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Islanders at Blue Jackets
NHL

New York Islanders at Columbus Blue Jackets

FinalTV FDSNOH, MSGSN·Nationwide Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Columbus Blue Jackets beat the New York Islanders 2-0. The Blue Jackets scored first and never trailed. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Damon Severson's goal at 5:43 of the third period, which took the Blue Jackets' chances from 52% to 79%. Expected goals were close — NYI 2.5, CBJ 2.7; shots on goal were NYI 26, CBJ 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Semyon Varlamov stopped 24 of 25 (.960), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Elvis Merzlikins stopped 26 of 26 (1.000), 2.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Elvis Merzlikins (26 saves, 1.000), 2. Damon Severson (1 G), 3. Semyon Varlamov (24 saves, .960).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CBJ
    E. Merzlikins26 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    CBJ
    D. Severson1 G
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    S. Varlamov24 saves, .960

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI05011010026
CBJCBJ0807211226

Scoring

2 goals

3rd period

  1. CBJ
    wristxG 0.02win prob +27 ptsVideo
    0-1
    5:43
  2. CBJ
    wristxG 0.85win prob +6 ptsVideo
    0-2
    17:57

Penalties

NYI 0 PIM·CBJ 2 PIM

2nd

  • 13:50CBJJustin Danforth · Interferencedrawn by Adam Pelech2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CBJ goalNYI goalFinal: CBJ 100%

Biggest swing: Damon Severson, 3rd 5:43 — CBJ 52% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Danforth · Goal · xG 0.85M. Pyyhtia · Missed · xG 0.16S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.15S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.14K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.14J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.13E. Chinakhov · On goal · xG 0.12D. Severson · Missed · xG 0.10E. Chinakhov · On goal · xG 0.09K. Marchenko · Missed · xG 0.08M. Olivier · On goal · xG 0.07M. Olivier · On goal · xG 0.07Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.05C. Sillinger · On goal · xG 0.05Z. Werenski · Missed · xG 0.05K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.05S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.04M. Pyyhtia · Missed · xG 0.04I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.03D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.03D. Severson · Missed · xG 0.02D. Severson · Goal · xG 0.02S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.02C. Sillinger · On goal · xG 0.02I. Provorov · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Aston-Reese · On goal · xG 0.01I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.01K. Labanc · Missed · xG 0.01S. Monahan · Missed · xG 0.01J. Christiansen · Missed · xG 0.01S. Monahan · Missed · xG 0.01E. Chinakhov · Missed · xG 0.01S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.01K. Marchenko · On goal · xG 0.01J. Christiansen · On goal · xG 0.01M. Olivier · Missed · xG 0.01J. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Danforth · Missed · xG 0.00J. Danforth · On goal · xG 0.00
CBJ2 G · 2.7 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsCBJ
2.50 G
All situations
1 G2.7
2.00 G
Even strength
1 G1.7
0.50 G
Power play
0 G0.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI63%37%CBJ

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.51 – 1.84

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsCBJ
26
Shots on goal
26
60%
Faceoffs
40%
0/1
Power play
0/0
0
Penalty minutes
2
23
Hits
18
12
Blocked shots
20
23
Giveaways
16
10
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8N. DobsonD000-110.03010—23:03
13M. BarzalC000-120.28100022:46
3A. PelechD000-110.11110—22:45
2M. ReillyD000020.04010—22:37
14B. HorvatC000-130.692108122:02
6R. PulockD000-120.03000—19:52
29B. NelsonC000-130.220103619:32
21K. PalmieriC000-130.18100019:08
27A. LeeL000-120.29100—17:44
24S. MayfieldD000000.06310—16:56
7M. TsyplakovR000020.21410—15:40
10S. HolmstromR000020.23110—15:07
44J. PageauC000000.004005015:07
53C. CizikasC000010.0111010013:18
25D. CholowskiD000000.00010—10:41
17M. MartinL000-110.08320—09:23
32K. MacLeanC000-110.041005009:10
20H. FaschingR000-100.04000—07:46
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40S. Varlamov(L)25241.9601.86+0.8657:23

Season series

CBJ leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).