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New York Rangers at Washington Capitals

FinalTV ABC, ESPN+·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the New York Rangers 7-4. The Rangers scored first; the Capitals answered. The Capitals led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Lars Eller's goal at 2:29 of the second period, which took the Capitals' chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 4.4 to 3.2; shots on goal were NYR 33, WSH 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Jonathan Quick stopped 21 of 27 (.778), 3.0 goals below expected; Logan Thompson stopped 29 of 33 (.879), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Dylan Strome (1 G, 2 A), 2. Alex Ovechkin (1 G, 1 A), 3. Andrew Mangiapane (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    D. Strome1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    WSH
    A. Ovechkin1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    A. Mangiapane1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR11118214433
WSHWSH11038310728

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.03win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    7:00
  2. WSH
    D. Strome(12)PPG
    snapxG 0.28win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-1
    18:46

2nd period

  1. WSH
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-2
    2:29
  2. WSH
    N. Dowd (5), R. Sandin (13)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    10:08
  3. NYR
    snapxG 0.17win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-3
    16:26
  4. WSH
    snapxG 0.20win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-4
    18:13

3rd period

  1. NYR
    snapxG 0.19win prob +13 ptsVideo
    3-4
    8:32
  2. WSH
    backhandxG 0.06win prob +13 ptsVideo
    3-5
    10:50
  3. NYR
    snapxG 0.18win prob +11 ptsVideo
    4-5
    13:04
  4. WSH
    backhandxG 0.15win prob +11 ptsVideo
    4-6
    14:00
  5. WSH
    T. Wilson(16)EN
    wristxG 0.94Video
    4-7
    19:22

Penalties

NYR 8 PIM·WSH 8 PIM

1st

  • 8:35NYRWill Borgen · Holdingdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min
  • 13:06WSHAlex Ovechkin · Slashingdrawn by Mika Zibanejad2 min
  • 18:06NYRBrett Berard · Holdingdrawn by Andrew Mangiapane2 min

2nd

  • 13:23WSHBrandon Duhaime · Cross checkingdrawn by Will Borgen2 min
  • 16:39NYRRyan Lindgren · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 0:20WSHNic Dowd · Slashingdrawn by Sam Carrick2 min
  • 4:00NYRWill Cuylle · High stickingdrawn by John Carlson2 min
  • 5:44WSHPierre-Luc Dubois · Trippingdrawn by Adam Fox2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalNYR goalFinal: WSH 100%

Biggest swing: Lars Eller, 2nd 2:29 — WSH 53% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Wilson · Goal · xG 0.94P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.48D. Strome · Goal · xG 0.28A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.22C. McMichael · Goal · xG 0.20T. Raddysh · Missed · xG 0.17A. Protas · Goal · xG 0.15A. Mangiapane · Goal · xG 0.14P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.12D. Strome · Missed · xG 0.12A. Protas · Missed · xG 0.11D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.11J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.10J. Vrana · Missed · xG 0.08J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.08J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.07B. Duhaime · Missed · xG 0.06D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.06P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.06T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.06A. Ovechkin · Goal · xG 0.06A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.05L. Eller · Goal · xG 0.05P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.05P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.05D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.04P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.04A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.04C. McMichael · Missed · xG 0.04T. Raddysh · Missed · xG 0.04A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.03A. Protas · Missed · xG 0.03T. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.03P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.03P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.03B. Duhaime · Missed · xG 0.03J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.02M. Roy · Missed · xG 0.02A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.02A. Protas · Missed · xG 0.02A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.01T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.01B. Duhaime · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.00
WSH7 G · 4.4 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsWSH
3.24 G
All situations
6 G4.4
1.94 G
Even strength
4 G1.7
0.90 G
Power play
2 G1.1
0.40 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR55%45%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.17 – 2.90

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsWSH
33
Shots on goal
28
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/4
Power play
2/4
8
Penalty minutes
8
15
Hits
20
13
Blocked shots
22
18
Giveaways
12
1
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23A. FoxD000-320.18110—27:34
16V. TrocheckC000-230.283205225:10
10A. PanarinL000-140.34000—22:02
13A. LafrenièreL000-150.35000—21:17
79K. MillerD000050.14210—20:28
20C. KreiderL101+120.39010—19:42
93M. ZibanejadC101+130.510004217:49
55R. LindgrenD000-210.02222—16:22
4B. SchneiderD011+210.02110—16:08
17W. BorgenD000010.03242—15:53
91R. SmithR011+200.00000—14:54
72F. ChytilC101-130.320004514:26
18U. VaakanainenD011+200.02000—13:56
50W. CuylleL000-100.00202—13:40
65B. BerardL000-110.03012—09:48
39S. CarrickC101-110.182007309:25
26J. VeseyL000000.04000—09:13
84A. EdstromC011-110.33000008:10
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32J. Quick(L)27216.7782.95-3.0557:49

Season series

WSH leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).