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Maple Leafs at Kraken
NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs at Seattle Kraken

NHL scoreboard
Toronto Maple Leafs
▸3
Seattle Kraken
1
FinalTV ESPN+, HULU·Climate Pledge Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Seattle Kraken 3-1. The Maple Leafs scored first and never trailed. The Maple Leafs led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Philippe Myers's goal at 7:23 of the first period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 46% to 59%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 2.7 to 2.4; shots on goal were TOR 30, SEA 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Anthony Stolarz stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 1.4 goals saved above expected; Joey Daccord stopped 27 of 30 (.900). Three stars: 1. Anthony Stolarz (26 saves, .963), 2. Bobby McMann (1 G), 3. Eeli Tolvanen (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    A. Stolarz26 saves, .963
  2. ★★
    TOR
    B. McMann1 G
  3. ★★★
    SEA
    E. Tolvanen1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TORTOR21018012330
SEASEA0709111127

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. TOR
    P. Myers(1)
    J. Tavares (24), M. Marner (55)
    slapxG 0.01win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    7:23
  2. TOR
    B. McMann(17)PPG
    M. Rielly (20), M. Domi (17)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +11 ptsVideo
    2-0
    18:53

2nd period

  1. TOR
    M. Knies(21)
    J. McCabe (13), A. Matthews (24)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +5 ptsVideo
    3-0
    12:37

3rd period

  1. SEA
    E. Tolvanen(16)
    O. Bjorkstrand (20), J. Daccord (2)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +6 ptsVideo
    3-1
    5:43

Penalties

TOR 15 PIM·SEA 11 PIM

1st

  • 1:34TORMorgan Rielly · Hookingdrawn by Matty Beniers2 min
  • 4:34SEAMitchell Stephens · Cross checkingdrawn by Pontus Holmberg2 min
  • 8:51TORPhilippe Myers · Interferencedrawn by Andre Burakovsky2 min
  • 17:06SEAChandler Stephenson · High sticking double minordrawn by Morgan Rielly4 min

2nd

  • 3:25TORserved by M. Domi · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 11:21TORSimon Benoit · Fightingdrawn by Oliver Bjorkstrand5 min
  • 11:21SEAOliver Bjorkstrand · Fightingdrawn by Simon Benoit5 min

3rd

  • 9:59TORMax Pacioretty · Trippingdrawn by Josh Mahura2 min
  • 16:52TORAuston Matthews · High stickingdrawn by Brandon Montour2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SEA goalTOR goalFinal: SEA 0%

Biggest swing: Philippe Myers, 1st 7:23 — TOR 46% → 59%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Tanev · Missed · xG 0.17S. Wright · On goal · xG 0.17J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.12S. Wright · Missed · xG 0.12B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.10O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.10B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.10E. Tolvanen · Missed · xG 0.10J. McCann · Missed · xG 0.08S. Wright · On goal · xG 0.08M. Beniers · On goal · xG 0.08B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.07O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.06J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.06C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.06M. Beniers · On goal · xG 0.06J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.06V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.05C. Stephenson · Missed · xG 0.05B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.04J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.04C. Stephenson · Missed · xG 0.04B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.03B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.03A. Burakovsky · Missed · xG 0.03C. Fleury · On goal · xG 0.03S. Wright · On goal · xG 0.03S. Wright · Missed · xG 0.03B. Tanev · Missed · xG 0.03V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.03B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.03E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.02J. Mahura · Missed · xG 0.02M. Stephens · On goal · xG 0.02V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.02B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.02E. Tolvanen · Goal · xG 0.02K. Kakko · Missed · xG 0.02A. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.02B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.02J. McCann · Missed · xG 0.02J. Oleksiak · Missed · xG 0.02M. Stephens · Missed · xG 0.02O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.01A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.01V. Dunn · Missed · xG 0.01V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.01B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.01J. Mahura · On goal · xG 0.01E. Tolvanen · Missed · xG 0.01J. Mahura · On goal · xG 0.00
SEA1 G · 2.4 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TORvsSEA
2.73 G
All situations
1 G2.4
1.62 G
Even strength
1 G1.3
0.81 G
Power play
0 G1.1
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TOR55%45%SEA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.64 – 2.39

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TORvsSEA
30
Shots on goal
27
52%
Faceoffs
48%
1/3
Power play
0/5
15
Penalty minutes
11
14
Hits
15
19
Blocked shots
11
14
Giveaways
15
1
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Toronto Maple Leafs skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
16M. MarnerR011+110.34000—25:08
34A. MatthewsC011+160.600126722:41
22J. McCabeD011+110.03310—21:45
44M. RiellyD011030.07012—21:35
8C. TanevD000+100.00160—21:19
95O. Ekman-LarssonD000000.05000—19:22
88W. NylanderR000+120.20010—18:43
23M. KniesL101+120.12010—18:40
91J. TavaresC011+100.260105617:19
51P. MyersD101040.11212—14:21
2S. BenoitD000000.02425—13:59
11M. DomiC011+110.12000013:28
74B. McMannC101030.36000012:37
29P. HolmbergR000040.100004511:40
64D. KampfC000-100.000003310:39
89N. RobertsonL000000.00010—09:34
18S. LorentzC000-110.16130009:01
67M. PaciorettyL000-120.14302—08:09
Toronto Maple Leafs goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41A. Stolarz(W)27261.9632.41+1.4160:00

Season series

TOR leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).