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Maple Leafs at Blackhawks
NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs at Chicago Blackhawks

NHL scoreboard
Toronto Maple Leafs
▸5
Chicago Blackhawks
2
FinalTV ESPN+, HULU·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Chicago Blackhawks 5-2. The Blackhawks scored first; the Maple Leafs answered. The Maple Leafs led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jake McCabe's goal at 9:45 of the second period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 47% to 66%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 3.7 to 1.3; shots on goal were TOR 30, CHI 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Joseph Woll stopped 25 of 27 (.926), 0.7 goals below expected; Arvid Soderblom stopped 25 of 29 (.862), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nick Robertson (2 G), 2. Jake McCabe (1 G, 1 A), 3. Tyler Bertuzzi (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    N. Robertson2 G
  2. ★★
    TOR
    J. McCabe1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CHI
    T. Bertuzzi2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TORTOR0631727530
CHICHI11011007227

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CHI
    T. Teravainen(13)PPG
    T. Bertuzzi (12), R. Donato (19)
    wristxG 0.23win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    19:49

2nd period

  1. TOR
    N. Robertson(9)PPG
    M. Domi (18), B. McMann (9)
    snapxG 0.19win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-1
    7:09
  2. TOR
    J. McCabe(2)
    C. Tanev (15), A. Matthews (26)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +19 ptsVideo
    2-1
    9:45
  3. TOR
    N. Robertson(10)
    M. Domi (19), S. Lorentz (9)
    snapxG 0.25win prob +18 ptsVideo
    3-1
    19:45
  4. CHI
    P. Kurashev(5)
    F. Nazar (8), T. Bertuzzi (13)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-2
    19:53

3rd period

  1. TOR
    C. Tanev(2)
    J. McCabe (14), D. Kampf (5)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +13 ptsVideo
    4-2
    12:07
  2. TOR
    P. Holmberg(5)EN
    W. Nylander (25), J. Tavares (26)
    deflectedxG 0.88Video
    5-2
    18:28

Penalties

TOR 2 PIM·CHI 6 PIM

1st

  • 18:22TORChris Tanev · Cross checkingdrawn by Landon Slaggert2 min

2nd

  • 5:16CHISeth Jones · Holdingdrawn by Bobby McMann2 min

3rd

  • 2:46CHICraig Smith · Trippingdrawn by Oliver Ekman-Larsson2 min
  • 18:28CHIserved by L. Slaggert · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalTOR goalFinal: CHI 0%

Biggest swing: Jake McCabe, 2nd 9:45 — TOR 47% → 66%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Teravainen · Goal · xG 0.23P. Kurashev · Goal · xG 0.13T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.13F. Nazar · On goal · xG 0.10P. Kurashev · On goal · xG 0.10T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.06R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.04I. Mikheyev · On goal · xG 0.04C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.04I. Mikheyev · On goal · xG 0.04N. Allan · On goal · xG 0.03C. Bedard · On goal · xG 0.03C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.03F. Nazar · On goal · xG 0.03A. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.03A. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.02I. Mikheyev · On goal · xG 0.02I. Mikheyev · On goal · xG 0.02L. Reichel · On goal · xG 0.02S. Jones · Missed · xG 0.01N. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.01A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.01A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.01A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.01N. Allan · Missed · xG 0.01T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.01P. Kurashev · On goal · xG 0.01T. Bertuzzi · Missed · xG 0.01A. Vlasic · Missed · xG 0.01F. Nazar · Missed · xG 0.01F. Nazar · On goal · xG 0.01S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.00A. Vlasic · Missed · xG 0.00T. Brodie · On goal · xG 0.00
CHI2 G · 1.3 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TORvsCHI
3.74 G
All situations
2 G1.3
2.33 G
Even strength
1 G1.0
0.51 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TOR77%23%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.70 – 1.26

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TORvsCHI
30
Shots on goal
27
61%
Faceoffs
39%
1/3
Power play
1/1
2
Penalty minutes
6
19
Hits
16
18
Blocked shots
15
14
Giveaways
11
6
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Toronto Maple Leafs skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
22J. McCabeD112+320.04050—21:49
44M. RiellyD000020.03220—21:28
95O. Ekman-LarssonD000020.04320—20:36
8C. TanevD112+320.10012—20:33
91J. TavaresC011+120.230006320:15
88W. NylanderR011+110.18000—20:12
16M. MarnerR000+100.26100—17:46
34A. MatthewsC011+140.320005317:29
74B. McMannC011000.17010016:17
23M. KniesL000+110.12310—16:05
29P. HolmbergR101+231.11100—15:53
25C. TimminsD000000.01130—15:33
2S. BenoitD000000.01310—14:54
11M. DomiC022020.140008013:19
89N. RobertsonL202050.69100—13:05
18S. LorentzC011020.09120011:49
64D. KampfC011+120.060005711:27
46A. SteevesC000+100.04300010:24
Toronto Maple Leafs goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
60J. Woll(W)27252.9261.26-0.7459:39

Season series

TOR leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).