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Rangers at Maple Leafs
NHL

New York Rangers at Toronto Maple Leafs

FinalTV NHLN, MSG·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 4-1. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. The Rangers led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Chris Kreider's goal at 9:08 of the second period, which took the Rangers' chances from 66% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 4.3 to 3.9; shots on goal were NYR 29, TOR 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Igor Shesterkin stopped 34 of 35 (.971), 2.9 goals saved above expected; Anthony Stolarz stopped 25 of 27 (.926). Three stars: 1. Igor Shesterkin (34 saves, .971), 2. Auston Matthews (1 G), 3. Chris Kreider (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    I. Shesterkin34 saves, .971
  2. ★★
    TOR
    A. Matthews1 G
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    C. Kreider2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR11018211429
TORTOR07010118135

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    wristxG 0.15win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-0
    11:44

2nd period

  1. NYR
    wristxG 0.21win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-0
    9:08

3rd period

  1. TOR
    wristxG 0.12win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-1
    3:40
  2. NYR
    snapxG 0.84win prob +5 ptsVideo
    3-1
    19:00
  3. NYR
    wristxG 0.91Video
    4-1
    19:46

Penalties

NYR 6 PIM·TOR 4 PIM

1st

  • 11:59TORPontus Holmberg · Holdingdrawn by Filip Chytil2 min

2nd

  • 12:21NYRArtemi Panarin · Slashingdrawn by Matthew Knies2 min
  • 15:48NYRKaapo Kakko · High stickingdrawn by Max Domi2 min
  • 18:07TORMax Domi · Cross checkingdrawn by Jacob Trouba2 min

3rd

  • 12:25NYRJacob Trouba · Trippingdrawn by Auston Matthews2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalNYR goalFinal: TOR 0%

Biggest swing: Chris Kreider, 2nd 9:08 — NYR 66% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Knies · Missed · xG 0.25N. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.21W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.18J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.17M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.17W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.17W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.16J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.15N. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.14W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.13A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.12A. Matthews · Goal · xG 0.12M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.11A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.10W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.10M. Domi · Missed · xG 0.10A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.10W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.09M. Knies · Missed · xG 0.08M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.07D. Kampf · On goal · xG 0.07W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.06A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.06J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.06A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.06B. McMann · On goal · xG 0.06M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.05A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.05J. McCabe · Missed · xG 0.05A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.05W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.05A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.04A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.04M. Domi · Missed · xG 0.04P. Holmberg · Missed · xG 0.04M. Knies · Missed · xG 0.04A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.04W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.04A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.04O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.03B. McMann · On goal · xG 0.03C. Timmins · On goal · xG 0.02A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.02J. McCabe · On goal · xG 0.02C. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.02M. Domi · Missed · xG 0.02M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.01O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01N. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.01S. Benoit · On goal · xG 0.01R. Reaves · Missed · xG 0.01M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.01J. McCabe · On goal · xG 0.01
TOR1 G · 3.9 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsTOR
4.32 G
All situations
1 G3.9
1.82 G
Even strength
1 G2.8
0.50 G
Power play
0 G1.0
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR28%72%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.45 – 3.82

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsTOR
29
Shots on goal
35
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
19
Hits
20
22
Blocked shots
11
9
Giveaways
15
11
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23A. FoxD000+100.03030—24:55
79K. MillerD011+120.23310—23:38
16V. TrocheckC011+140.352105322:45
10A. PanarinL101+251.27002—21:50
4B. SchneiderD000010.01040—20:54
8J. TroubaD000+110.00232—20:37
93M. ZibanejadC022+220.330004418:17
13A. LafrenièreL101040.27000—18:00
20C. KreiderL202+241.29000—17:05
50W. CuylleL011+100.00500—14:20
91R. SmithR022+220.07010—14:20
5C. RuhwedelD000+200.00240—14:04
24K. KakkoR000010.03002—13:44
72F. ChytilC000010.181003812:21
90V. ManciniD011+100.00010—12:00
39S. CarrickC000020.191106009:49
84A. EdstromC000000.09120007:56
73M. RempeC000000.00210007:37
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31I. Shesterkin(W)35341.9713.89+2.8959:48

Season series

TOR leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).