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Calgary Flames at San Jose Sharks

FinalTV NBCSCA, CBC·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the San Jose Sharks 3-1. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mikael Backlund's goal at 6:50 of the second period, which took the Flames' chances from 49% to 65%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 4.7 to 1.9; shots on goal were CGY 33, SJS 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 76% of the time. Dustin Wolf stopped 21 of 22 (.955), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Yaroslav Askarov stopped 30 of 32 (.938), 1.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Nazem Kadri (3 A), 2. Yaroslav Askarov (30 saves, .938), 3. Mikael Backlund (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    N. Kadri3 A
  2. ★★
    SJS
    Y. Askarov30 saves, .938
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    M. Backlund1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY1171917333
SJSSJS071708122

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    M. Weegar (15), N. Kadri (10)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    4:40

2nd period

  1. SJS
    slapxG 0.13win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    3:04
  2. CGY
    wristxG 0.26win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-1
    6:50

3rd period

  1. CGY
    N. Kadri (12), D. Wolf (3)
    backhandxG 0.80win prob +3 ptsVideo
    3-1
    19:59

Penalties

CGY 9 PIM·SJS 11 PIM

1st

  • 8:17SJSNico Sturm · Cross checkingdrawn by Brayden Pachal2 min
  • 8:17CGYBrayden Pachal · Fightingdrawn by Nico Sturm5 min
  • 8:17SJSNico Sturm · Fightingdrawn by Brayden Pachal5 min

2nd

  • 1:52CGYConnor Zary · Slashingdrawn by Fabian Zetterlund2 min
  • 5:01SJSTimothy Liljegren · Hookingdrawn by Mikael Backlund2 min
  • 9:31SJSBarclay Goodrow · Holdingdrawn by Yegor Sharangovich2 min

3rd

  • 2:40CGYMatt Coronato · Hookingdrawn by Timothy Liljegren2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalCGY goalFinal: SJS 0%

Biggest swing: Mikael Backlund, 2nd 6:50 — CGY 49% → 65%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.19S. Mukhamadullin · Missed · xG 0.17N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.16M. Celebrini · Goal · xG 0.13A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.10F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.09W. Smith · Missed · xG 0.09N. Sturm · Missed · xG 0.09M. Celebrini · Missed · xG 0.07F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.07W. Smith · On goal · xG 0.07K. Kostin · Missed · xG 0.07N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.07N. Sturm · Missed · xG 0.06T. Liljegren · Missed · xG 0.05H. Thrun · Missed · xG 0.04T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.04W. Smith · Missed · xG 0.04M. Ferraro · On goal · xG 0.03T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.03M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.03M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.02T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ferraro · Missed · xG 0.02J. Rutta · Missed · xG 0.02T. Liljegren · On goal · xG 0.02W. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01H. Thrun · Missed · xG 0.01B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.01T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.01C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.01H. Thrun · On goal · xG 0.01S. Mukhamadullin · On goal · xG 0.01S. Mukhamadullin · Missed · xG 0.01T. Liljegren · On goal · xG 0.00N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS1 G · 1.9 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsSJS
4.72 G
All situations
1 G1.9
2.41 G
Even strength
0 G1.3
1.01 G
Power play
1 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY76%24%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.42 – 1.85

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsSJS
33
Shots on goal
22
47%
Faceoffs
53%
1/3
Power play
1/2
9
Penalty minutes
11
19
Hits
16
15
Blocked shots
17
12
Giveaways
13
5
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7K. BahlD000+120.05410—24:07
4R. AnderssonD011020.08030—23:56
52M. WeegarD011+200.05300—22:03
11M. BacklundC101030.451105721:23
27M. CoronatoR000010.6001210020:12
20B. ColemanL000020.612203320:07
10J. HuberdeauL202+231.15000—18:49
91N. KadriC033+270.370004718:01
76M. PospisilC000+230.2230010016:14
44J. HanleyD000+110.02110—16:04
24J. BeanD000010.03130—15:34
17Y. SharangovichC000010.16000015:05
47C. ZaryC000010.240122014:48
22J. PelletierL000040.36110—12:55
94B. PachalD000000.01105—12:40
21K. RooneyC000000.131106709:44
71W. DuehrR000010.06100—08:23
70R. LombergL000010.14000—06:43
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32D. Wolf(W)22211.9551.86+0.8660:00

Season series

CGY leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).