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Blackhawks at Hurricanes
NHL

Chicago Blackhawks at Carolina Hurricanes

FinalTV FDSNSO, CHSN·Lenovo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Chicago Blackhawks 3-2. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mikko Rantanen's goal at 4:52 of the second period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.2 to 1.7; shots on goal were CHI 20, CAR 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Arvid Soderblom stopped 24 of 27 (.889); Pyotr Kochetkov stopped 18 of 20 (.900). Three stars: 1. Mikko Rantanen (1 G), 2. Juha Jaaska (2 A), 3. Jaccob Slavin (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    M. Rantanen1 G
  2. ★★
    CAR
    J. Jaaska2 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    J. Slavin1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI1301116220
CARCAR1721109327

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    S. Jarvis(20)SHG
    snapxG 0.24win prob +16 ptsVideo
    0-1
    16:57
  2. CHI
    snapxG 0.21win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-1
    18:38

2nd period

  1. CAR
    snapxG 0.10win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-2
    4:52
  2. CAR
    snapxG 0.33win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    5:59

3rd period

  1. CHI
    wristxG 0.13win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-3
    6:29

Penalties

CHI 4 PIM·CAR 6 PIM

1st

  • 15:15CARShayne Gostisbehere · Trippingdrawn by Colton Dach2 min

2nd

  • 13:37CARJackson Blake · High stickingdrawn by Seth Jones2 min

3rd

  • 15:35CHILukas Reichel · Trippingdrawn by Jesperi Kotkaniemi2 min
  • 19:20CHINick Foligno · Trippingdrawn by Andrei Svechnikov2 min
  • 19:50CARJaccob Slavin · Slashingdrawn by Jason Dickinson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalCHI goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Mikko Rantanen, 2nd 4:52 — CAR 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Slavin · Goal · xG 0.33S. Jarvis · Goal · xG 0.24M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.20A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.19J. Roslovic · Missed · xG 0.17A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.17J. Blake · Missed · xG 0.15E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.15E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.14A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.12S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.11A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.11M. Rantanen · Goal · xG 0.11J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.10J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.10M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.09M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.07S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.07S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.07A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.07E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.06M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.06M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.05D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.04A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.04J. Kotkaniemi · Missed · xG 0.04S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.04S. Walker · Missed · xG 0.04J. Roslovic · Missed · xG 0.03J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.02J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01J. Jaaska · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR3 G · 3.2 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsCAR
1.72 G
All situations
3 G3.2
1.22 G
Even strength
2 G2.3
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.40 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 62 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI27%73%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.74 – 3.02

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsCAR
20
Shots on goal
27
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
18
Hits
15
17
Blocked shots
13
22
Giveaways
17
7
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4S. JonesD011+120.04050—25:22
98C. BedardC101-120.161104323:47
72A. VlasicD000-110.00020—21:15
59T. BertuzziL000-110.081005018:54
86T. TeravainenC000-110.02100018:23
8R. DonatoC000-110.131004418:05
25A. MartinezD000020.03020—17:30
42N. AllanD000000.00400—16:58
46L. CrevierD000-110.06300—16:57
78T. BrodieD000000.00010—16:47
91F. NazarC000010.01000015:38
16J. DickinsonC011+100.263305315:33
17N. FolignoL011+100.000028314:09
84L. SlaggertL000010.37000—13:25
95I. MikheyevR101+130.23000—13:22
28C. DachC000030.27310012:09
73L. ReichelL000-100.000125711:24
23P. KurashevC000-210.0811010009:51
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40A. Soderblom(L)27243.8893.07+0.0757:51

Season series

CAR leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).