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Washington Capitals at St. Louis Blues

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Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the St. Louis Blues 8-1. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. The Capitals led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex Ovechkin's goal at 7:42 of the second period, which took the Capitals' chances from 47% to 65%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 2.9 to 2.2; shots on goal were WSH 27, STL 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Logan Thompson stopped 24 of 25 (.960), 1.2 goals saved above expected; Jordan Binnington stopped 19 of 27 (.704), 5.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Alex Ovechkin (2 G), 2. Logan Thompson (24 saves, .960), 3. Connor McMichael (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    A. Ovechkin2 G
  2. ★★
    WSH
    L. Thompson24 saves, .960
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    C. McMichael2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH11024513827
STLSTL1901105125

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    wristxG 0.02win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    0:59
  2. STL
    wristxG 0.12win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    7:07

2nd period

  1. WSH
    snapxG 0.07win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-1
    7:42
  2. WSH
    wristxG 0.07win prob +18 ptsVideo
    3-1
    10:53

3rd period

  1. WSH
    wristxG 0.12win prob +6 ptsVideo
    4-1
    2:09
  2. WSH
    wristxG 0.16win prob +2 ptsVideo
    5-1
    3:51
  3. WSH
    wristxG 0.26Video
    6-1
    10:20
  4. WSH
    7-1
    15:27
  5. WSH
    deflectedxG 0.14Video
    8-1
    16:45

Penalties

WSH 8 PIM·STL 6 PIM

1st

  • 10:17WSHMichael Sgarbossa · Interferencedrawn by Jake Neighbours2 min
  • 16:59WSHJakob Chychrun · High stickingdrawn by Jordan Kyrou2 min

2nd

  • 17:28WSHJohn Carlson · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 1:02STLRyan Suter · Hookingdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min
  • 7:37STLZachary Bolduc · Roughingdrawn by Nic Dowd2 min
  • 7:37WSHNic Dowd · Roughingdrawn by Zachary Bolduc2 min
  • 10:03STLRyan Suter · Interferencedrawn by Andrew Mangiapane2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalWSH goalFinal: STL 0%

Biggest swing: Alex Ovechkin, 2nd 7:42 — WSH 47% → 65%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.23P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.19B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.17J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.14Z. Bolduc · On goal · xG 0.13S. Perunovich · Goal · xG 0.12O. Sundqvist · Missed · xG 0.12B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.11B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.10R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.08B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.08B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.07J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.07C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.07D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.06J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.05B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.04B. Saad · Missed · xG 0.04K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.04S. Perunovich · Missed · xG 0.03C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.03J. Neighbours · On goal · xG 0.03A. Toropchenko · Missed · xG 0.03D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.03J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.02J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.02C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.02J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Bolduc · Missed · xG 0.01J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.01C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.01J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.01P. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.01R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.01P. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.01
STL1 G · 2.2 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsSTL
2.98 G
All situations
1 G2.2
2.16 G
Even strength
1 G1.5
0.82 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH62%38%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.82 – 2.16

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsSTL
27
Shots on goal
25
46%
Faceoffs
54%
2/2
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
6
18
Hits
25
18
Blocked shots
7
22
Giveaways
21
1
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3M. RoyD000+200.03120—22:27
74J. CarlsonD022+310.00122—19:44
38R. SandinD101+220.19000—19:41
57T. van RiemsdykD000020.02000—19:17
42M. FehérváryD011010.01140—18:58
6J. ChychrunD112+310.07022—18:44
24C. McMichaelL202+230.420105017:13
43T. WilsonR022+220.33300—16:44
26N. DowdC000+110.042223916:15
21A. ProtasL011+100.00100—15:37
17D. StromeC033+120.031105515:08
8A. OvechkinL202+150.51200—14:41
16T. RaddyshR011+110.08010—14:25
80P. DuboisC011+210.151104614:14
22B. DuhaimeL101+130.64410—14:05
88A. MangiapaneL022+110.08010—13:07
23M. SgarbossaC112+110.101025011:25
13J. VranaL000+100.16000—10:15
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
48L. Thompson(W)25241.9602.18+1.1860:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).