Carolina Hurricanes at Chicago Blackhawks
Recap
written from the game dataThe Carolina Hurricanes beat the Chicago Blackhawks 4-3 in overtime, Sebastian Aho scoring at 0:59. The Hurricanes came back from two goals down. The Blackhawks led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sebastian Aho's goal at 0:59 of overtime, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.5 to 2.6; shots on goal were CAR 48, CHI 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Frederik Andersen stopped 22 of 25 (.880); Petr Mrazek stopped 44 of 48 (.917), 0.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Sebastian Aho (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jaccob Slavin (3 A), 3. Petr Mrazek (44 saves, .917).
Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals1st period
0-19:46
0-216:55
2nd period
1-21:25
2-27:26
2-319:41
3rd period
3-313:37
Overtime
4-30:59
Penalties
1st
- 4:23
Nick Foligno · Slashingdrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min
- 13:25
Jack Drury · Holdingdrawn by Alex Vlasic2 min
2nd
- 1:01
Dmitry Orlov · High stickingdrawn by Frank Nazar2 min
- 11:24
Connor Bedard · Hookingdrawn by Jalen Chatfield2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Sebastian Aho, OT 0:59 — 49% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.54 G
- All situations
- 3 G2.6
- 3.03 G
- Even strength
- 3 G2.3
- 0.30 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.3
- 0.21 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 105 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.38 – 2.51
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 48
- Shots on goal
- 25
- 61%
- Faceoffs
- 39%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 0/2
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 19
- Hits
- 23
- 10
- Blocked shots
- 21
- 17
- Giveaways
- 18
- 5
- Takeaways
- 7
Box score
every player line
Season series
CAR leads 2-0
4@
3OTthis game
2@
3Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).






