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Lightning at Red Wings
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at Detroit Red Wings

NHL scoreboard
Tampa Bay Lightning
0
Detroit Red Wings
▸2
FinalTV FDSNDET, FDSNSUN·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 2-0. The Red Wings scored first and never trailed. The Red Wings led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Marco Kasper's goal at 9:55 of the second period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Red Wings, 3.8 to 2.7; shots on goal were TBL 28, DET 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 30 of 31 (.968), 1.9 goals saved above expected; Cam Talbot stopped 28 of 28 (1.000), 2.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Cam Talbot (28 saves, 1.000), 2. Marco Kasper (1 G), 3. Andrei Vasilevskiy (30 saves, .968).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    C. Talbot28 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    DET
    M. Kasper1 G
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    A. Vasilevskiy30 saves, .968

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TBLTBL0709012028
DETDET01311217232

Scoring

2 goals

2nd period

  1. DET
    M. Kasper(7)
    J. Compher (15), C. Fischer (4)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +17 ptsVideo
    0-1
    9:55

3rd period

  1. DET
    M. Rasmussen(7)EN
    A. Johansson (3)
    backhandxG 0.92win prob +2 ptsVideo
    0-2
    19:32

Penalties

TBL 10 PIM·DET 8 PIM

2nd

  • 7:19DETMarco Kasper · Hookingdrawn by Nikita Kucherov2 min
  • 8:28DETDylan Larkin · High stickingdrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min
  • 8:28TBLJake Guentzel · Embellishment2 min
  • 11:21TBLEmil Lilleberg · Interferencedrawn by J.T. Compher2 min
  • 20:00TBLVictor Hedman · Roughingdrawn by Dylan Larkin2 min
  • 20:00TBLBrandon Hagel · Roughingdrawn by Lucas Raymond2 min
  • 20:00DETLucas Raymond · Roughingdrawn by Brandon Hagel2 min

3rd

  • 5:16TBLserved by M. Eyssimont · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 9:10DETSimon Edvinsson · Roughingdrawn by Anthony Cirelli2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalTBL goalFinal: DET 100%

Biggest swing: Marco Kasper, 2nd 9:55 — DET 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Rasmussen · Goal · xG 0.92V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.21D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.17D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.15J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.15E. Soderblom · Missed · xG 0.15A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.14L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.12D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.12A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.11M. Rasmussen · On goal · xG 0.11D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.10C. Fischer · On goal · xG 0.09A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.09M. Kasper · Goal · xG 0.09V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.08J. Veleno · On goal · xG 0.08L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.08M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.08V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.07C. Fischer · On goal · xG 0.07J. Veleno · On goal · xG 0.07M. Rasmussen · Missed · xG 0.06A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.06L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.05L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.04J. Holl · Missed · xG 0.04A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.03J. Veleno · Missed · xG 0.03M. Seider · Missed · xG 0.03D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.03L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.02C. Fischer · On goal · xG 0.02A. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.02S. Edvinsson · Missed · xG 0.02J. Holl · On goal · xG 0.02A. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Compher · Missed · xG 0.02M. Kasper · On goal · xG 0.02M. Seider · Missed · xG 0.01E. Soderblom · On goal · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.01A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.00
DET2 G · 3.8 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsDET
2.70 G
All situations
1 G3.8
1.70 G
Even strength
1 G1.9
0.90 G
Power play
0 G0.9
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL47%53%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.69 – 2.84

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsDET
28
Shots on goal
32
58%
Faceoffs
42%
0/2
Power play
0/3
10
Penalty minutes
8
17
Hits
12
9
Blocked shots
18
13
Giveaways
16
4
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
86N. KucherovR000-170.47100—26:14
77V. HedmanD000-230.29102—23:25
20N. PaulL000-120.093007621:29
71A. CirelliC000-130.500104620:44
27R. McDonaghD000010.01000—20:33
38B. HagelL000020.3611210020:14
81E. CernakD000020.02020—20:09
21B. PointC000-220.660006319:00
59J. GuentzelC000-110.24102018:12
43D. RaddyshD000-210.02040—17:14
28Z. GirgensonsC000000.0000010014:41
78E. LillebergD000000.00102—14:32
65M. CrozierD000020.02200—11:18
11L. GlendeningC000010.031005011:16
14C. GeekieC000-100.00100010:05
41M. ChaffeeR000000.00400—09:55
48N. PerbixD000000.00010—09:16
23M. EyssimontC000010.05100007:50
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
88A. Vasilevskiy(L)31301.9682.90+1.9058:00

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).