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Maple Leafs at Rangers
NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs at New York Rangers

NHL scoreboard
Toronto Maple Leafs
▸3
New York Rangers
2
FinalTV NHLN, MSGSN·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the New York Rangers 3-2. The Maple Leafs scored first and never trailed. The Maple Leafs led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matthew Knies's goal at 6:21 of the third period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 48% to 77%. Expected goals were close — TOR 3.2, NYR 3.1; shots on goal were TOR 16, NYR 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Anthony Stolarz stopped 33 of 35 (.943), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Igor Shesterkin stopped 13 of 16 (.813), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Matthew Knies (1 G), 2. Mika Zibanejad (1 G, 1 A), 3. Anthony Stolarz (33 saves, .943).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    M. Knies1 G
  2. ★★
    NYR
    M. Zibanejad1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    TOR
    A. Stolarz33 saves, .943

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TORTOR141616316
NYRNYR11409112235

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. TOR
    O. Ekman-Larsson(4)PPG
    M. Domi (20), M. Rielly (24)
    slapxG 0.14win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-0
    1:47
  2. NYR
    M. Zibanejad(13)
    W. Borgen (5), J. Miller (31)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    13:08

2nd period

  1. TOR
    W. Nylander(34)
    Unassisted
    pokexG 0.41win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-1
    0:51

3rd period

  1. NYR
    W. Cuylle(16)SHG
    M. Zibanejad (29)
    backhandxG 0.16win prob +27 ptsVideo
    2-2
    3:47
  2. TOR
    M. Knies(22)
    A. Matthews (28), M. Marner (56)
    snapxG 0.21win prob +29 ptsVideo
    3-2
    6:21

Penalties

TOR 6 PIM·NYR 8 PIM

1st

  • 0:18NYRMika Zibanejad · Trippingdrawn by Auston Matthews2 min

2nd

  • 1:34NYRRyan Lindgren · Interferencedrawn by Pontus Holmberg2 min
  • 13:10TORBobby McMann · Holdingdrawn by Braden Schneider2 min
  • 14:54NYRserved by M. Rempe · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 19:56TORJohn Tavares · Interferencedrawn by Urho Vaakanainen2 min

3rd

  • 2:28NYRSam Carrick · Cross checkingdrawn by John Tavares2 min
  • 9:25TORWilliam Nylander · High stickingdrawn by Ryan Lindgren2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalTOR goalFinal: NYR 0%

Biggest swing: Matthew Knies, 3rd 6:21 — TOR 48% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Othmann · On goal · xG 0.26S. Carrick · On goal · xG 0.21W. Cuylle · Goal · xG 0.16W. Cuylle · On goal · xG 0.15S. Carrick · On goal · xG 0.14M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.13M. Zibanejad · Goal · xG 0.12S. Carrick · On goal · xG 0.12B. Othmann · On goal · xG 0.10A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.10S. Carrick · On goal · xG 0.09K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.09A. Lafrenière · Missed · xG 0.09V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.08V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.07A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.07A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.06A. Lafrenière · Missed · xG 0.06M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.06J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.06M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.06V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.05J. Brodzinski · On goal · xG 0.05J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.05A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.05J. Brodzinski · Missed · xG 0.05W. Cuylle · On goal · xG 0.05V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.04J. Brodzinski · Missed · xG 0.04R. Lindgren · Missed · xG 0.04K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.04V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.04V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.03R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Jones · On goal · xG 0.03A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.03B. Othmann · On goal · xG 0.03U. Vaakanainen · On goal · xG 0.02W. Borgen · On goal · xG 0.02R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.02K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02B. Schneider · Missed · xG 0.02J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02R. Lindgren · Missed · xG 0.02K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.01M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.01R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rempe · Missed · xG 0.01S. Carrick · Missed · xG 0.01U. Vaakanainen · On goal · xG 0.01B. Schneider · On goal · xG 0.01
NYR2 G · 3.1 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TORvsNYR
3.23 G
All situations
2 G3.1
1.72 G
Even strength
1 G2.4
0.41 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TOR35%65%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.10 – 2.98

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TORvsNYR
16
Shots on goal
35
38%
Faceoffs
62%
1/4
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
21
Hits
21
25
Blocked shots
9
25
Giveaways
17
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Toronto Maple Leafs skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
16M. MarnerR011020.80220—23:58
22J. McCabeD000+200.00030—23:08
34A. MatthewsC011020.661303621:56
44M. RiellyD011000.00000—19:55
88W. NylanderR101+120.60012—19:03
2S. BenoitD000-100.00540—18:55
51P. MyersD000+200.00120—18:28
23M. KniesL101-110.21110—18:07
91J. TavaresC000+110.100124018:06
95O. Ekman-LarssonD101-120.16110—16:11
25C. TimminsD000-110.01030—14:36
64D. KampfC000020.350104013:47
29P. HolmbergR000+110.06100—13:15
74B. McMannC000-100.11212012:48
89N. RobertsonL000-110.05120—12:27
11M. DomiC011-100.040003812:02
75R. ReavesR000000.00400—09:02
18S. LorentzC000010.06200008:16
Toronto Maple Leafs goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41A. Stolarz(W)35332.9433.12+1.1260:00

Season series

TOR leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).