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Boston Bruins at Colorado Avalanche

FinalTV TNT, truTV·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the Colorado Avalanche 5-3. The Bruins scored first and never trailed. The Bruins led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was David Pastrnak's goal at 9:09 of the second period, which took the Bruins' chances from 67% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 3.6 to 2.4; shots on goal were BOS 26, COL 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Joonas Korpisalo stopped 22 of 25 (.880), 0.6 goals below expected; Alexandar Georgiev stopped 21 of 25 (.840), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mikko Rantanen (1 G, 2 A), 2. Hampus Lindholm (1 G, 1 A), 3. Cale Makar (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    M. Rantanen1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    BOS
    H. Lindholm1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    C. Makar1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BOSBOS21021214526
COLCOL1516114325

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. BOS
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-0
    13:46
  2. COL
    R. Colton(2)PPG
    wristxG 0.09win prob +10 ptsVideo
    1-1
    15:07
  3. BOS
    C. Coyle(1)PPG
    snapxG 0.19win prob +11 ptsVideo
    2-1
    17:09

2nd period

  1. BOS
    wristxG 0.18win prob +16 ptsVideo
    3-1
    9:09
  2. BOS
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.01win prob +10 ptsVideo
    4-1
    9:22
  3. COL
    C. Makar(1)PPG
    slapxG 0.08win prob +10 ptsVideo
    4-2
    11:15

3rd period

  1. COL
    slapxG 0.10win prob +13 ptsVideo
    4-3
    4:52
  2. BOS
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.52win prob +7 ptsVideo
    5-3
    17:59

Penalties

BOS 11 PIM·COL 13 PIM

1st

  • 2:32COLParker Kelly · Interferencedrawn by Riley Tufte2 min
  • 14:48BOSRiley Tufte · Holdingdrawn by Josh Manson2 min
  • 16:40COLOliver Kylington · Holdingdrawn by Pavel Zacha2 min

2nd

  • 7:32COLMikko Rantanen · Interferencedrawn by Brad Marchand2 min
  • 10:16BOSNikita Zadorov · Slashingdrawn by Matt Stienburg2 min
  • 10:16BOSNikita Zadorov · Fightingdrawn by Matt Stienburg5 min
  • 10:16COLMatt Stienburg · Fightingdrawn by Nikita Zadorov5 min

3rd

  • 1:42COLMikko Rantanen · Hookingdrawn by David Pastrnak2 min
  • 4:29BOSRiley Tufte · Cross checkingdrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalBOS goalFinal: COL 0%

Biggest swing: David Pastrnak, 2nd 9:09 — BOS 67% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Kovalenko · On goal · xG 0.21M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.20R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.18M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.15M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.15C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.13C. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.11M. Rantanen · Goal · xG 0.11R. Colton · Goal · xG 0.09N. Kovalenko · Missed · xG 0.09C. Makar · Goal · xG 0.08P. Kelly · Missed · xG 0.08C. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.08N. Kovalenko · Missed · xG 0.07R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.07M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.06R. Colton · Missed · xG 0.06S. Malinski · Missed · xG 0.06N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.05C. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.04M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.03M. Stienburg · Missed · xG 0.03J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.03N. Kovalenko · On goal · xG 0.03C. de Haan · Missed · xG 0.03C. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.02C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.02R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.02M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.02J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.01S. Malinski · Missed · xG 0.01P. Kelly · On goal · xG 0.01S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.01J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.00C. de Haan · On goal · xG 0.00N. Kovalenko · Missed · xG 0.00S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.00J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.00C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.00C. de Haan · On goal · xG 0.00
COL3 G · 2.4 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BOSvsCOL
3.64 G
All situations
3 G2.4
1.42 G
Even strength
0 G1.7
1.42 G
Power play
3 G0.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BOS58%42%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.74 – 2.30

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BOSvsCOL
26
Shots on goal
25
61%
Faceoffs
39%
2/4
Power play
3/3
11
Penalty minutes
13
35
Hits
35
14
Blocked shots
15
15
Giveaways
20
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Boston Bruins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
73C. McAvoyD000010.04010—22:59
27H. LindholmD112+110.05110—22:04
88D. PastrnakR101050.42100—22:00
25B. CarloD000+200.00470—20:03
28E. LindholmC000010.501007719:55
13C. CoyleC101030.202106019:34
18P. ZachaC000030.340002519:28
91N. ZadorovD011+200.00117—18:20
6M. LohreiD011010.03000—17:00
11T. FredericC000030.247005016:39
47M. KastelicC000+310.192107516:21
63B. MarchandL011010.45010—16:20
52A. PeekeD011+100.01200—15:34
45C. KoepkeL101+340.60700—14:00
19J. BeecherC101+310.531104013:23
49M. JonesL000010.05400—09:22
51M. PoitrasC000000.000008608:23
10R. TufteL000000.00204—06:54
Boston Bruins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70J. Korpisalo(W)25223.8802.36-0.6460:00

Season series

BOS leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).