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Kraken at Lightning
NHL

Seattle Kraken at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL scoreboard
Seattle Kraken
1
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸4
FinalTV FDSNSUN, KHN/Prime·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Seattle Kraken 4-1. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brandon Hagel's goal at 9:27 of the second period, which took the Lightning's chances from 48% to 67%. Expected goals were close — SEA 3.3, TBL 3.4; shots on goal were SEA 37, TBL 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kraken win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Ales Stezka stopped 20 of 23 (.870), 0.5 goals below expected; Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 36 of 37 (.973), 2.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Andrei Vasilevskiy (36 saves, .973), 2. Brandon Hagel (1 G, 1 A), 3. Nikita Kucherov (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    A. Vasilevskiy36 saves, .973
  2. ★★
    TBL
    B. Hagel1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    N. Kucherov1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SEASEA01101818137
TBLTBL0711037424

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. TBL
    B. Hagel(27)SHG
    R. McDonagh (17), E. Lilleberg (13)
    backhandxG 0.05win prob +19 ptsVideo
    0-1
    9:27

3rd period

  1. TBL
    N. Kucherov(26)
    B. Point (28)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-2
    11:15
  2. TBL
    L. Glendening(4)
    C. Atkinson (5), M. Eyssimont (5)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +2 ptsVideo
    0-3
    12:58
  3. SEA
    S. Wright(13)
    B. Montour (18), J. Mahura (7)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +1 ptsVideo
    1-3
    15:24
  4. TBL
    N. Paul(17)EN
    B. Hagel (37), A. Cirelli (23)
    wristxG 0.90Video
    1-4
    18:14

Penalties

SEA 0 PIM·TBL 2 PIM

2nd

  • 9:11TBLErik Cernak · Trippingdrawn by Brandon Montour2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalSEA goalFinal: TBL 100%

Biggest swing: Brandon Hagel, 2nd 9:27 — TBL 48% → 67%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Paul · Goal · xG 0.90A. Cirelli · Missed · xG 0.21G. Goncalves · On goal · xG 0.15J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.14B. Point · On goal · xG 0.13J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.11M. Chaffee · On goal · xG 0.10B. Point · Missed · xG 0.10B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.10B. Point · On goal · xG 0.09A. Cirelli · Missed · xG 0.09Z. Girgensons · On goal · xG 0.09Z. Girgensons · Missed · xG 0.09L. Glendening · Goal · xG 0.08M. Chaffee · Missed · xG 0.08Z. Girgensons · On goal · xG 0.08J. Moser · Missed · xG 0.06B. Hagel · Missed · xG 0.06N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.06N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.06J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.05N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.05B. Hagel · Goal · xG 0.05M. Eyssimont · On goal · xG 0.05N. Kucherov · Goal · xG 0.05Z. Girgensons · Missed · xG 0.05Z. Girgensons · On goal · xG 0.03A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.03J. Moser · On goal · xG 0.02J. Moser · Missed · xG 0.02J. Moser · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Girgensons · Missed · xG 0.02R. McDonagh · Missed · xG 0.02E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.02G. Goncalves · On goal · xG 0.02V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.01M. Eyssimont · Missed · xG 0.01E. Cernak · Missed · xG 0.01A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.01V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.01L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.01D. Raddysh · Missed · xG 0.00E. Lilleberg · Missed · xG 0.00
TBL4 G · 3.4 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SEAvsTBL
3.31 G
All situations
3 G3.4
2.81 G
Even strength
2 G2.4
0.50 G
Power play
0 G0.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SEA62%38%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.11 – 2.46

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SEAvsTBL
37
Shots on goal
24
43%
Faceoffs
57%
0/1
Power play
0/0
0
Penalty minutes
2
25
Hits
29
8
Blocked shots
12
12
Giveaways
13
6
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Seattle Kraken skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
29V. DunnD000-240.18010—24:27
62B. MontourD011010.01100—23:25
84K. KakkoR000-260.3610010021:43
6A. LarssonD000-110.02120—20:52
24J. OleksiakD000020.43200—20:36
9C. StephensonC000-310.351103520:31
17J. SchwartzL000-230.28000—19:53
10M. BeniersC000-140.271105019:40
95A. BurakovskyL000020.12100—15:29
19J. McCannL000-250.250003315:13
22O. BjorkstrandR000-110.11200—15:11
20E. TolvanenR000000.01200—14:33
41R. EvansD000-110.03300—14:30
51S. WrightC101+110.102304514:03
28J. MahuraD011020.03400—13:35
7J. EberleR000-200.00000—11:46
13B. TanevL000030.80300—10:27
67M. StephensC000000.001004005:46
Seattle Kraken goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30A. Stezka(L)23203.8702.46-0.5458:20

Season series

TBL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).