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Wild at Hurricanes
NHL

Minnesota Wild at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
▸4
Carolina Hurricanes
0
FinalTV FDSNSO, FDSNNOX·Lenovo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Carolina Hurricanes 4-0. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Joel Eriksson Ek's goal at 11:30 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 68% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 2.7 to 2.3; shots on goal were MIN 27, CAR 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Filip Gustavsson stopped 21 of 21 (1.000), 2.3 goals saved above expected; Pyotr Kochetkov stopped 23 of 26 (.885), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Filip Gustavsson (21 saves, 1.000), 2. Matt Boldy (1 G, 2 A), 3. Marco Rossi (4 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    F. Gustavsson21 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    MIN
    M. Boldy1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    M. Rossi4 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN11011027427
CARCAR080904021

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    M. Zuccarello(9)
    M. Rossi (19), M. Boldy (19)
    slapxG 0.13win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-0
    13:03

2nd period

  1. MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek(6)PPG
    M. Zuccarello (15), M. Rossi (20)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    11:30

3rd period

  1. MIN
    M. Boldy(14)
    M. Rossi (21), J. Brodin (11)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +4 ptsVideo
    3-0
    9:20
  2. MIN
    M. Zuccarello(10)EN
    M. Boldy (20), M. Rossi (22)
    wristxG 0.52Video
    4-0
    17:14

Penalties

MIN 10 PIM·CAR 8 PIM

1st

  • 1:32MINJoel Eriksson Ek · High sticking double minordrawn by Seth Jarvis4 min
  • 7:52MINMats Zuccarello · Roughingdrawn by Seth Jarvis2 min
  • 7:52CARSeth Jarvis · Roughingdrawn by Mats Zuccarello2 min
  • 8:34CARSebastian Aho · Slashingdrawn by Marco Rossi2 min

2nd

  • 4:33MINMats Zuccarello · Trippingdrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min
  • 7:18CARWilliam Carrier · Trippingdrawn by Mats Zuccarello2 min
  • 9:51CARPyotr Kochetkov · Trippingdrawn by Marcus Foligno2 min

3rd

  • 0:28MINBrock Faber · Hookingdrawn by William Carrier2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalMIN goalFinal: CAR 0%

Biggest swing: Joel Eriksson Ek, 2nd 11:30 — MIN 68% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.18S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.16J. Roslovic · Missed · xG 0.13J. Blake · Missed · xG 0.11S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.10J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.10S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.09A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.08J. Roslovic · Missed · xG 0.07J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.07S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.07J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.07J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.06T. Smith · On goal · xG 0.06J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.06S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.06S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.06A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.06J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.05S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.05J. Kotkaniemi · Missed · xG 0.05J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.05S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.05E. Robinson · Missed · xG 0.05J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.05J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.04S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.04M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.04J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.03S. Walker · Missed · xG 0.03S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.02D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.02D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.02J. Roslovic · Missed · xG 0.02T. Smith · Missed · xG 0.02J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.02J. Drury · Missed · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.01D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chatfield · Missed · xG 0.01T. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01J. Roslovic · Missed · xG 0.01J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.00J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.00D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR0 G · 2.3 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsCAR
2.73 G
All situations
0 G2.3
1.52 G
Even strength
0 G1.9
0.61 G
Power play
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN47%53%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.11 – 2.25

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsCAR
27
Shots on goal
21
39%
Faceoffs
61%
1/3
Power play
0/4
10
Penalty minutes
8
14
Hits
11
17
Blocked shots
12
12
Giveaways
20
3
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7B. FaberD000+110.03032—30:33
25J. BrodinD011+210.01040—28:38
23M. RossiC044+300.260103920:57
24Z. BogosianD000+120.04120—20:41
12M. BoldyL123+340.6011010019:57
36M. ZuccarelloR213+350.69004—19:41
14J. Eriksson EkC101050.330143319:37
89F. GaudreauC000010.050004317:16
47D. ChisholmD000000.00100—16:40
13Y. TreninC000020.11200015:29
17M. FolignoL000020.10620—13:13
90M. JohanssonL000020.19000—12:27
38R. HartmanR000010.1913010012:21
4J. MerrillD000+100.02100—11:14
22M. KhusnutdinovC000000.00000010:19
21B. GaunceC000010.031005007:28
44T. DermottD000+100.00000—06:54
39B. JonesC000000.01000006:45
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32F. Gustavsson(W)212101.0002.28+2.2859:50

Season series

MIN leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).