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Edmonton Oilers at Minnesota Wild

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Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Minnesota Wild 7-1. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Connor Brown's goal at 1:55 of the second period, which took the Oilers' chances from 60% to 78%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 2.5 to 1.9; shots on goal were EDM 35, MIN 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Calvin Pickard stopped 29 of 30 (.967), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Filip Gustavsson stopped 21 of 26 (.808), 3.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Evan Bouchard (2 A), 2. Leon Draisaitl (1 G, 3 A), 3. Connor McDavid (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    E. Bouchard2 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl1 G, 3 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    C. McDavid2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM21331329735
MINMIN11306011130

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    Z. Hyman(7)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-0
    6:59
  2. EDM
    wristxG 0.13win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    15:40
  3. MIN
    deflectedxG 0.09win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-1
    18:48

2nd period

  1. EDM
    C. Brown(4)SHG
    snapxG 0.13win prob +18 ptsVideo
    3-1
    1:55
  2. EDM
    backhandxG 0.16win prob +9 ptsVideo
    4-1
    12:54
  3. EDM
    deflectedxG 0.06win prob +4 ptsVideo
    5-1
    15:54

3rd period

  1. EDM
    wristxG 0.02Video
    6-1
    6:55
  2. EDM
    D. Nurse (10), C. Brown (6)
    tip-inxG 0.07Video
    7-1
    17:26

Penalties

EDM 11 PIM·MIN 13 PIM

1st

  • 6:54MINMatt Boldy · Trippingdrawn by Zach Hyman2 min
  • 9:11MINJakub Lauko · Fightingdrawn by Ty Emberson5 min
  • 9:11EDMTy Emberson · Fightingdrawn by Jakub Lauko5 min
  • 16:51EDMJeff Skinner · Interferencedrawn by Yakov Trenin2 min
  • 19:16MINMatt Boldy · Holdingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min

2nd

  • 0:36EDMEvan Bouchard · Holding the stickdrawn by Yakov Trenin2 min
  • 10:58MINMarcus Foligno · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 16:43MINKirill Kaprizov · Hookingdrawn by Zach Hyman2 min

3rd

  • 0:22EDMMattias Ekholm · Trippingdrawn by Marco Rossi2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalEDM goalFinal: MIN 0%

Biggest swing: Connor Brown, 2nd 1:55 — EDM 60% → 78%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.18Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.17K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.16K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.12M. Rossi · Missed · xG 0.10B. Faber · Missed · xG 0.09R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.09F. Gaudreau · Goal · xG 0.09R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.07K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.07R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.07K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.06M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.05M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.05K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.05D. Shore · On goal · xG 0.05M. Khusnutdinov · Missed · xG 0.05R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.05M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.03R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.03K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.03J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.03M. Khusnutdinov · Missed · xG 0.02J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.02B. Jones · Missed · xG 0.02R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.02J. Lauko · Missed · xG 0.02B. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01D. Shore · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Bogosian · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Bogosian · Missed · xG 0.01B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.01F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Bogosian · On goal · xG 0.01Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.01M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.01B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.01B. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.00J. Merrill · On goal · xG 0.00J. Merrill · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN1 G · 1.9 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsMIN
2.57 G
All situations
1 G1.9
1.84 G
Even strength
0 G1.1
0.62 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.11 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM61%39%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.48 – 1.88

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsMIN
35
Shots on goal
30
56%
Faceoffs
44%
2/4
Power play
1/3
11
Penalty minutes
13
8
Hits
23
11
Blocked shots
14
14
Giveaways
21
3
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27B. KulakD000+130.07220—24:19
25D. NurseD022+340.08010—22:30
14M. EkholmD000+200.14042—21:32
2E. BouchardD022+100.03102—21:22
97C. McDavidC022+120.150005619:54
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC101+130.211005019:28
18Z. HymanL101+130.21100—18:42
29L. DraisaitlC134+250.240005818:03
19A. HenriqueC000030.270004216:01
49T. EmbersonD011+100.01105—15:13
13M. JanmarkC011+120.240005013:51
53J. SkinnerL000010.1101210013:10
42K. KapanenR101+210.16100—12:45
92V. PodkolzinR022+200.0301010012:19
51T. StecherD101+220.03000—12:14
28C. BrownR112+220.25100—11:53
90C. PerryR000+130.21020—11:41
10D. RyanC101+110.0700010009:33
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30C. Pickard(W)30291.9671.90+0.9059:33

Season series

EDM leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).