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Kraken at Sabres
NHL

Seattle Kraken at Buffalo Sabres

NHL scoreboard
Seattle Kraken
▸6
Buffalo Sabres
2
FinalTV KHN/Prime, MSG-B·KeyBank Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Seattle Kraken beat the Buffalo Sabres 6-2. The Kraken came back from two goals down. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Oliver Bjorkstrand's goal at 3:08 of the third period, which took the Kraken's chances from 48% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Kraken, 3.2 to 2.4; shots on goal were SEA 29, BUF 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kraken win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Joey Daccord stopped 33 of 35 (.943); Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen stopped 23 of 28 (.821), 2.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Kaapo Kakko (2 G), 2. Joey Daccord (33 saves, .943), 3. Josh Mahura (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SEA
    K. Kakko2 G
  2. ★★
    SEA
    J. Daccord33 saves, .943
  3. ★★★
    SEA
    J. Mahura2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SEASEA0721349629
BUFBUF21509011235

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. BUF
    S. Lafferty(2)
    P. Krebs (10), J. Peterka (21)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    2:37
  2. BUF
    J. Quinn(8)PPG
    R. Dahlin (25), J. Peterka (22)
    slapxG 0.08win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-2
    17:17

2nd period

  1. SEA
    R. Evans(5)
    C. Stephenson (23)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    12:48
  2. SEA
    A. Burakovsky(4)
    J. Mahura (2), C. Stephenson (24)
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +23 ptsVideo
    2-2
    19:12

3rd period

  1. SEA
    O. Bjorkstrand(12)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.21win prob +26 ptsVideo
    3-2
    3:08
  2. SEA
    K. Kakko(6)
    J. Mahura (3), J. Schwartz (14)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +18 ptsVideo
    4-2
    3:46
  3. SEA
    K. Kakko(7)PPG
    J. McCann (18), S. Wright (12)
    snapxG 0.22win prob +5 ptsVideo
    5-2
    5:26
  4. SEA
    B. Tanev(8)EN
    J. McCann (19), J. Oleksiak (6)
    wristxG 0.50Video
    6-2
    16:25

Penalties

SEA 17 PIM·BUF 15 PIM

1st

  • 9:47BUFRyan McLeod · Trippingdrawn by Chandler Stephenson2 min
  • 16:29SEAMatty Beniers · High stickingdrawn by Ryan McLeod2 min
  • 17:42BUFDennis Gilbert · Roughingdrawn by Oliver Bjorkstrand2 min
  • 17:42SEAOliver Bjorkstrand · Fightingdrawn by Dennis Gilbert5 min
  • 17:42BUFDennis Gilbert · Fightingdrawn by Oliver Bjorkstrand5 min
  • 19:07SEAKaapo Kakko · Holding the stickdrawn by Ryan McLeod2 min

2nd

  • 2:36BUFJacob Bryson · Trippingdrawn by Jared McCann2 min
  • 5:24SEATye Kartye · Roughingdrawn by Rasmus Dahlin2 min
  • 5:24BUFRasmus Dahlin · Roughingdrawn by Tye Kartye2 min
  • 5:24SEATye Kartye · Roughingdrawn by Rasmus Dahlin2 min
  • 20:00SEAChandler Stephenson · Trippingdrawn by Owen Power2 min

3rd

  • 4:17BUFRasmus Dahlin · Trippingdrawn by Jared McCann2 min
  • 12:04SEABrandon Montour · Slashingdrawn by Zach Benson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BUF goalSEA goalFinal: BUF 0%

Biggest swing: Oliver Bjorkstrand, 3rd 3:08 — SEA 48% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.23J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.15C. Clifton · Missed · xG 0.13T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.09J. Quinn · Missed · xG 0.08T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.08J. Quinn · Goal · xG 0.08A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.08R. Dahlin · Missed · xG 0.07A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.07J. Quinn · Missed · xG 0.06D. Cozens · Missed · xG 0.06B. Byram · Missed · xG 0.06T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.06D. Cozens · Missed · xG 0.06O. Power · On goal · xG 0.06S. Lafferty · On goal · xG 0.05R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.05B. Byram · Missed · xG 0.05D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.05Z. Benson · On goal · xG 0.05J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.05H. Jokiharju · On goal · xG 0.04J. Peterka · Missed · xG 0.04S. Lafferty · On goal · xG 0.04P. Krebs · Missed · xG 0.04J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.03J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.03T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.03S. Lafferty · On goal · xG 0.03R. Dahlin · Missed · xG 0.03R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.03A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.03R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.02D. Cozens · Missed · xG 0.02C. Clifton · Missed · xG 0.02H. Jokiharju · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Benson · Missed · xG 0.02R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Quinn · Missed · xG 0.02T. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.02B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.02S. Lafferty · On goal · xG 0.02J. Peterka · Missed · xG 0.02T. Kozak · On goal · xG 0.01J. Quinn · Missed · xG 0.01B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.01T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.01P. Krebs · On goal · xG 0.01O. Power · Missed · xG 0.01S. Lafferty · Goal · xG 0.01T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.01R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.01H. Jokiharju · On goal · xG 0.01B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.00O. Power · On goal · xG 0.00
BUF2 G · 2.4 xG · 56 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SEAvsBUF
3.25 G
All situations
2 G2.4
1.44 G
Even strength
1 G2.1
1.11 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 99 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SEA54%46%BUF

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.64 – 2.42

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SEAvsBUF
29
Shots on goal
35
63%
Faceoffs
38%
1/4
Power play
1/5
17
Penalty minutes
15
18
Hits
20
18
Blocked shots
1
21
Giveaways
14
6
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Seattle Kraken skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6A. LarssonD000010.00120—23:21
29V. DunnD000010.02120—21:10
9C. StephensonC022+310.161025020:28
24J. OleksiakD011+100.00150—20:26
10M. BeniersC000+210.431226318:43
19J. McCannL022+120.10100—17:57
17J. SchwartzL011+150.55020—17:45
62B. MontourD000+220.06002—17:16
41R. EvansD101+320.21000—16:52
28J. MahuraD022+210.03100—14:49
95A. BurakovskyL101+340.28100—14:41
84K. KakkoR202+120.2621210014:40
22O. BjorkstrandR101+320.29205—14:11
13B. TanevL101+120.66210—13:48
67M. StephensC000-100.000006912:53
20E. TolvanenR000-120.04120—12:37
51S. WrightC011010.072007112:36
12T. KartyeL000-100.00114—06:59
Seattle Kraken goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35J. Daccord(W)35332.9432.43+0.4360:00

Season series

SEA leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).