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Lightning at Kraken
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at Seattle Kraken

NHL scoreboard
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸5
Seattle Kraken
1
FinalTV FDSNSUN, KHN/Prime·Climate Pledge Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Seattle Kraken 5-1. The Kraken scored first; the Lightning answered. The Lightning led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jake Guentzel's goal at 4:03 of the third period, which took the Lightning's chances from 77% to 91%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 3.1 to 2.4; shots on goal were TBL 31, SEA 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Jonas Johansson stopped 21 of 22 (.955), 1.4 goals saved above expected; Philipp Grubauer stopped 26 of 30 (.867), 1.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jake Guentzel (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jonas Johansson (21 saves, .955), 3. Brandon Montour (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    J. Guentzel1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    TBL
    J. Johansson21 saves, .955
  3. ★★★
    SEA
    B. Montour1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TBLTBL21001338531
SEASEA180806122

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. SEA
    B. Montour(8)PPG
    E. Tolvanen (7), S. Wright (7)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    4:24
  2. TBL
    B. Hagel(14)
    N. Perbix (5)
    tip-inxG 0.03win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    8:16
  3. TBL
    B. Point(20)
    D. Raddysh (8), J. Guentzel (14)
    snapxG 0.22win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-1
    13:21

3rd period

  1. TBL
    J. Guentzel(17)PPG
    B. Point (16), N. Kucherov (31)
    batxG 0.10win prob +15 ptsVideo
    3-1
    4:03
  2. TBL
    B. Hagel(15)EN
    N. Kucherov (32)
    wristxG 0.46win prob +1 ptsVideo
    4-1
    16:08
  3. TBL
    D. Carlile(1)
    L. Glendening (2), M. Eyssimont (2)
    wristxG 0.07Video
    5-1
    19:38

Penalties

TBL 4 PIM·SEA 6 PIM

1st

  • 2:34TBLEmil Lilleberg · Cross checkingdrawn by Tye Kartye2 min

2nd

  • 8:20SEAChandler Stephenson · Holdingdrawn by Nikita Kucherov2 min
  • 15:42SEARyker Evans · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 2:58SEAVince Dunn · Cross checkingdrawn by Gage Goncalves2 min
  • 13:49TBLDarren Raddysh · Trippingdrawn by Oliver Bjorkstrand2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SEA goalTBL goalFinal: SEA 0%

Biggest swing: Jake Guentzel, 3rd 4:03 — TBL 77% → 91%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.30M. Stephens · Missed · xG 0.27E. Tolvanen · Missed · xG 0.27M. Stephens · Missed · xG 0.14J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.12M. Beniers · Missed · xG 0.12A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.09E. Tolvanen · Missed · xG 0.08B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.08B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.07S. Wright · On goal · xG 0.07E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.07E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.07A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.07E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.06B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.06A. Burakovsky · Missed · xG 0.05M. Beniers · On goal · xG 0.05J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.05A. Burakovsky · Missed · xG 0.05B. Montour · Goal · xG 0.04E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.04M. Beniers · Missed · xG 0.04O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.04V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.03A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.02A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.02R. Evans · Missed · xG 0.02M. Beniers · On goal · xG 0.01J. McCann · Missed · xG 0.01J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.01A. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.01V. Dunn · Missed · xG 0.01A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.00B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.00
SEA1 G · 2.4 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsSEA
3.14 G
All situations
1 G2.4
1.93 G
Even strength
0 G2.1
0.61 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL55%45%SEA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.59 – 2.29

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsSEA
31
Shots on goal
22
47%
Faceoffs
53%
1/3
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
15
Hits
33
17
Blocked shots
15
11
Giveaways
11
10
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27R. McDonaghD000+230.06010—22:30
48N. PerbixD011+100.00110—21:54
78E. LillebergD000+110.03322—21:35
38B. HagelL202+230.51020—20:41
86N. KucherovR022+220.11000—20:24
43D. RaddyshD011+230.33112—20:13
59J. GuentzelC112+130.300101719:51
21B. PointC112+140.650004418:36
71A. CirelliC000+220.200205718:00
81E. CernakD000+110.01420—18:00
20N. PaulL000000.040205415:16
41M. ChaffeeR000010.05000—13:17
14C. GeekieC000000.06200011:56
93G. GoncalvesC000030.37000011:39
67D. CarlileD101+110.10020—11:10
28Z. GirgensonsC000+110.022005010:47
11L. GlendeningC011+120.200004610:23
23M. EyssimontC011+210.04210009:58
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31J. Johansson(W)22211.9552.44+1.4460:00

Season series

TBL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).