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Hurricanes at Blackhawks
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Chicago Blackhawks

Final/OTTV FDSNSO, CHSN·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Chicago Blackhawks 4-3 in overtime, Sebastian Aho scoring at 0:59. The Hurricanes came back from two goals down. The Blackhawks led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sebastian Aho's goal at 0:59 of overtime, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.5 to 2.6; shots on goal were CAR 48, CHI 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Frederik Andersen stopped 22 of 25 (.880); Petr Mrazek stopped 44 of 48 (.917), 0.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Sebastian Aho (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jaccob Slavin (3 A), 3. Petr Mrazek (44 saves, .917).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    S. Aho1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CAR
    J. Slavin3 A
  3. ★★★
    CHI
    P. Mrazek44 saves, .917

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
CARCAR01521311911448
CHICHI212160700325

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CHI
    wristxG 0.18win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    9:46
  2. CHI
    S. Jones (16), F. Nazar (4)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    16:55

2nd period

  1. CAR
    S. Jarvis(16)SHG
    S. Aho (32), J. Slavin (13)
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-2
    1:25
  2. CAR
    wristxG 0.21win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-2
    7:26
  3. CHI
    wristxG 0.18win prob +23 ptsVideo
    2-3
    19:41

3rd period

  1. CAR
    wristxG 0.28win prob +35 ptsVideo
    3-3
    13:37

Overtime

  1. CAR
    S. Aho(14)
    M. Necas (36), J. Slavin (15)
    slapxG 0.19win prob +51 ptsVideo
    4-3
    0:59

Penalties

CAR 4 PIM·CHI 4 PIM

1st

  • 4:23CHINick Foligno · Slashingdrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min
  • 13:25CARJack Drury · Holdingdrawn by Alex Vlasic2 min

2nd

  • 1:01CARDmitry Orlov · High stickingdrawn by Frank Nazar2 min
  • 11:24CHIConnor Bedard · Hookingdrawn by Jalen Chatfield2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalCAR goalFinal: CHI 0%

Biggest swing: Sebastian Aho, OT 0:59 — CAR 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Dach · On goal · xG 0.59N. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.19R. Donato · Goal · xG 0.18P. Kurashev · Goal · xG 0.18T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.16T. Bertuzzi · Goal · xG 0.13F. Nazar · On goal · xG 0.13T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.10J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.10T. Bertuzzi · Missed · xG 0.07C. Dach · Missed · xG 0.07L. Reichel · On goal · xG 0.07C. Bedard · On goal · xG 0.07T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.06I. Mikheyev · Missed · xG 0.05T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.05T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.05F. Nazar · Missed · xG 0.05R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.04A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.04I. Mikheyev · On goal · xG 0.03L. Crevier · On goal · xG 0.03L. Reichel · On goal · xG 0.02C. Bedard · On goal · xG 0.02A. Martinez · Missed · xG 0.02R. Donato · Missed · xG 0.02J. Dickinson · Missed · xG 0.02T. Brodie · On goal · xG 0.01A. Martinez · Missed · xG 0.01T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.01S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01L. Crevier · Missed · xG 0.01A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.01T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.01L. Crevier · Missed · xG 0.00L. Crevier · On goal · xG 0.00I. Mikheyev · On goal · xG 0.00
CHI3 G · 2.6 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsCHI
3.54 G
All situations
3 G2.6
3.03 G
Even strength
3 G2.3
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 105 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR64%36%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.38 – 2.51

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsCHI
48
Shots on goal
25
61%
Faceoffs
39%
0/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
19
Hits
23
10
Blocked shots
21
17
Giveaways
18
5
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. SlavinD033-110.03130—26:21
8B. BurnsD000+140.09020—22:25
5J. ChatfieldD000+210.06200—20:39
20S. AhoC112030.571006719:15
7D. OrlovD011+120.09012—17:40
48J. MartinookL011+130.15000—17:01
88M. NecasC011040.35100017:00
24S. JarvisR101+230.25100—16:53
11J. StaalC101+140.452106316:43
37A. SvechnikovR000-230.18310—16:29
26S. WalkerD000-130.05110—16:27
53J. BlakeR000-140.34100—15:49
50E. RobinsonL011+150.35300—15:20
82J. KotkaniemiC101+110.212005014:24
4S. GostisbehereD000-110.02000—13:32
96J. RoslovicC000-120.1100010012:52
18J. DruryC000-130.100126412:10
54J. JaaskaL000010.0610010007:57
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31F. Andersen(W)25223.8802.63-0.3760:59

Season series

CAR leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).