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Panthers at Avalanche
NHL

Florida Panthers at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
1
Colorado Avalanche
▸3
FinalTV ALT, SCRIPPS·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Florida Panthers 3-1. The Panthers scored first; the Avalanche answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Devon Toews's goal at 8:54 of the third period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 54% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.6 to 3.1; shots on goal were FLA 27, COL 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 31 of 33 (.939), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 2.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Devon Toews (2 G, 1 A), 2. Mackenzie Blackwood (26 saves, .963), 3. Sergei Bobrovsky (31 saves, .939).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    D. Toews2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    M. Blackwood26 saves, .963
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    S. Bobrovsky31 saves, .939

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA1409014127
COLCOL01117216334

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    C. Verhaeghe(11)
    A. Lundell (18), J. Boqvist (9)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-0
    15:57

2nd period

  1. COL
    D. Toews(6)
    C. Mittelstadt (19)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +23 ptsVideo
    1-1
    18:18

3rd period

  1. COL
    D. Toews(7)
    R. Colton (3), J. Parssinen (5)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +29 ptsVideo
    1-2
    8:54
  2. COL
    M. Rantanen(25)EN
    D. Toews (16), N. MacKinnon (53)
    wristxG 0.53win prob +4 ptsVideo
    1-3
    18:03

Penalties

FLA 8 PIM·COL 6 PIM

1st

  • 8:21FLAAnton Lundell · Trippingdrawn by Josh Manson2 min
  • 19:56FLACarter Verhaeghe · Slashingdrawn by Cale Makar2 min

2nd

  • 6:00COLCasey Mittelstadt · Holdingdrawn by Sam Bennett2 min
  • 9:22FLASam Bennett · Hookingdrawn by Jonathan Drouin2 min
  • 14:45COLJonathan Drouin · Hookingdrawn by Tomas Nosek2 min
  • 18:31COLLogan O'Connor · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 6:25FLAserved by M. Tkachuk · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalFLA goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Devon Toews, 3rd 8:54 — COL 54% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Rantanen · Goal · xG 0.52C. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.31R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.17J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.15C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.15J. Parssinen · Missed · xG 0.15M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.12N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.12C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.12M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.11J. Kiviranta · Missed · xG 0.11N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.11J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.10N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.10J. Kiviranta · On goal · xG 0.10J. Drouin · Missed · xG 0.10N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.09J. Parssinen · On goal · xG 0.08M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.08C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.07A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.06D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.06J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.06J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.05T. Felhaber · On goal · xG 0.05A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.04C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.04C. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.04C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.04C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.03P. Kelly · Missed · xG 0.03J. Parssinen · On goal · xG 0.03D. Toews · Goal · xG 0.02S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.02C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.02L. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.02D. Toews · Goal · xG 0.02J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.02D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.02C. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.02N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.01K. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.01K. Middleton · Missed · xG 0.01J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.01L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.00D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.00
COL3 G · 3.6 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsCOL
3.11 G
All situations
2 G3.6
2.01 G
Even strength
2 G1.9
1.10 G
Power play
0 G1.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA49%51%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.93 – 3.03

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsCOL
27
Shots on goal
34
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/3
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
24
Hits
19
13
Blocked shots
13
10
Giveaways
8
6
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
13S. ReinhartC000-160.462004423:29
42G. ForslingD000010.02020—22:26
16A. BarkovC000-110.222106222:14
7D. KulikovD000000.03030—21:58
23C. VerhaegheC101-130.37102020:25
19M. TkachukL000-270.94010—19:49
34A. BoqvistD000010.03010—18:34
26U. BalinskisD000-100.00210—18:20
9S. BennettC000-220.093024516:55
2T. BjornfotD000-210.01100—15:29
17E. RodriguesC000020.04100015:27
88N. SchmidtD000000.00220—15:16
27E. LuostarinenC000-100.03120014:30
15A. LundellC011000.011026214:07
70J. BoqvistC011010.05300010:11
25M. SamoskevichR000000.17100—08:33
92T. NosekL000020.592003308:12
10A. GreerL000000.00200—07:12
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
72S. Bobrovsky(L)33312.9393.08+1.0858:53

Season series

COL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).