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Colorado Avalanche at New Jersey Devils

FinalTV NHLN, ALT2·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the New Jersey Devils 4-0. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Logan O'Connor's goal at 14:52 of the first period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 60% to 77%. Expected goals were close — COL 2.3, NJD 2.4; shots on goal were COL 24, NJD 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Scott Wedgewood stopped 25 of 25 (1.000), 2.4 goals saved above expected; Jake Allen stopped 20 of 23 (.870), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Scott Wedgewood (25 saves, 1.000), 2. Ross Colton (1 G), 3. Artturi Lehkonen (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    S. Wedgewood25 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    COL
    R. Colton1 G
  3. ★★★
    COL
    A. Lehkonen1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL2811115424
NJDNJD01002013025

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    wristxG 0.14win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    4:07
  2. COL
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    14:52

2nd period

  1. COL
    wristxG 0.23win prob +9 ptsVideo
    3-0
    14:36

3rd period

  1. COL
    snapxG 0.56Video
    4-0
    16:05

Penalties

COL 6 PIM·NJD 4 PIM

1st

  • 17:35COLSam Malinski · Interferencedrawn by Dawson Mercer2 min

2nd

  • 15:19NJDStefan Noesen · Hookingdrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min

3rd

  • 0:38COLSamuel Girard · Holdingdrawn by Jesper Bratt2 min
  • 9:00NJDOndrej Palat · Trippingdrawn by Cale Makar2 min
  • 10:35COLserved by Ivan Ivan · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalCOL goalFinal: NJD 0%

Biggest swing: Logan O'Connor, 1st 14:52 — COL 60% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.44T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.16T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.15S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.14N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.13J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.12D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.12N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.10J. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.10D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.10O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.09S. Noesen · Missed · xG 0.09J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.09N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.08J. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.07D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.07J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.05N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.04J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.04D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.03J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.03J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.03J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.02E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.02B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.02B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.02L. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.02J. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.01T. Tatar · Missed · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.01L. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.01S. Noesen · Missed · xG 0.01E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.01J. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.00D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.00
NJD0 G · 2.4 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsNJD
2.33 G
All situations
0 G2.4
1.43 G
Even strength
0 G1.4
0.30 G
Power play
0 G1.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL37%63%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.72 – 2.34

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsNJD
24
Shots on goal
25
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
12
Hits
19
19
Blocked shots
12
13
Giveaways
8
6
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8C. MakarD000050.23000—25:20
62A. LehkonenL101+120.4602010024:51
7D. ToewsD000010.03020—22:32
96M. RantanenR011+100.051003322:12
29N. MacKinnonC000060.290005921:46
49S. GirardD000+320.02242—21:04
13V. NichushkinR011+310.08000—20:18
70S. MalinskiD000+120.10022—19:24
37C. MittelstadtC022+200.000106414:55
44C. de HaanD022+200.00220—14:53
20R. ColtonC101+120.20220014:40
67K. MiddletonD000+210.02210—13:24
25L. O'ConnorR101+110.13010—13:17
17P. KellyC101+110.561105013:02
94J. KivirantaL011000.08010—12:18
14C. WagnerR000000.0220010007:11
85N. PrishchepovC000+100.01000006:35
82I. IvanC000+100.000006006:22
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41S. Wedgewood(W)252501.0002.43+2.4360:00

Season series

COL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).