San Jose Sharks at Calgary Flames
Recap
written from the game dataThe Calgary Flames beat the San Jose Sharks 3-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Flames led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Joel Hanley's goal at 13:28 of the third period, which took the Flames' chances from 52% to 83%. Expected goals were close — SJS 2.9, CGY 2.9; shots on goal were SJS 29, CGY 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Alexandar Georgiev stopped 33 of 36 (.917); Dustin Wolf stopped 27 of 29 (.931), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Nazem Kadri (1 G, 1 A), 2. Joel Hanley (1 G), 3. Tyler Toffoli (1 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★N. Kadri1 G, 1 A

- ★★J. Hanley1 G

- ★★★T. Toffoli1 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals1st period
1-03:41
1-17:27
2nd period
1-23:35
3rd period
2-21:54
2-313:28
Penalties
1st
- 6:47
Henry Thrun · Holdingdrawn by Jonathan Huberdeau2 min
- 9:44
MacKenzie Weegar · Holdingdrawn by Fabian Zetterlund2 min
- 16:12
Jake Walman · Interferencedrawn by Blake Coleman2 min
2nd
- 11:38
Morgan Frost · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- 18:58
William Eklund · Cross checkingdrawn by Ilya Solovyov2 min
3rd
- 7:04
Nico Sturm · Trippingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min
- 9:00
Blake Coleman · Hookingdrawn by Ty Dellandrea2 min
- 12:49
Ty Dellandrea · Holdingdrawn by Mikael Backlund2 min
- 12:49
Mikael Backlund · Roughingdrawn by Ty Dellandrea2 min
- 17:04
Henry Thrun · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- 19:11
William Eklund · Slashingdrawn by Jonathan Huberdeau2 min
- 19:11
William Eklund · Misconduct10 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Joel Hanley, 3rd 13:28 — 52% → 83%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.92 G
- All situations
- 3 G2.9
- 2.12 G
- Even strength
- 2 G2.0
- 0.60 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.9
- 0.20 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.82 – 2.82
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 29
- Shots on goal
- 36
- 57%
- Faceoffs
- 43%
- 0/3
- Power play
- 1/6
- 24
- Penalty minutes
- 8
- 22
- Hits
- 23
- 23
- Blocked shots
- 20
- 12
- Giveaways
- 18
- 5
- Takeaways
- 4
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















