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Jets at Ducks
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at Anaheim Ducks

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
2
Anaheim Ducks
▸3
FinalTV Victory+, KCOP-13·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Winnipeg Jets 3-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Troy Terry's goal at 19:34 of the third period, which took the Ducks' chances from 52% to 99%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 3.2 to 2.5; shots on goal were WPG 23, ANA 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Eric Comrie stopped 28 of 31 (.903); Lukas Dostal stopped 21 of 23 (.913). Three stars: 1. Frank Vatrano (2 G, 1 A), 2. Jackson LaCombe (1 A), 3. Troy Terry (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    F. Vatrano2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    ANA
    J. LaCombe1 A
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    T. Terry1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG0414115223
ANAANA01211029331

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. ANA
    F. Vatrano(8)
    R. Gudas (4), R. Strome (11)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +17 ptsVideo
    0-1
    4:45
  2. WPG
    G. Vilardi(14)PPG
    N. Ehlers (17), K. Connor (22)
    tip-inxG 0.16win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    10:24

3rd period

  1. WPG
    M. Scheifele(18)
    K. Connor (23)
    slapxG 0.16win prob +27 ptsVideo
    2-1
    4:13
  2. ANA
    F. Vatrano(9)
    J. LaCombe (5), R. Gudas (5)
    snapxG 0.03win prob +40 ptsVideo
    2-2
    15:14
  3. ANA
    T. Terry(9)
    F. Vatrano (8)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +47 ptsVideo
    2-3
    19:34

Penalties

WPG 6 PIM·ANA 8 PIM

1st

  • 8:03WPGVladislav Namestnikov · Trippingdrawn by Brian Dumoulin2 min
  • 16:42ANACutter Gauthier · Hookingdrawn by Cole Perfetti2 min

2nd

  • 10:15ANARoss Johnston · Roughingdrawn by Nino Niederreiter2 min
  • 12:24WPGRasmus Kupari · Trippingdrawn by Troy Terry2 min
  • 17:30WPGLogan Stanley · Interferencedrawn by Mason McTavish2 min

3rd

  • 4:54ANAOlen Zellweger · High stickingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min
  • 16:51ANALeo Carlsson · Holdingdrawn by Josh Morrissey2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalWPG goalFinal: ANA 100%

Biggest swing: Troy Terry, 3rd 19:34 — ANA 52% → 99%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.22J. LaCombe · On goal · xG 0.19J. LaCombe · On goal · xG 0.19J. LaCombe · Missed · xG 0.18I. Lundeström · On goal · xG 0.16J. LaCombe · On goal · xG 0.15C. Gauthier · Missed · xG 0.15M. McTavish · Missed · xG 0.14R. Strome · Missed · xG 0.14P. Mintyukov · On goal · xG 0.12M. McTavish · Missed · xG 0.12F. Vatrano · Goal · xG 0.11B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.11T. Terry · Goal · xG 0.10T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.10P. Mintyukov · On goal · xG 0.08P. Mintyukov · On goal · xG 0.08R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.07J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.07L. Carlsson · Missed · xG 0.06F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.06R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.05M. McTavish · Missed · xG 0.05R. Strome · Missed · xG 0.05A. Killorn · Missed · xG 0.04J. LaCombe · On goal · xG 0.04C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.04T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.04L. Carlsson · Missed · xG 0.04C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.03F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.03J. LaCombe · Missed · xG 0.03F. Vatrano · Goal · xG 0.02A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.02O. Zellweger · Missed · xG 0.02F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.02P. Mintyukov · On goal · xG 0.02R. Strome · Missed · xG 0.01F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.01I. Lundeström · On goal · xG 0.01R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.01O. Zellweger · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01B. Dumoulin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.01I. Lundeström · On goal · xG 0.00J. Harkins · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA3 G · 3.2 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsANA
2.52 G
All situations
3 G3.2
1.51 G
Even strength
3 G3.0
1.01 G
Power play
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG37%63%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.40 – 3.18

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsANA
23
Shots on goal
31
50%
Faceoffs
50%
1/4
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
12
Hits
27
21
Blocked shots
17
12
Giveaways
9
9
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44J. MorrisseyD000010.16110—24:13
4N. PionkD000-210.04220—22:53
24H. FleuryD000-200.00030—20:51
55M. ScheifeleC101-130.290004419:42
81K. ConnorL022-130.39010—19:15
2D. DeMeloD000010.03000—18:41
13G. VilardiC101020.31010017:57
7V. NamestnikovC000-200.151025017:04
27N. EhlersL011020.17010—16:51
91C. PerfettiC000-120.08030016:17
22M. AppletonC000030.12100016:12
64L. StanleyD000000.00022—15:16
17A. LowryC000010.070206015:14
62N. NiederreiterR000-120.50210—14:20
14V. HeinolaD000000.00000—12:39
9A. IafalloL000020.16010—10:44
36M. BarronC000000.0033010009:06
15R. KupariC000000.002024007:12
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1E. Comrie(L)31283.9033.23+0.2359:33

Season series

ANA leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).