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Jets at Senators
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
▸4
Ottawa Senators
1
FinalTV SN, RDS·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Ottawa Senators 4-1. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mason Appleton's goal at 9:03 of the first period, which took the Jets' chances from 54% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 4.3 to 2.0; shots on goal were WPG 39, OTT 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 23 of 24 (.958), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Linus Ullmark stopped 36 of 38 (.947). Three stars: 1. Connor Hellebuyck (23 saves, .958), 2. Mark Scheifele (1 G), 3. Thomas Chabot (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    C. Hellebuyck23 saves, .958
  2. ★★
    WPG
    M. Scheifele1 G
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    T. Chabot1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG21211819439
OTTOTT01111102124

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    C. Perfetti(12)
    N. Ehlers (33)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +5 ptsVideo
    1-0
    7:46
  2. WPG
    M. Appleton(8)
    Unassisted
    xG 0.20win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    9:03

2nd period

  1. WPG
    K. Connor(31)
    G. Vilardi (28), D. DeMelo (11)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +10 ptsVideo
    3-0
    8:04
  2. OTT
    T. Chabot(5)
    T. Stützle (41)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +10 ptsVideo
    3-1
    8:53

3rd period

  1. WPG
    M. Scheifele(33)EN
    K. Connor (42)
    wristxG 0.71win prob +1 ptsVideo
    4-1
    17:04

Penalties

WPG 11 PIM·OTT 15 PIM

1st

  • 2:57WPGLogan Stanley · Roughingdrawn by Artem Zub2 min
  • 2:57OTTArtem Zub · Roughingdrawn by Logan Stanley2 min
  • 2:57WPGLogan Stanley · Roughingdrawn by Artem Zub2 min
  • 6:41OTTTyler Kleven · Fightingdrawn by Adam Lowry5 min
  • 6:41WPGAdam Lowry · Fightingdrawn by Tyler Kleven5 min
  • 18:51OTTNikolas Matinpalo · High stickingdrawn by Adam Lowry2 min

2nd

  • 10:18OTTNikolas Matinpalo · High stickingdrawn by Nino Niederreiter2 min
  • 10:18OTTNikolas Matinpalo · Broken stick2 min
  • 10:54OTTJake Sanderson · Hookingdrawn by Gabriel Vilardi2 min

3rd

  • 14:21WPGMason Appleton · Trippingdrawn by Thomas Chabot2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalWPG goalFinal: OTT 0%

Biggest swing: Mason Appleton, 1st 9:03 — WPG 54% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Greig · Missed · xG 0.17R. Greig · On goal · xG 0.14D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.13C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.13D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.12A. Crookshank · On goal · xG 0.12A. Gaudette · On goal · xG 0.10R. Greig · On goal · xG 0.10A. Gaudette · Missed · xG 0.10C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.09A. Gaudette · Missed · xG 0.08T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.08C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.07A. Gaudette · On goal · xG 0.05T. Chabot · Goal · xG 0.05A. Gaudette · On goal · xG 0.05T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.05T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.04J. Sanderson · Missed · xG 0.04J. Sanderson · Missed · xG 0.03J. Sanderson · Missed · xG 0.03T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.02A. Crookshank · On goal · xG 0.02T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.02M. Highmore · Missed · xG 0.02A. Crookshank · Missed · xG 0.02T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.02A. Crookshank · On goal · xG 0.02N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.01N. Matinpalo · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.00J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.00J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.00T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT1 G · 2.0 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsOTT
4.33 G
All situations
1 G2.0
1.83 G
Even strength
1 G1.6
1.40 G
Power play
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG70%30%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.09 – 1.96

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsOTT
39
Shots on goal
24
40%
Faceoffs
60%
0/4
Power play
0/2
11
Penalty minutes
15
19
Hits
29
14
Blocked shots
14
4
Giveaways
8
0
Takeaways
1

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
54D. SambergD000+230.03340—24:28
44J. MorrisseyD000010.19010—21:43
4N. PionkD000+240.07100—21:39
81K. ConnorL112+220.43100—21:20
2D. DeMeloD011010.13110—20:22
55M. ScheifeleC101+251.261003918:03
13G. VilardiC011+130.25010017:43
7V. NamestnikovC000000.001101316:26
27N. EhlersL011020.1013010016:21
22M. AppletonC101+130.42112015:23
17A. LowryC000+110.514055314:49
62N. NiederreiterR000+130.05110—13:55
91C. PerfettiC101010.18100013:28
64L. StanleyD000+110.02004—13:20
6C. MillerD000+130.08000—13:17
19D. GustafssonC000030.28100011:41
15R. KupariC000+110.022003311:15
9A. IafalloL000020.31010—11:00
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(W)24231.9581.97+0.9759:47

Season series

WPG leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).