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Blackhawks at Maple Leafs
NHL

Chicago Blackhawks at Toronto Maple Leafs

NHL scoreboard
Chicago Blackhawks
1
Toronto Maple Leafs
▸4
FinalTV CHSN, Prime·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Chicago Blackhawks 4-1. The Maple Leafs scored first and never trailed. The Maple Leafs led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was John Tavares's goal at 11:59 of the second period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 72% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 3.0 to 2.7; shots on goal were CHI 28, TOR 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blackhawks win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Arvid Soderblom stopped 18 of 21 (.857), 1.0 goals below expected; Anthony Stolarz stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 1.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Anthony Stolarz (27 saves, .964), 2. Auston Matthews (1 G), 3. Fraser Minten (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    A. Stolarz27 saves, .964
  2. ★★
    TOR
    A. Matthews1 G
  3. ★★★
    TOR
    F. Minten1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI0901019128
TORTOR191726422

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. TOR
    A. Matthews(6)
    W. Nylander (11), O. Ekman-Larsson (8)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-1
    15:35

2nd period

  1. TOR
    J. Tavares(11)
    M. Marner (23), P. Holmberg (4)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +16 ptsVideo
    0-2
    11:59

3rd period

  1. CHI
    L. Reichel(3)
    P. Maroon (7), T. Brodie (5)
    backhandxG 0.45win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    3:26
  2. TOR
    F. Minten(2)
    C. Timmins (4), S. Lorentz (2)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    3:47
  3. TOR
    M. Knies(10)EN
    M. Marner (24), P. Myers (1)
    wristxG 0.58win prob +1 ptsVideo
    1-4
    18:15

Penalties

CHI 4 PIM·TOR 8 PIM

1st

  • 2:06CHIConnor Murphy · Hookingdrawn by Nikita Grebenkin2 min
  • 11:27TORJohn Tavares · Hookingdrawn by Connor Murphy2 min

2nd

  • 2:07TORAuston Matthews · Roughingdrawn by Connor Murphy2 min
  • 3:39TOROliver Ekman-Larsson · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 12:22CHITaylor Hall · Slashingdrawn by Mitch Marner2 min
  • 14:31TORAlex Nylander · Hookingdrawn by Taylor Hall2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalCHI goalFinal: TOR 100%

Biggest swing: John Tavares, 2nd 11:59 — TOR 72% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Knies · Goal · xG 0.58M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.44A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.23W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.18N. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.16A. Matthews · Goal · xG 0.15F. Minten · Goal · xG 0.15N. Grebenkin · On goal · xG 0.12J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.12N. Grebenkin · Missed · xG 0.11A. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.09J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.07W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.07A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.07W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.07S. Benoit · On goal · xG 0.06N. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.05M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.05M. Knies · Missed · xG 0.05M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.03P. Myers · On goal · xG 0.03J. Tavares · Goal · xG 0.03P. Myers · Missed · xG 0.03N. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.02P. Myers · On goal · xG 0.01P. Myers · On goal · xG 0.01P. Myers · On goal · xG 0.01C. Tanev · Missed · xG 0.01M. Knies · On goal · xG 0.00S. Benoit · On goal · xG 0.00
TOR4 G · 3.0 xG · 30 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsTOR
2.71 G
All situations
3 G3.0
2.31 G
Even strength
3 G1.5
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 70 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI62%38%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.59 – 1.99

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsTOR
28
Shots on goal
22
36%
Faceoffs
64%
0/4
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
8
22
Hits
39
6
Blocked shots
16
13
Giveaways
18
5
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72A. VlasicD000-220.09310—24:14
5C. MurphyD000-130.23512—20:30
25A. MartinezD000-110.11010—20:25
98C. BedardC000-100.000004318:52
59T. BertuzziL000000.04200—18:06
44W. KaiserD000010.02010—16:40
78T. BrodieD011000.00010—16:35
8R. DonatoC000-330.32010016:16
17N. FolignoL000-110.22100—16:14
16J. DickinsonC000-210.301003615:50
77P. MaroonL011020.10300—15:40
71T. HallL000-120.101025015:33
86T. TeravainenC000-210.0100010015:25
73L. ReichelL101+120.530002914:02
42N. AllanD000-100.00400—13:56
15C. SmithC000+140.16100013:32
95I. MikheyevR000-140.32000—12:58
23P. KurashevC000-200.121004011:55
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40A. Soderblom(L)21183.8571.99-1.0159:17

Season series

TOR leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).