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San Jose Sharks at Calgary Flames

FinalTV NBCSCA, SNW·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the San Jose Sharks 3-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Flames led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Joel Hanley's goal at 13:28 of the third period, which took the Flames' chances from 52% to 83%. Expected goals were close — SJS 2.9, CGY 2.9; shots on goal were SJS 29, CGY 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Alexandar Georgiev stopped 33 of 36 (.917); Dustin Wolf stopped 27 of 29 (.931), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Nazem Kadri (1 G, 1 A), 2. Joel Hanley (1 G), 3. Tyler Toffoli (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    N. Kadri1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CGY
    J. Hanley1 G
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    T. Toffoli1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SJSSJS1801318229
CGYCGY11411319336

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. SJS
    wristxG 0.17win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    3:41
  2. CGY
    N. Kadri(20)PPG
    M. Frost (15), M. Weegar (26)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-1
    7:27

2nd period

  1. CGY
    backhandxG 0.29win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-2
    3:35

3rd period

  1. SJS
    backhandxG 0.22win prob +24 ptsVideo
    2-2
    1:54
  2. CGY
    wristxG 0.18win prob +31 ptsVideo
    2-3
    13:28

Penalties

SJS 24 PIM·CGY 8 PIM

1st

  • 6:47SJSHenry Thrun · Holdingdrawn by Jonathan Huberdeau2 min
  • 9:44CGYMacKenzie Weegar · Holdingdrawn by Fabian Zetterlund2 min
  • 16:12SJSJake Walman · Interferencedrawn by Blake Coleman2 min

2nd

  • 11:38CGYMorgan Frost · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 18:58SJSWilliam Eklund · Cross checkingdrawn by Ilya Solovyov2 min

3rd

  • 7:04SJSNico Sturm · Trippingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min
  • 9:00CGYBlake Coleman · Hookingdrawn by Ty Dellandrea2 min
  • 12:49SJSTy Dellandrea · Holdingdrawn by Mikael Backlund2 min
  • 12:49CGYMikael Backlund · Roughingdrawn by Ty Dellandrea2 min
  • 17:04SJSHenry Thrun · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 19:11SJSWilliam Eklund · Slashingdrawn by Jonathan Huberdeau2 min
  • 19:11SJSWilliam Eklund · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalSJS goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: Joel Hanley, 3rd 13:28 — CGY 52% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.31K. Rooney · Goal · xG 0.30C. Zary · On goal · xG 0.18J. Hanley · Goal · xG 0.18N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.18J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.14J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.14N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.11C. Zary · Missed · xG 0.10M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.09M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.09M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.08N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.07C. Zary · On goal · xG 0.07N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.07N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.06N. Kadri · Goal · xG 0.05M. Coronato · Missed · xG 0.05K. Rooney · On goal · xG 0.05M. Coronato · Missed · xG 0.05B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.04R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.04Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.04M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.04M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.03R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.03M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.03R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.03M. Frost · Missed · xG 0.03J. Hanley · Missed · xG 0.02C. Zary · On goal · xG 0.02M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.02R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.01J. Hanley · On goal · xG 0.01R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.01M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.01J. Bean · On goal · xG 0.01M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.01M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.01I. Solovyov · On goal · xG 0.01I. Solovyov · On goal · xG 0.01R. Lomberg · Missed · xG 0.01M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.01J. Hanley · On goal · xG 0.01J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.00I. Solovyov · Missed · xG 0.00R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY3 G · 2.9 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsCGY
2.92 G
All situations
3 G2.9
2.12 G
Even strength
2 G2.0
0.60 G
Power play
1 G0.9
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS50%50%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.82 – 2.82

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsCGY
29
Shots on goal
36
57%
Faceoffs
43%
0/3
Power play
1/6
24
Penalty minutes
8
22
Hits
23
23
Blocked shots
20
12
Giveaways
18
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
38M. FerraroD000000.04110—26:44
96J. WalmanD011020.05132—26:11
71M. CelebriniC101+160.681205420:11
3H. ThrunD000+110.05024—18:54
72W. EklundL011+100.050114—18:41
11L. KuninC000020.135301718:11
21A. WennbergC000000.180107317:59
26J. ThompsonD000-130.05010—17:35
51C. GrafR000010.20200—16:14
2W. SmithC000020.18000016:07
73T. ToffoliC112+230.58100014:07
85S. MukhamadullinD011+110.02010—13:27
20F. ZetterlundL000020.1601010013:02
7N. SturmC000010.103326711:50
37T. LiljegrenD000-120.08010—11:21
23B. GoodrowC000-110.062103311:18
53T. DellandreaC000-120.153227809:26
55W. DuehrR000-100.09300—08:09
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40A. Georgiev(L)36333.9172.87-0.1359:04

Season series

CGY leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).