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Hurricanes at Wild
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Minnesota Wild

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Carolina Hurricanes
1
Minnesota Wild
▸2
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Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Carolina Hurricanes 2-1. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Vinnie Hinostroza's goal at 0:49 of the third period, which took the Wild's chances from 76% to 92%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.0 to 2.1; shots on goal were CAR 38, MIN 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Frederik Andersen stopped 22 of 24 (.917); Filip Gustavsson stopped 37 of 38 (.974), 2.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jared Spurgeon (1 A), 2. Filip Gustavsson (37 saves, .974), 3. Vinnie Hinostroza (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    J. Spurgeon1 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    F. Gustavsson37 saves, .974
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    V. Hinostroza1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR015010113138
MINMIN1701017224

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    Y. Trenin(5)
    M. Khusnutdinov (4), Z. Bogosian (8)
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    2:55

3rd period

  1. MIN
    V. Hinostroza(1)
    J. Spurgeon (12), J. Brodin (13)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +16 ptsVideo
    0-2
    0:49
  2. CAR
    S. Aho(18)
    S. Jarvis (21), A. Svechnikov (21)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +6 ptsVideo
    1-2
    17:12

Penalties

CAR 6 PIM·MIN 4 PIM

1st

  • 9:21MINZach Bogosian · Roughingdrawn by Jesperi Kotkaniemi2 min
  • 13:38CARJackson Blake · Hookingdrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min

2nd

  • 3:50MINMarco Rossi · Slashingdrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min
  • 12:05MINBrock Faber · Ps holding on breakawaydrawn by Jackson Blake0 min
  • 12:43CARMikko Rantanen · Trippingdrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min

3rd

  • 9:34CARMikko Rantanen · Trippingdrawn by Marcus Johansson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalCAR goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Vinnie Hinostroza, 3rd 0:49 — MIN 76% → 92%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Shore · Missed · xG 0.19M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.16M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.16M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.16M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.12B. Faber · Missed · xG 0.10J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.10M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.10J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.09Y. Trenin · Goal · xG 0.09F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.08J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.08J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.08M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.07B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.07M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.06V. Hinostroza · Goal · xG 0.05V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.05B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.04F. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.04M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.04J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.04J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.04D. Shore · On goal · xG 0.02M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.02F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.02J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Bogosian · Missed · xG 0.01J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.01J. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.00V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN2 G · 2.1 xG · 31 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsMIN
3.01 G
All situations
2 G2.1
1.91 G
Even strength
2 G1.7
1.00 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR66%34%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.95 – 2.06

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsMIN
38
Shots on goal
24
59%
Faceoffs
41%
0/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
8
Hits
19
11
Blocked shots
23
15
Giveaways
7
5
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8B. BurnsD000080.26010—22:05
24S. JarvisR011+110.08100—21:59
20S. AhoC101+130.450007021:57
96M. RantanenR000030.42114—20:47
4S. GostisbehereD000-110.12000—19:49
74J. SlavinD000010.02010—19:42
5J. ChatfieldD000040.15010—19:02
7D. OrlovD000030.05120—17:54
26S. WalkerD000-110.06020—17:52
53J. BlakeR000030.700025017:50
37A. SvechnikovR011040.34000—16:11
71T. HallL000+130.06020—16:02
82J. KotkaniemiC000010.061105615:52
11J. StaalC000-100.071005314:40
48J. MartinookL000-110.131003314:17
50E. RobinsonL000-110.01200—07:57
98J. RoslovicC000-100.010006707:40
54J. JaaskaL000-100.00000—05:31
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31F. Andersen(L)24222.9172.10+0.1056:53

Season series

MIN leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).