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Wild at Avalanche
NHL

Minnesota Wild at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
2
Colorado Avalanche
▸5
FinalTV FDSNNO, ALT·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Minnesota Wild 5-2. The Wild scored first; the Avalanche answered. The Avalanche led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jack Drury's goal at 9:49 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 53% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.1 to 2.2; shots on goal were MIN 20, COL 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Filip Gustavsson stopped 25 of 29 (.862), 1.6 goals below expected; Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 18 of 20 (.900). Three stars: 1. Ross Colton (2 G, 1 A), 2. Oliver Kylington (2 A), 3. Jack Drury (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    R. Colton2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    O. Kylington2 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    J. Drury1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN2100406220
COLCOL11531213530

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    M. Zuccarello(13)
    M. Johansson (14)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    4:14
  2. COL
    V. Nichushkin(12)PPG
    N. MacKinnon (68), M. Necas (48)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-1
    13:58
  3. MIN
    V. Hinostroza(3)PPG
    B. Faber (17), M. Rossi (30)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +12 ptsVideo
    2-1
    17:42

2nd period

  1. COL
    J. Drouin(7)
    O. Kylington (2)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-2
    8:57
  2. COL
    J. Drury(6)
    C. Makar (45), R. Colton (5)
    backhandxG 0.05win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-3
    9:49
  3. COL
    R. Colton(14)
    O. Kylington (3), J. Kiviranta (6)
    snapxG 0.22win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-4
    14:39

3rd period

  1. COL
    R. Colton(15)EN
    D. Toews (22), M. Blackwood (1)
    wristxG 0.71Video
    2-5
    19:52

Penalties

MIN 6 PIM·COL 6 PIM

1st

  • 12:10MINJonas Brodin · High stickingdrawn by Artturi Lehkonen2 min
  • 16:37COLArtturi Lehkonen · High stickingdrawn by Jake Middleton2 min
  • 18:52MINMarat Khusnutdinov · Hookingdrawn by Devon Toews2 min

3rd

  • 1:45COLCasey Mittelstadt · Hookingdrawn by Mats Zuccarello2 min
  • 4:23COLNathan MacKinnon · Abuse of officials2 min
  • 18:50MINBrock Faber · Holdingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalMIN goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Jack Drury, 2nd 9:49 — COL 53% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Colton · Goal · xG 0.71R. Colton · Goal · xG 0.22V. Nichushkin · Goal · xG 0.18A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.13D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.10N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.10N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.10V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.10J. Drouin · Goal · xG 0.09C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.09C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.08N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.08J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.08R. Colton · Missed · xG 0.08C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.07V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.06M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.06R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.06M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.06A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.06D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.06J. Drury · Goal · xG 0.05N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.05J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.04C. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.04J. Kiviranta · On goal · xG 0.04C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.04M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.04V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.04D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.03S. Girard · Missed · xG 0.03R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.03V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.03O. Kylington · Missed · xG 0.02C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.02V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.02S. Malinski · Missed · xG 0.02R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.01S. Girard · Missed · xG 0.01C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.01C. de Haan · On goal · xG 0.01M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.01N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.00P. Kelly · On goal · xG 0.00V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.00
COL5 G · 3.1 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsCOL
2.22 G
All situations
4 G3.1
1.71 G
Even strength
3 G1.8
0.41 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN45%55%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.15 – 2.43

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsCOL
20
Shots on goal
30
42%
Faceoffs
58%
1/3
Power play
2/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
14
Hits
15
23
Blocked shots
19
29
Giveaways
24
7
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7B. FaberD011-220.15212—27:20
46J. SpurgeonD000000.04160—24:45
12M. BoldyL000-210.38120—22:55
5J. MiddletonD000010.05030—22:38
23M. RossiC011000.130003820:25
89F. GaudreauC000+110.040004719:39
36M. ZuccarelloR101+110.23000—18:38
18V. HinostrozaC101-110.10010018:12
90M. JohanssonL011+150.35100—18:07
25J. BrodinD000-210.12042—15:47
17M. FolignoL000-110.13200—12:32
4J. MerrillD000010.00010—12:18
13Y. TreninC000-220.06410011:12
47D. ChisholmD000000.00020—11:04
21B. GaunceC000-100.000104310:56
28L. OhgrenL000000.00200—10:50
22M. KhusnutdinovC000-210.170126009:56
94J. LaukoC000020.22100008:51
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32F. Gustavsson(L)29254.8622.44-1.5659:05

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).