Skip to content

Anaheim Ducks at Winnipeg Jets

Final/OTTV Victory+, KCOP-13·Canada Life Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Winnipeg Jets 4-3 in overtime, Troy Terry scoring at 3:34. The Ducks came back from two goals down. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Troy Terry's goal at 3:34 of overtime, which took the Ducks' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 3.5 to 1.3; shots on goal were ANA 24, WPG 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 84% of the time. John Gibson stopped 27 of 30 (.900); Connor Hellebuyck stopped 20 of 24 (.833), 2.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Alex Iafallo (1 G, 1 A), 2. Radko Gudas (1 G, 1 A), 3. Troy Terry (2 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    A. Iafallo1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    ANA
    R. Gudas1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    T. Terry2 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
ANAANA110141812424
WPGWPG270121902330

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    wristxG 0.14win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    0:33
  2. WPG
    snapxG 0.18win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    17:17
  3. ANA
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-2
    18:58

2nd period

  1. ANA
    snapxG 0.02win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-2
    6:52

3rd period

  1. WPG
    wrap-aroundxG 0.22win prob +42 ptsVideo
    2-3
    17:16
  2. ANA
    F. Vatrano (11), T. Terry (18)
    slapxG 0.05win prob +44 ptsVideo
    3-3
    18:10

Overtime

  1. ANA
    wristxG 0.06win prob +51 ptsVideo
    4-3
    3:34

Penalties

ANA 4 PIM·WPG 0 PIM

2nd

  • 11:54ANARyan Strome · Trippingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min
  • 17:28ANARyan Strome · Cross checkingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalANA goalFinal: WPG 0%

Biggest swing: Troy Terry, OT 3:34 — ANA 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.33A. Iafallo · Goal · xG 0.22A. Lowry · Goal · xG 0.18G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.17D. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.16N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.15G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.14M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.14M. Scheifele · Goal · xG 0.14N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.12A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.12A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.11K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.10M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.09K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.09C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.09V. Namestnikov · Missed · xG 0.09C. Miller · Missed · xG 0.08D. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.07N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.07A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.06K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.05N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.05M. Barron · Missed · xG 0.05N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.05K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.04C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.04N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.04A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.04C. Perfetti · Missed · xG 0.04G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.04N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.03N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.03L. Stanley · Missed · xG 0.03N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.03A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.03C. Miller · Missed · xG 0.03A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.02N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.01N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.01N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.01N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.01N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.01N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.01N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.01C. Miller · Missed · xG 0.01C. Perfetti · Missed · xG 0.01V. Heinola · Missed · xG 0.01N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG3 G · 3.5 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsWPG
1.34 G
All situations
3 G3.5
1.34 G
Even strength
3 G2.9
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA16%84%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.34 – 3.44

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsWPG
24
Shots on goal
30
36%
Faceoffs
64%
0/0
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
0
44
Hits
26
22
Blocked shots
9
13
Giveaways
15
4
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2J. LaCombeD000+110.08310—24:55
7R. GudasD112+140.08250—24:40
65J. TroubaD000+210.01310—23:38
6B. DumoulinD011+110.01350—21:48
13R. FabbriC000-120.04210020:17
23M. McTavishC000-130.244204418:08
16R. StromeC011010.122043517:22
19T. TerryR213+130.15100—17:07
77F. VatranoR011020.05420—16:25
61C. GauthierL000-100.15200—15:47
17A. KillornL011+310.14200—15:39
43D. HellesonD000-210.01300—14:56
91L. CarlssonC101+110.070203814:42
34P. MintyukovD000-200.00400—13:50
21I. LundestromC000020.041005013:38
20B. LeasonR000+100.01200—13:21
38J. HarkinsC000000.01320010:34
44R. JohnstonL000010.14310—10:03
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Gibson(W)30273.9003.48+0.4863:26

Season series

ANA leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).