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Oilers at Wild
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Edmonton Oilers at Minnesota Wild

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
▸5
Minnesota Wild
3
FinalTV TNT, truTV·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Minnesota Wild 5-3. The Oilers came back from two goals down. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Vasily Podkolzin's goal at 1:28 of the third period, which took the Oilers' chances from 48% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 2.6 to 2.2; shots on goal were EDM 36, MIN 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Calvin Pickard stopped 31 of 34 (.912), 0.8 goals below expected; Filip Gustavsson stopped 31 of 36 (.861), 2.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Connor McDavid (2 G, 1 A), 2. Calvin Pickard (31 saves, .912), 3. Matt Boldy (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    C. McDavid2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    C. Pickard31 saves, .912
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    M. Boldy1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM214111211536
MINMIN212110012334

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    M. Boldy(17)PPG
    J. Eriksson Ek (12), M. Zuccarello (20)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +10 ptsVideo
    0-1
    3:02
  2. MIN
    M. Rossi(17)PPG
    M. Boldy (22), M. Zuccarello (21)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-2
    16:11
  3. EDM
    Z. Hyman(15)
    L. Draisaitl (34), C. McDavid (43)
    wristxG 0.34win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-2
    16:32
  4. EDM
    C. McDavid(18)PPG
    R. Nugent-Hopkins (14), E. Bouchard (26)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +11 ptsVideo
    2-2
    18:28

2nd period

  1. MIN
    R. Hartman(7)
    J. Eriksson Ek (13)
    backhandxG 0.06win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-3
    4:09
  2. EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins(12)
    T. Emberson (7), B. Kulak (10)
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +20 ptsVideo
    3-3
    14:15

3rd period

  1. EDM
    V. Podkolzin(6)
    V. Arvidsson (9), J. Brown (1)
    tip-inxG 0.02win prob +25 ptsVideo
    4-3
    1:28
  2. EDM
    C. McDavid(19)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.06win prob +14 ptsVideo
    5-3
    12:49

Penalties

EDM 6 PIM·MIN 4 PIM

1st

  • 1:58EDMDarnell Nurse · Hookingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min
  • 6:11EDMMattias Janmark · Trippingdrawn by Filip Gustavsson2 min
  • 15:04EDMJoshua Brown · Roughingdrawn by Yakov Trenin2 min
  • 18:08MINDavid Jiricek · Holdingdrawn by Viktor Arvidsson2 min

3rd

  • 20:00MINRyan Hartman · Hookingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalEDM goalFinal: MIN 0%

Biggest swing: Vasily Podkolzin, 3rd 1:28 — EDM 48% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.26M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.18M. Rossi · Goal · xG 0.14J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.12M. Boldy · Goal · xG 0.10M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.10M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.10J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.09M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.08M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.08M. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.07M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.07M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.07R. Hartman · Goal · xG 0.06R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.05J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.05M. Rossi · Missed · xG 0.05J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.05J. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.05D. Chisholm · On goal · xG 0.05J. Merrill · Missed · xG 0.04M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.04M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.04J. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.03M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.03R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.03M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.02M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.02R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.01Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.01R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.01Y. Trenin · Missed · xG 0.01M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.01Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.01Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.01M. Khusnutdinov · On goal · xG 0.01Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.01M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.01Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rossi · Missed · xG 0.01Y. Trenin · Missed · xG 0.01J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.00Z. Bogosian · On goal · xG 0.00M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.00B. Jones · On goal · xG 0.00D. Chisholm · Missed · xG 0.00
MIN3 G · 2.2 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsMIN
2.65 G
All situations
3 G2.2
2.34 G
Even strength
1 G1.7
0.21 G
Power play
2 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 99 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM57%43%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.56 – 2.19

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsMIN
36
Shots on goal
34
53%
Faceoffs
47%
1/1
Power play
2/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
13
Hits
20
16
Blocked shots
10
21
Giveaways
15
1
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27B. KulakD011+210.07120—22:13
25D. NurseD000+110.01322—21:59
97C. McDavidC213+130.430206021:38
14M. EkholmD000030.10010—21:16
29L. DraisaitlC011040.230104120:28
2E. BouchardD011070.22000—19:40
44J. BrownD011010.03112—17:25
18Z. HymanL101+120.47000—17:13
49T. EmbersonD011+300.01210—17:06
28C. BrownR000020.15010—15:42
92V. PodkolzinR101+230.20100—15:20
13M. JanmarkC000000.08212014:45
33V. ArvidssonL011+200.05000—14:13
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC112+230.220004313:56
19A. HenriqueC000010.011105413:24
90C. PerryR000+120.1703010011:33
42K. KapanenR000020.06100—09:16
48N. PhilpC000010.041008008:42
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30C. Pickard(W)34313.9122.22-0.7860:00

Season series

EDM leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).