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Avalanche at Wild
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Minnesota Wild

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
▸6
Minnesota Wild
1
FinalTV FDSNNOX, ALT·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Minnesota Wild 6-1. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mikko Rantanen's goal at 13:00 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 67% to 85%. Expected goals were close — COL 2.6, MIN 2.5; shots on goal were COL 27, MIN 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 24 of 25 (.960), 1.5 goals saved above expected; Filip Gustavsson stopped 21 of 27 (.778), 3.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mikko Rantanen (1 G, 1 A), 2. Nathan MacKinnon (1 G, 1 A), 3. Josh Manson (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    M. Rantanen1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    J. Manson2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL2811138627
MINMIN1408013125

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    L. O'Connor(5)
    J. Manson (8)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    3:46
  2. COL
    R. Colton(13)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.12win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    16:52
  3. MIN
    Z. Bogosian(4)
    F. Gaudreau (10), Y. Trenin (4)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-1
    18:27

2nd period

  1. COL
    M. Rantanen(25)
    N. MacKinnon (53), J. Drouin (6)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +18 ptsVideo
    3-1
    13:00

3rd period

  1. COL
    P. Kelly(4)
    J. Kiviranta (4), L. O'Connor (7)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +7 ptsVideo
    4-1
    4:23
  2. COL
    A. Lehkonen(15)SHG
    J. Manson (9)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +2 ptsVideo
    5-1
    7:42
  3. COL
    N. MacKinnon(15)
    J. Drouin (7), M. Rantanen (35)
    snapxG 0.06Video
    6-1
    8:48

Penalties

COL 6 PIM·MIN 6 PIM

1st

  • 14:19MINJon Merrill · Slashingdrawn by Joel Kiviranta2 min

2nd

  • 3:41MINJake Middleton · High stickingdrawn by Jonathan Drouin2 min
  • 13:55COLJuuso Parssinen · Interferencedrawn by Marco Rossi2 min

3rd

  • 0:40MINYakov Trenin · Slashingdrawn by Sam Malinski2 min
  • 6:04COLCasey Mittelstadt · Cross checkingdrawn by Devin Shore2 min
  • 15:37COLCale Makar · Trippingdrawn by Matt Boldy2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalCOL goalFinal: MIN 0%

Biggest swing: Mikko Rantanen, 2nd 13:00 — COL 67% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
Y. Trenin · Missed · xG 0.21J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.18M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.16M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.13M. Khusnutdinov · On goal · xG 0.12J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.12M. Khusnutdinov · Missed · xG 0.10J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.10Z. Bogosian · Goal · xG 0.10J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.09R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.08F. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.08M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.08J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.08M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.08J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.08J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.08M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.07D. Shore · On goal · xG 0.06M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.05M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.05M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.05F. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.04M. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.04M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.04M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.03R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.02J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.02M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.02M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.02M. Johansson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Merrill · On goal · xG 0.01J. Merrill · Missed · xG 0.01J. Middleton · Missed · xG 0.01D. Chisholm · Missed · xG 0.01J. Middleton · Missed · xG 0.01J. Merrill · Missed · xG 0.01Y. Trenin · Missed · xG 0.01B. Jones · Missed · xG 0.01D. Jiricek · On goal · xG 0.01D. Jiricek · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Bogosian · On goal · xG 0.00B. Jones · On goal · xG 0.00T. Dermott · Missed · xG 0.00T. Dermott · On goal · xG 0.00J. Merrill · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN1 G · 2.5 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsMIN
2.66 G
All situations
1 G2.5
1.75 G
Even strength
1 G1.8
0.70 G
Power play
0 G0.8
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL52%48%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.63 – 2.50

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsMIN
27
Shots on goal
25
42%
Faceoffs
58%
0/3
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
18
Hits
18
14
Blocked shots
13
21
Giveaways
21
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8C. MakarD000010.05162—24:38
7D. ToewsD000+220.05110—22:42
42J. MansonD022+400.01400—20:58
29N. MacKinnonC112+250.220005919:44
96M. RantanenR112+330.580002018:54
62A. LehkonenL101+120.34000—18:41
27J. DrouinL022+200.19010—18:30
25L. O'ConnorR112030.33010—17:15
70S. MalinskiD000+220.04100—16:49
44C. de HaanD000+100.01210—15:37
94J. KivirantaL011+210.05000—15:28
37C. MittelstadtC000+220.070023314:10
67K. MiddletonD000+110.03210—13:48
16J. ParssinenC000+100.002027813:36
20R. ColtonC101+120.52210013:29
17P. KellyC101020.092001113:22
48T. FelhaberL000010.07100—09:05
22J. InnalaL000000.00020—07:14
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39M. Blackwood(W)25241.9602.51+1.5160:00

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).