Colorado Avalanche at Boston Bruins
Recap
written from the game dataThe Boston Bruins beat the Colorado Avalanche 3-1. The Avalanche scored first; the Bruins answered. The Avalanche led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Morgan Geekie's goal at 5:44 of the third period, which took the Bruins' chances from 52% to 79%. Expected goals were close — COL 2.1, BOS 2.1; shots on goal were COL 28, BOS 15. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. Scott Wedgewood stopped 12 of 14 (.857), 1.0 goals below expected; Jeremy Swayman stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Morgan Geekie (2 G), 2. David Pastrnak (1 G, 2 A), 3. Jeremy Swayman (27 saves, .964).
Three stars
- ★M. Geekie2 G

- ★★D. Pastrnak1 G, 2 A

- ★★★J. Swayman27 saves, .964

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
4 goals2nd period
1-01:30
3rd period
1-10:25
1-25:44
1-319:57
Penalties
2nd
- 18:09
David Pastrnak · Trippingdrawn by Logan O'Connor2 min
3rd
- 1:47
Vinni Lettieri · High stickingdrawn by Logan O'Connor2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Morgan Geekie, 3rd 5:44 — 52% → 79%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.11 G
- All situations
- 2 G2.1
- 1.81 G
- Even strength
- 2 G1.0
- 0.30 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 70 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.10 – 0.97
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 28
- Shots on goal
- 15
- 47%
- Faceoffs
- 53%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 0/0
- 0
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 22
- Hits
- 25
- 11
- Blocked shots
- 22
- 16
- Giveaways
- 21
- 5
- Takeaways
- 9
Box score
every player line
Season series
BOS leads 2-0
5@
3Final
1@
3this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















