Calgary Flames at San Jose Sharks
Recap
written from the game dataThe Calgary Flames beat the San Jose Sharks 3-1. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mikael Backlund's goal at 6:50 of the second period, which took the Flames' chances from 49% to 65%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 4.7 to 1.9; shots on goal were CGY 33, SJS 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 76% of the time. Dustin Wolf stopped 21 of 22 (.955), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Yaroslav Askarov stopped 30 of 32 (.938), 1.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Nazem Kadri (3 A), 2. Yaroslav Askarov (30 saves, .938), 3. Mikael Backlund (1 G).
Three stars
- ★N. Kadri3 A

- ★★Y. Askarov30 saves, .938

- ★★★M. Backlund1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
4 goals1st period
1-04:40
2nd period
1-13:04
2-16:50
3rd period
3-119:59
Penalties
1st
- 8:17
Nico Sturm · Cross checkingdrawn by Brayden Pachal2 min
- 8:17
Brayden Pachal · Fightingdrawn by Nico Sturm5 min
- 8:17
Nico Sturm · Fightingdrawn by Brayden Pachal5 min
2nd
- 1:52
Connor Zary · Slashingdrawn by Fabian Zetterlund2 min
- 5:01
Timothy Liljegren · Hookingdrawn by Mikael Backlund2 min
- 9:31
Barclay Goodrow · Holdingdrawn by Yegor Sharangovich2 min
3rd
- 2:40
Matt Coronato · Hookingdrawn by Timothy Liljegren2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Mikael Backlund, 2nd 6:50 — 49% → 65%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 4.72 G
- All situations
- 1 G1.9
- 2.41 G
- Even strength
- 0 G1.3
- 1.01 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.6
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.42 – 1.85
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 33
- Shots on goal
- 22
- 47%
- Faceoffs
- 53%
- 1/3
- Power play
- 1/2
- 9
- Penalty minutes
- 11
- 19
- Hits
- 16
- 15
- Blocked shots
- 17
- 12
- Giveaways
- 13
- 5
- Takeaways
- 6
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















