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Devils at Avalanche
NHL

New Jersey Devils at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
New Jersey Devils
1
Colorado Avalanche
▸5
FinalTV ALT, MSGSN·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the New Jersey Devils 5-1. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Artturi Lehkonen's goal at 8:54 of the first period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 53% to 66%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.7 to 2.0; shots on goal were NJD 23, COL 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 76% of the time. Jake Allen stopped 32 of 37 (.865), 1.3 goals below expected; Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 22 of 23 (.957), 1.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Nathan MacKinnon (2 G, 1 A), 2. Martin Necas (3 A), 3. Cale Makar (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    M. Necas3 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    C. Makar2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD0701016123
COLCOL111013413537

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    A. Lehkonen(24)
    M. Necas (45), N. MacKinnon (67)
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-1
    8:54

3rd period

  1. COL
    N. MacKinnon(22)PPG
    M. Necas (46), C. Makar (43)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-2
    2:57
  2. NJD
    J. Hughes(27)
    L. Hughes (20)
    slapxG 0.10win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-2
    8:28
  3. COL
    N. MacKinnon(23)PPG
    C. Makar (44), M. Necas (47)
    batxG 0.34win prob +6 ptsVideo
    1-3
    14:14
  4. COL
    C. Mittelstadt(10)
    J. Drouin (18), R. Colton (4)
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +1 ptsVideo
    1-4
    16:40
  5. COL
    L. O'Connor(7)
    P. Kelly (9), M. Wood (2)
    tip-inxG 0.07Video
    1-5
    18:18

Penalties

NJD 8 PIM·COL 4 PIM

1st

  • 6:30COLJonathan Drouin · Trippingdrawn by Jack Hughes2 min
  • 13:10NJDStefan Noesen · Hookingdrawn by Sam Malinski2 min
  • 14:13NJDJack Hughes · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 16:24COLMackenzie Blackwood · Delaying game illegal play by goalie2 min

3rd

  • 1:29NJDLuke Hughes · Slashingdrawn by Artturi Lehkonen2 min
  • 13:53NJDOndrej Palat · Trippingdrawn by Martin Necas2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalNJD goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Artturi Lehkonen, 1st 8:54 — COL 53% → 66%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.34N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.18A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.17A. Lehkonen · Goal · xG 0.17N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.13C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.12A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.11V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.10P. Kelly · Missed · xG 0.10N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.09A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.09R. Colton · Missed · xG 0.09D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.09C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.08N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.08J. Drouin · Missed · xG 0.07C. Mittelstadt · Missed · xG 0.07M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.07N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.07R. Colton · Missed · xG 0.07V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.07D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.07J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.07L. O'Connor · Goal · xG 0.07V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.06C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.06P. Kelly · On goal · xG 0.06A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.06M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.06V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.06V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.05P. Kelly · Missed · xG 0.05N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.05V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.04J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.04C. Mittelstadt · Goal · xG 0.04C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.04C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.04S. Girard · Missed · xG 0.04M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.03C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.03V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.03C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.03C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.03M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.03S. Malinski · Missed · xG 0.02N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.02S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.02J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.02J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.02C. Mittelstadt · Missed · xG 0.02S. Malinski · Missed · xG 0.01C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.01C. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.01S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.01R. Colton · Missed · xG 0.01S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.01S. Girard · Missed · xG 0.01D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.01J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.00C. de Haan · On goal · xG 0.00M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.00
COL5 G · 3.7 xG · 62 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsCOL
2.01 G
All situations
5 G3.7
1.51 G
Even strength
3 G2.6
0.50 G
Power play
2 G1.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 97 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD24%76%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.04 – 3.64

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsCOL
23
Shots on goal
37
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/2
Power play
2/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
22
Hits
16
12
Blocked shots
15
19
Giveaways
22
3
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5B. DillonD000-100.00620—22:58
43L. HughesD011030.07102—22:45
22B. PesceD000-300.00110—22:20
7D. HamiltonD000010.01100—20:15
86J. HughesC101-120.460124219:59
13N. HischierC000010.060105719:38
8J. KovacevicD000-110.03130—18:40
91D. MercerC000010.04010017:32
63J. BrattL000-120.07000—16:40
28T. MeierR000050.50200—16:28
11S. NoesenR000010.15102—15:51
18O. PalatL000-120.41112—15:15
56E. HaulaL000-100.000004413:12
90T. TatarL000-120.20100—12:35
47P. CotterL000010.03210—11:41
14N. BastianR000-100.00200—10:09
24S. CaseyD000+100.00200—09:38
37J. DowlingC000010.011104508:35
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34J. Allen(L)37325.8653.69-1.3158:18
50N. Daws000—0.000.0001:42

Season series

COL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).