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Blues at Capitals
NHL

St. Louis Blues at Washington Capitals

NHL scoreboard
St. Louis Blues
▸5
Washington Capitals
2
FinalTV FDSNMW, MNMT·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Washington Capitals 5-2. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dylan Holloway's goal at 17:23 of the second period, which took the Blues' chances from 47% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 3.2 to 1.9; shots on goal were STL 19, WSH 18. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Joel Hofer stopped 16 of 18 (.889); Charlie Lindgren stopped 14 of 18 (.778), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Philip Broberg (2 G), 2. Connor McMichael (1 G, 1 A), 3. Pavel Buchnevich (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    P. Broberg2 G
  2. ★★
    WSH
    C. McMichael1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    STL
    P. Buchnevich2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL282714519
WSHWSH151805218

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    P. Broberg(5)
    M. Joseph (6)
    slapxG 0.14win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    11:14
  2. WSH
    P. Dubois(14)
    T. Raddysh (19), C. McMichael (24)
    backhandxG 0.20win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    15:04
  3. STL
    P. Broberg(6)
    J. Neighbours (14), P. Buchnevich (28)
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-1
    17:45

2nd period

  1. WSH
    C. McMichael(21)
    M. Roy (17), E. Frank (2)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +20 ptsVideo
    2-2
    16:55
  2. STL
    D. Holloway(18)
    R. Suter (10), B. Schenn (23)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +22 ptsVideo
    3-2
    17:23
  3. STL
    C. Parayko(14)
    P. Buchnevich (29), R. Thomas (32)
    snapxG 0.56win prob +18 ptsVideo
    4-2
    17:58

3rd period

  1. STL
    J. Neighbours(15)EN
    B. Schenn (24), R. Faksa (8)
    snapxG 0.46Video
    5-2
    18:05

Penalties

STL 4 PIM·WSH 2 PIM

1st

  • 7:24STLPavel Buchnevich · Holdingdrawn by Rasmus Sandin2 min

2nd

  • 7:32WSHAndrew Mangiapane · Roughingdrawn by Mathieu Joseph2 min
  • 14:29STLJordan Kyrou · Holdingdrawn by John Carlson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalSTL goalFinal: WSH 0%

Biggest swing: Dylan Holloway, 2nd 17:23 — STL 47% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Dubois · Goal · xG 0.20P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.14E. Frank · Missed · xG 0.13B. Duhaime · On goal · xG 0.12D. Strome · Missed · xG 0.10C. McMichael · Missed · xG 0.09A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.09A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.08D. Strome · Missed · xG 0.07A. Protas · Missed · xG 0.07J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.07N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.07J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.06A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.06A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.06C. McMichael · On goal · xG 0.06C. McMichael · Missed · xG 0.05C. McMichael · Goal · xG 0.05A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.05A. Protas · On goal · xG 0.04M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.03L. Eller · Missed · xG 0.03A. Protas · On goal · xG 0.03J. Vrana · Missed · xG 0.02J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.02D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.01R. Sandin · Missed · xG 0.01R. Sandin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.01A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.01J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.01D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.00J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH2 G · 1.9 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsWSH
3.24 G
All situations
2 G1.9
2.24 G
Even strength
2 G1.1
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.8
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 63 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL61%39%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.39 – 1.85

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsWSH
19
Shots on goal
18
66%
Faceoffs
34%
0/1
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
20
Hits
18
17
Blocked shots
10
8
Giveaways
12
3
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6P. BrobergD202+220.33000—21:24
72J. FaulkD000+110.01200—21:13
18R. ThomasC011+200.150306220:49
89P. BuchnevichL022+240.53102—19:21
55C. ParaykoD101+220.66030—19:13
17C. FowlerD000000.03030—19:10
22R. SuterD011000.01000—19:06
4N. LeddyD000+100.00010—18:05
63J. NeighboursL112+320.47200—17:35
81D. HollowayL101+120.30220—15:52
10B. SchennC022+300.052207015:39
25J. KyrouR000-120.07012—14:07
12R. FaksaC011+100.022007313:15
13A. ToropchenkoR000010.08200—12:51
26N. WalkerL000-110.2020010012:48
70O. SundqvistC000-200.001106012:42
76Z. BolducR000+110.19210—11:43
71M. JosephR011010.07200—11:07
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30J. Hofer(W)18162.8891.87-0.1360:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).