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Kraken at Maple Leafs
NHL

Seattle Kraken at Toronto Maple Leafs

NHL scoreboard
Seattle Kraken
1
Toronto Maple Leafs
▸4
FinalTV KHN/Prime, KING 5·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Seattle Kraken 4-1. The Maple Leafs scored first and never trailed. The Maple Leafs led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matthew Knies's goal at 19:55 of the first period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 3.7 to 1.5; shots on goal were SEA 25, TOR 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Joey Daccord stopped 26 of 29 (.897), 0.8 goals below expected; Joseph Woll stopped 24 of 25 (.960). Three stars: 1. William Nylander (2 G), 2. Joseph Woll (24 saves, .960), 3. John Tavares (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    W. Nylander2 G
  2. ★★
    TOR
    J. Woll24 saves, .960
  3. ★★★
    TOR
    J. Tavares2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SEASEA0110915125
TORTOR11426110430

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. TOR
    M. Knies(6)
    M. Marner (11), A. Matthews (5)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-1
    19:55

2nd period

  1. TOR
    W. Nylander(7)
    M. Rielly (3), J. Tavares (5)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    1:39
  2. TOR
    W. Nylander(8)
    J. Tavares (6), M. Pacioretty (4)
    snapxG 0.27win prob +8 ptsVideo
    0-3
    9:24

3rd period

  1. SEA
    E. Tolvanen(4)
    R. Evans (4), M. Beniers (5)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +1 ptsVideo
    1-3
    16:32
  2. TOR
    A. Matthews(5)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.56Video
    1-4
    18:17

Penalties

SEA 4 PIM·TOR 6 PIM

1st

  • 5:31TORAuston Matthews · Trippingdrawn by Ryker Evans2 min
  • 6:53SEAMatty Beniers · Holdingdrawn by Matthew Knies2 min

2nd

  • 4:02TORMatthew Knies · Holding the stickdrawn by Brandon Tanev2 min
  • 16:47TORWilliam Nylander · Closing hand on puck2 min

3rd

  • 8:36SEAAdam Larsson · Interferencedrawn by Nick Robertson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalSEA goalFinal: TOR 100%

Biggest swing: Matthew Knies, 1st 19:55 — TOR 53% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Matthews · Goal · xG 0.56W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.56A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.38W. Nylander · Goal · xG 0.27B. McMann · Missed · xG 0.19O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.18M. Knies · Goal · xG 0.17M. Pacioretty · Missed · xG 0.13B. McMann · On goal · xG 0.12D. Kampf · On goal · xG 0.10W. Nylander · Goal · xG 0.10A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.10M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.10W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.08M. Domi · Missed · xG 0.08J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.08J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.07A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.05A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.05J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.04P. Holmberg · On goal · xG 0.04P. Holmberg · On goal · xG 0.03O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.03M. Knies · On goal · xG 0.03W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.03B. McMann · On goal · xG 0.03M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.02M. Pacioretty · Missed · xG 0.02W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.02B. McMann · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rielly · Missed · xG 0.01M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.01J. McCabe · On goal · xG 0.01A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.01S. Benoit · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rielly · Missed · xG 0.01J. McCabe · Missed · xG 0.00O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.00W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.00N. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.00
TOR4 G · 3.7 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SEAvsTOR
1.51 G
All situations
3 G3.7
1.01 G
Even strength
3 G1.7
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SEA35%65%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.45 – 2.18

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SEAvsTOR
25
Shots on goal
30
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/3
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
30
Hits
34
22
Blocked shots
15
18
Giveaways
22
5
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Seattle Kraken skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
41R. EvansD011-110.07140—25:31
6A. LarssonD000-110.08222—21:39
24J. OleksiakD000-220.05120—20:01
3W. BorgenD000-200.02300—19:10
19J. McCannL000-250.18000—18:37
9C. StephensonC000-210.051005818:31
7J. EberleR000-220.08010—17:59
17J. SchwartzL000020.18010—17:49
10M. BeniersC011010.011121916:55
22O. BjorkstrandR000-140.22220—16:46
37Y. GourdeC000-100.001305015:19
20E. TolvanenR101020.26310—14:43
13B. TanevL000000.00220—14:20
95A. BurakovskyL000-200.0000010013:30
51S. WrightC000+110.181107513:09
28J. MahuraD000010.04300—13:03
8C. FleuryD000010.03120—11:47
12T. KartyeL000010.01800—10:44
Seattle Kraken goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35J. Daccord(L)29263.8972.21-0.7956:27

Season series

TOR leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).