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Sabres at Kraken
NHL

Buffalo Sabres at Seattle Kraken

NHL scoreboard
Buffalo Sabres
4
Seattle Kraken
▸6
FinalTV KHN/Prime, MSG-B·Climate Pledge Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Seattle Kraken beat the Buffalo Sabres 6-4. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Kraken led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jamie Oleksiak's goal at 16:34 of the second period, which took the Kraken's chances from 53% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Kraken, 3.7 to 2.8; shots on goal were BUF 29, SEA 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kraken win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Devon Levi stopped 28 of 33 (.848), 1.9 goals below expected; Joey Daccord stopped 25 of 29 (.862), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Adam Larsson (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jamie Oleksiak (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jared McCann (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SEA
    A. Larsson1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    SEA
    J. Oleksiak1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    SEA
    J. McCann1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BUFBUF11221017429
SEASEA210213211634

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. BUF
    J. Quinn(9)
    O. Power (18), P. Krebs (11)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    5:07
  2. SEA
    J. Hayden(1)
    M. Stephens (2), R. Evans (15)
    wristxG 0.23win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    5:34
  3. SEA
    C. Stephenson(8)
    O. Bjorkstrand (18), R. Evans (16)
    snapxG 0.26win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-2
    11:06

2nd period

  1. SEA
    M. Beniers(10)PPG
    C. Stephenson (25), V. Dunn (12)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-3
    6:41
  2. BUF
    J. Zucker(16)PPG
    R. Dahlin (26), T. Thompson (18)
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-3
    9:31
  3. BUF
    T. Thompson(20)
    M. Samuelsson (4), P. Krebs (12)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +21 ptsVideo
    3-3
    15:38
  4. SEA
    J. Oleksiak(4)
    S. Wright (14), J. McCann (21)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +21 ptsVideo
    3-4
    16:34

3rd period

  1. SEA
    A. Larsson(3)
    J. McCann (22), E. Tolvanen (8)
    slapxG 0.05win prob +13 ptsVideo
    3-5
    10:25
  2. BUF
    A. Tuch(15)
    J. Zucker (19), D. Cozens (13)
    snapxG 0.35win prob +3 ptsVideo
    4-5
    18:39
  3. SEA
    J. McCann(14)EN
    J. Oleksiak (7), A. Larsson (9)
    wristxG 0.39win prob +3 ptsVideo
    4-6
    18:56

Penalties

BUF 4 PIM·SEA 6 PIM

2nd

  • 0:19BUFJiri Kulich · Slashingdrawn by Matty Beniers2 min
  • 3:20SEAMitchell Stephens · Holdingdrawn by Jack Quinn2 min
  • 5:19BUFZach Benson · Hookingdrawn by Ryker Evans2 min
  • 8:17SEAEeli Tolvanen · Hookingdrawn by Mattias Samuelsson2 min

3rd

  • 3:57SEAAndre Burakovsky · Hookingdrawn by Dylan Cozens2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SEA goalBUF goalFinal: SEA 100%

Biggest swing: Jamie Oleksiak, 2nd 16:34 — SEA 53% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. McCann · Goal · xG 0.39J. McCann · Missed · xG 0.26C. Stephenson · Goal · xG 0.26K. Kakko · Missed · xG 0.23J. Hayden · Goal · xG 0.23A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.18A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.16E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.13J. Oleksiak · Goal · xG 0.12B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.12M. Beniers · Goal · xG 0.12M. Beniers · On goal · xG 0.12O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.12M. Beniers · On goal · xG 0.09K. Kakko · Missed · xG 0.09M. Beniers · On goal · xG 0.07J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.07A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.07V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.07K. Kakko · Missed · xG 0.06B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.06S. Wright · On goal · xG 0.05J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.05A. Larsson · Goal · xG 0.05A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.05B. Tanev · Missed · xG 0.05J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.04M. Beniers · Missed · xG 0.04E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.04J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.03B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.03M. Stephens · On goal · xG 0.02J. Oleksiak · Missed · xG 0.02M. Beniers · Missed · xG 0.02E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.02B. Tanev · Missed · xG 0.02J. Mahura · Missed · xG 0.02J. Mahura · On goal · xG 0.02J. Mahura · On goal · xG 0.01M. Stephens · On goal · xG 0.01A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.01M. Beniers · Missed · xG 0.01V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.01J. Mahura · On goal · xG 0.01A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.01R. Evans · Missed · xG 0.01K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.00B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.00K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.00R. Evans · On goal · xG 0.00B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.00
SEA6 G · 3.7 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsSEA
2.84 G
All situations
5 G3.7
1.53 G
Even strength
4 G2.7
1.11 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 104 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF45%55%SEA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.76 – 3.06

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsSEA
29
Shots on goal
34
48%
Faceoffs
52%
1/3
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
18
Hits
16
7
Blocked shots
11
15
Giveaways
12
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
26R. DahlinD011-210.07100—25:03
25O. PowerD011010.05020—23:54
17J. ZuckerL112-110.150003322:19
72T. ThompsonC112-110.341005021:05
23M. SamuelssonD011+120.07100—19:55
24D. CozensC011020.072307018:29
4B. ByramD000010.03100—18:03
89A. TuchR101-120.58100—17:42
22J. QuinnR101-120.15100—17:38
20J.KulichC000060.473022516:26
19P. KrebsC022020.051005416:05
77J. PeterkaR000010.08000—16:05
75C. CliftonD000-120.09200—14:52
9Z. BensonL000030.37012—13:51
78J. BrysonD000-100.00010—12:17
81S. LaffertyC000-110.020006010:06
29B. MalenstynL000-110.15300—08:07
96N. Aube-KubelR000-100.0610010006:50
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
27D. Levi(L)33285.8483.07-1.9357:51

Season series

SEA leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).