Columbus Blue Jackets at New York Islanders
Recap
written from the game dataThe New York Islanders beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 3-1. The Blue Jackets scored first; the Islanders answered. The Islanders led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Simon Holmstrom's goal at 2:57 of the second period, which took the Islanders' chances from 50% to 68%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 2.8 to 1.7; shots on goal were CBJ 26, NYI 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Elvis Merzlikins stopped 22 of 25 (.880), 0.7 goals below expected; Ilya Sorokin stopped 25 of 26 (.962), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Bo Horvat (2 G), 2. Mathew Barzal (2 A), 3. Simon Holmstrom (1 G).
Three stars
- ★B. Horvat2 G

- ★★M. Barzal2 A

- ★★★S. Holmstrom1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
4 goals1st period
1-04:52
2nd period
1-10:43
1-22:57
1-35:47
Penalties
1st
- 4:16
Anders Lee · Trippingdrawn by Dante Fabbro2 min
2nd
- 1:31
Casey Cizikas · Trippingdrawn by Kirill Marchenko2 min
- 3:56
Adam Fantilli · Interferencedrawn by Noah Dobson2 min
- 9:48
Isaiah George · Holdingdrawn by Adam Fantilli2 min
- 14:51
Casey Cizikas · Holdingdrawn by Damon Severson2 min
3rd
- 3:31
Justin Danforth · Holdingdrawn by Scott Mayfield2 min
- 8:47
Sean Kuraly · Roughingdrawn by Pierre Engvall2 min
- 8:47
Pierre Engvall · Roughingdrawn by Sean Kuraly2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Simon Holmstrom, 2nd 2:57 — 50% → 68%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.71 G
- All situations
- 3 G2.8
- 0.90 G
- Even strength
- 1 G1.4
- 0.81 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.6
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 1 G0.4
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.72 – 2.31
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 26
- Shots on goal
- 25
- 32%
- Faceoffs
- 68%
- 1/4
- Power play
- 1/2
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 10
- 27
- Hits
- 40
- 25
- Blocked shots
- 14
- 15
- Giveaways
- 9
- 1
- Takeaways
- 6
Box score
every player line
Season series
CBJ leads 3-1
0@
2Final
1@
3this game
4@
3SOFinal
1@
6Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















