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Minnesota Wild at Chicago Blackhawks

FinalTV CHSN, FDSNNO·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Chicago Blackhawks 4-2. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Frederick Gaudreau's goal at 7:17 of the first period, which took the Wild's chances from 59% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 2.8 to 1.7; shots on goal were MIN 28, CHI 20. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Filip Gustavsson stopped 18 of 20 (.900); Petr Mrazek stopped 24 of 27 (.889), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Joel Eriksson Ek (1 G), 2. Seth Jones (1 G), 3. Matt Boldy (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek1 G
  2. ★★
    CHI
    S. Jones1 G
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    M. Boldy3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN21117110428
CHICHI0104215220

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    M. Boldy (25), M. Rossi (27)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    5:43
  2. MIN
    wristxG 0.02win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-0
    7:17

2nd period

  1. MIN
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +10 ptsVideo
    3-0
    10:45

3rd period

  1. CHI
    S. Jones(5)PPG
    wristxG 0.09win prob +6 ptsVideo
    3-1
    0:56
  2. CHI
    wristxG 0.14win prob +15 ptsVideo
    3-2
    4:16
  3. MIN
    wristxG 0.51win prob +5 ptsVideo
    4-2
    18:18

Penalties

MIN 10 PIM·CHI 10 PIM

2nd

  • 7:09CHINick Foligno · Holdingdrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min
  • 7:09CHINick Foligno · Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min

3rd

  • 0:47MINJake Middleton · Cross checkingdrawn by Ryan Donato2 min
  • 3:01CHIPatrick Maroon · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Jake Middleton2 min
  • 3:01MINJake Middleton · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Patrick Maroon2 min
  • 4:16MINZach Bogosian · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Donato2 min
  • 4:16CHIRyan Donato · Roughingdrawn by Zach Bogosian2 min
  • 5:54MINMarcus Foligno · Hookingdrawn by Patrick Maroon2 min
  • 11:04CHIEthan Del Mastro · Holdingdrawn by Devin Shore2 min
  • 14:56MINJakub Lauko · Holdingdrawn by Ethan Del Mastro2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalMIN goalFinal: CHI 0%

Biggest swing: Frederick Gaudreau, 1st 7:17 — MIN 59% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.16F. Nazar · Goal · xG 0.14C. Dach · On goal · xG 0.13E. Del Mastro · On goal · xG 0.12T. Bertuzzi · Missed · xG 0.09S. Jones · Goal · xG 0.09F. Nazar · Missed · xG 0.08T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.07P. Kurashev · On goal · xG 0.07A. Martinez · Missed · xG 0.07C. Bedard · Missed · xG 0.06S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.06C. Bedard · Missed · xG 0.05S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.05P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.04S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.04S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.04C. Bedard · Missed · xG 0.04P. Maroon · Missed · xG 0.03P. Kurashev · Missed · xG 0.03C. Bedard · On goal · xG 0.02A. Martinez · Missed · xG 0.02C. Bedard · On goal · xG 0.01A. Martinez · Missed · xG 0.01S. Jones · Missed · xG 0.01R. Donato · Missed · xG 0.01A. Martinez · Missed · xG 0.01P. Kurashev · On goal · xG 0.01J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.01R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.01L. Crevier · Missed · xG 0.01S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.01P. Kurashev · Missed · xG 0.01A. Vlasic · Missed · xG 0.01P. Kurashev · Missed · xG 0.01J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Vlasic · Missed · xG 0.00
CHI2 G · 1.7 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsCHI
2.83 G
All situations
2 G1.7
1.22 G
Even strength
1 G1.0
0.81 G
Power play
1 G0.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN57%43%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.97 – 1.65

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsCHI
28
Shots on goal
20
42%
Faceoffs
58%
1/3
Power play
1/3
10
Penalty minutes
10
10
Hits
26
16
Blocked shots
12
7
Giveaways
20
6
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7B. FaberD000+110.01030—28:13
5J. MiddletonD000+100.00254—25:26
14J. Eriksson EkC101040.341002923:02
97K. KaprizovL011-120.28000—22:17
36M. ZuccarelloR000020.12000—22:08
46J. SpurgeonD101+130.21010—18:54
24Z. BogosianD011+100.00012—16:36
89F. GaudreauC101+220.081005315:25
4J. MerrillD000-120.03020—15:08
12M. BoldyL033+140.46010—14:36
23M. RossiC011+100.001004413:47
17M. FolignoL112+210.83102—13:23
94J. LaukoC000+110.08102013:01
28L. OhgrenL000+110.05110—11:41
44T. DermottD000+110.03000—10:33
38R. HartmanR000030.24010—10:24
22M. KhusnutdinovC000000.000005010:15
19D. ShoreC000010.0721010009:02
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32F. Gustavsson(W)20182.9001.66-0.3460:00

Season series

MIN leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).