carrick5 min
  • 12:54NYRSam Carrick · Fightingdrawn by Brandon Duhaime5 min
  • 14:58WSHMatt Roy · Roughingdrawn by Brennan Othmann2 min
  • 14:58WSHMatt Roy · Fightingdrawn by Juuso Parssinen5 min
  • 14:58NYRJuuso Parssinen · Fightingdrawn by Matt Roy5 min
  • 16:45NYRVincent Trocheck · Holdingdrawn by Lars Eller2 min

3rd

  • 8:56NYRZac Jones · Hookingdrawn by Lars Eller2 min
  • 10:28NYRWill Borgen · Hookingdrawn by Andrew Mangiapane2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalWSH goalFinal: NYR 0%

Biggest swing: Tom Wilson, OT 4:07 — WSH 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. de Haan · Missed · xG 0.28A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.28V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.24V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.17M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.16Z. Jones · On goal · xG 0.14V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.11W. Cuylle · On goal · xG 0.11W. Cuylle · Missed · xG 0.09A. Panarin · Goal · xG 0.08K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.07V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.07U. Vaakanainen · Missed · xG 0.07J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.07S. Carrick · Goal · xG 0.07U. Vaakanainen · Missed · xG 0.07V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.07A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.07B. Othmann · Missed · xG 0.06W. Cuylle · Missed · xG 0.06W. Borgen · On goal · xG 0.05S. Carrick · Missed · xG 0.05Z. Jones · Missed · xG 0.05W. Cuylle · Missed · xG 0.04J. Brodzinski · On goal · xG 0.03A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.03A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.03M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.03V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.02J. Parssinen · Missed · xG 0.02A. Lafrenière · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Jones · On goal · xG 0.02W. Cuylle · On goal · xG 0.01U. Vaakanainen · Missed · xG 0.01K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.01B. Schneider · Missed · xG 0.01B. Schneider · On goal · xG 0.01M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.01
NYR2 G · 2.8 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsNYR
3.23 G
All situations
2 G2.8
2.22 G
Even strength
2 G2.2
0.71 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH57%43%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.15 – 2.76

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsNYR
26
Shots on goal
17
42%
Faceoffs
58%
1/4
Power play
0/4
18
Penalty minutes
18
22
Hits
36
19
Blocked shots
14
14
Giveaways
4
3
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. CarlsonD000-120.08110—28:28
43T. WilsonR112+130.50410—23:23
6J. ChychrunD000020.10130—23:13
17D. StromeC011010.500105021:14
80P. DuboisC101020.150302719:58
3M. RoyD000+130.04027—18:51
8A. OvechkinL101-150.49100—18:34
21A. ProtasL000010.24310—18:34
42M. FehérváryD000+110.04210—18:23
24C. McMichaelL000-110.171103316:20
38R. SandinD000-210.08020—16:07
26N. DowdC000000.201106214:48
20L. EllerC000010.182002514:27
57T. van RiemsdykD000000.00000—13:02
16T. RaddyshR000010.11000—11:43
22B. DuhaimeL000010.12405—10:21
88A. MangiapaneL011010.04210—09:22
53E. FrankR011000.12014—07:33
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
79C. Lindgren(W)17152.8822.79+0.7964:07

Season series

WSH leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).