Skip to content
Senators at Jets
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Winnipeg Jets

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
2
Winnipeg Jets
▸4
FinalTV SNW, SN360·Canada Life Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Ottawa Senators 4-2. The Jets came back from two goals down. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Gabriel Vilardi's goal at 9:47 of the third period, which took the Jets' chances from 59% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 4.0 to 2.8; shots on goal were OTT 35, WPG 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Mads Sogaard stopped 19 of 23 (.826); Connor Hellebuyck stopped 33 of 35 (.943), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Nikolaj Ehlers (1 G, 2 A), 2. Mark Scheifele (1 G, 1 A), 3. Kyle Connor (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    N. Ehlers1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    WPG
    M. Scheifele1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    K. Connor1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT1919017235
WPGWPG092628423

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    T. Stützle(12)PPG
    D. Batherson (22), B. Tkachuk (18)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    10:40

2nd period

  1. OTT
    R. Greig(4)PPG
    T. Chabot (15), C. Giroux (15)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +12 ptsVideo
    2-0
    4:03
  2. WPG
    K. Connor(22)
    M. Scheifele (22), J. Morrissey (31)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-1
    12:46
  3. WPG
    M. Scheifele(22)
    N. Ehlers (18), C. Miller (6)
    backhandxG 0.06win prob +21 ptsVideo
    2-2
    15:01

3rd period

  1. WPG
    G. Vilardi(15)PPG
    N. Ehlers (19), K. Connor (27)
    snapxG 0.23win prob +24 ptsVideo
    2-3
    9:47
  2. WPG
    N. Ehlers(11)
    L. Stanley (4)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-4
    11:19

Penalties

OTT 6 PIM·WPG 8 PIM

1st

  • 7:18OTTNick Jensen · Trippingdrawn by Adam Lowry2 min
  • 8:53WPGNeal Pionk · Trippingdrawn by Shane Pinto2 min

2nd

  • 2:33WPGGabriel Vilardi · High sticking double minordrawn by Jake Sanderson4 min
  • 7:07OTTTyler Kleven · High stickingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min

3rd

  • 5:44WPGVille Heinola · Trippingdrawn by Ridly Greig2 min
  • 9:07OTTMads Sogaard · Trippingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalOTT goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Gabriel Vilardi, 3rd 9:47 — WPG 59% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Appleton · Missed · xG 0.40G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.30A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.28V. Namestnikov · Missed · xG 0.26N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.24N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.24G. Vilardi · Goal · xG 0.23N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.21G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.21G. Vilardi · Missed · xG 0.19K. Connor · Goal · xG 0.15N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.15V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.15N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.12M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.10N. Ehlers · Goal · xG 0.07A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.06C. Perfetti · Missed · xG 0.06M. Scheifele · Goal · xG 0.06N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.06K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.05N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.04V. Heinola · On goal · xG 0.04R. Kupari · Missed · xG 0.03A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.03N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.03M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.03C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.03A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.03N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.02M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.02D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.02R. Kupari · On goal · xG 0.02C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.01N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.01J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.01C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01V. Heinola · Missed · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG4 G · 4.0 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsWPG
2.82 G
All situations
4 G4.0
1.50 G
Even strength
3 G2.1
1.02 G
Power play
1 G1.2
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT39%61%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.79 – 3.41

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsWPG
35
Shots on goal
23
61%
Faceoffs
39%
2/4
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
21
Hits
15
13
Blocked shots
18
4
Giveaways
9
5
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72T. ChabotD011-140.32010—26:57
85J. SandersonD000-110.04020—24:51
18T. StützleC101040.262105021:26
9J. NorrisC000-110.313005520:45
3N. JensenD000-120.03012—20:36
71R. GreigC101-230.38300019:50
7B. TkachukL011070.574003819:42
28C. GirouxR011010.000005818:37
23T. HamonicD000030.08020—18:01
19D. BathersonR011-100.00200—17:39
12S. PintoC000-250.4311010017:08
21N. CousinsC000-210.04110016:42
81A. GaudetteR000010.35000—11:27
73N. GregorL000010.01200—10:37
43T. KlevenD000-110.01022—10:32
24J. Bernard-DockerD000-200.00020—10:09
38Z. OstapchukC000000.001006707:47
51C. ReinhardtL000-100.0020010005:30
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40M. Sogaard(L)23194.8263.60-0.4057:04

Season series

WPG leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).