New York Islanders at Columbus Blue Jackets
Recap
written from the game dataThe Columbus Blue Jackets beat the New York Islanders 2-0. The Blue Jackets scored first and never trailed. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Damon Severson's goal at 5:43 of the third period, which took the Blue Jackets' chances from 52% to 79%. Expected goals were close — NYI 2.5, CBJ 2.7; shots on goal were NYI 26, CBJ 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Semyon Varlamov stopped 24 of 25 (.960), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Elvis Merzlikins stopped 26 of 26 (1.000), 2.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Elvis Merzlikins (26 saves, 1.000), 2. Damon Severson (1 G), 3. Semyon Varlamov (24 saves, .960).
Three stars
- ★E. Merzlikins26 saves, 1.000

- ★★D. Severson1 G

- ★★★S. Varlamov24 saves, .960

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
2 goals3rd period
0-15:43
0-217:57
Penalties
2nd
- 13:50
Justin Danforth · Interferencedrawn by Adam Pelech2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Damon Severson, 3rd 5:43 — 52% → 79%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.50 G
- All situations
- 1 G2.7
- 2.00 G
- Even strength
- 1 G1.7
- 0.50 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.0
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.2
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.51 – 1.84
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 26
- Shots on goal
- 26
- 60%
- Faceoffs
- 40%
- 0/1
- Power play
- 0/0
- 0
- Penalty minutes
- 2
- 23
- Hits
- 18
- 12
- Blocked shots
- 20
- 23
- Giveaways
- 16
- 10
- Takeaways
- 3
Box score
every player line
Season series
CBJ leads 3-1
0@
2this game
1@
3Final
4@
3SOFinal
1@
6Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















