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Penguins at Red Wings
NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins at Detroit Red Wings

NHL scoreboard
Pittsburgh Penguins
2
Detroit Red Wings
▸4
FinalTV FDSNDET, SN-PIT·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 4-2. The Red Wings scored first and never trailed. The Red Wings led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was J.T. Compher's goal at 14:26 of the third period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 56% to 89%. Expected goals favored the Red Wings, 3.9 to 2.5; shots on goal were PIT 25, DET 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 21 of 24 (.875); Alex Lyon stopped 23 of 25 (.920), 0.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. J.T. Compher (1 G, 1 A), 2. Drew O'Connor (2 G), 3. Jonatan Berggren (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    J. Compher1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    PIT
    D. O'Connor2 G
  3. ★★★
    DET
    J. Berggren1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT1707111225
DETDET1711028425

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. DET
    J. Berggren(5)
    V. Tarasenko (10), J. Compher (14)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    7:52
  2. PIT
    D. O'Connor(4)
    C. Glass (8)
    slapxG 0.13win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-1
    18:29

2nd period

  1. DET
    P. Kane(7)PPG
    A. DeBrincat (13), L. Raymond (22)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-2
    3:41

3rd period

  1. PIT
    D. O'Connor(5)PPG
    E. Karlsson (23), S. Crosby (31)
    pokexG 0.33win prob +23 pts
    2-2
    3:18
  2. DET
    J. Compher(5)PPG
    E. Gustafsson (7), J. Berggren (4)
    pokexG 0.32win prob +33 ptsVideo
    2-3
    14:26
  3. DET
    D. Larkin(13)EN
    L. Raymond (23), J. Veleno (4)
    snapxG 0.77win prob +2 ptsVideo
    2-4
    19:46

Penalties

PIT 6 PIM·DET 6 PIM

1st

  • 4:15PITEvgeni Malkin · Slashingdrawn by Alex DeBrincat2 min

2nd

  • 2:50PITCody Glass · Trippingdrawn by Marco Kasper2 min
  • 9:46DETDylan Larkin · Holdingdrawn by Sidney Crosby2 min

3rd

  • 1:45DETJeff Petry · Trippingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min
  • 7:53DETSimon Edvinsson · High stickingdrawn by Michael Bunting2 min
  • 12:55PITErik Karlsson · Trippingdrawn by J.T. Compher2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalPIT goalFinal: DET 100%

Biggest swing: J.T. Compher, 3rd 14:26 — DET 56% → 89%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Larkin · Goal · xG 0.77J. Compher · Goal · xG 0.32J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.26D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.21L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.19D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.18J. Veleno · On goal · xG 0.15J. Berggren · Goal · xG 0.15L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.15M. Rasmussen · On goal · xG 0.13M. Seider · Missed · xG 0.10D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.09M. Seider · Missed · xG 0.09A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.09A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.09J. Veleno · On goal · xG 0.08V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.07P. Kane · Goal · xG 0.07M. Kasper · On goal · xG 0.06A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.06A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.06P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.06M. Kasper · On goal · xG 0.05A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.05S. Edvinsson · On goal · xG 0.05E. Gustafsson · Missed · xG 0.04V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.03B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.03D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.03J. Compher · Missed · xG 0.02P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.02B. Chiarot · Missed · xG 0.02L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.02E. Gustafsson · Missed · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · Missed · xG 0.01V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.01L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.01J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.01L. Raymond · Missed · xG 0.00J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.00
DET4 G · 3.9 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsDET
2.52 G
All situations
3 G3.9
1.61 G
Even strength
1 G2.0
0.91 G
Power play
2 G1.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT37%63%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.34 – 3.05

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsDET
25
Shots on goal
25
44%
Faceoffs
56%
1/3
Power play
2/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
9
Hits
18
13
Blocked shots
18
13
Giveaways
7
5
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
24M. GrzelcykD000+100.00110—21:37
28M. PetterssonD000-130.03010—21:36
87S. CrosbyC011-100.001004421:15
65E. KarlssonD011030.15012—21:06
73P. JosephD000-110.01130—19:51
17B. RustR000-110.37100—18:52
71E. MalkinC000-210.260022518:17
67R. RakellR000-140.42040—17:25
8M. BuntingL000-200.00000—16:55
55N. AcciariC000000.001005615:09
27R. GravesD000000.01000—14:56
5R. SheaD000000.01110—14:28
10D. O'ConnorL202+140.69100—14:02
83M. NietoL000020.04100—13:55
53P. TomasinoR000+130.10110—13:29
46B. LizotteC000010.000007111:38
72A. BeauvillierR000-110.29000—11:25
19C. GlassC011+110.130122911:09
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39A. Nedeljkovic(L)24213.8753.09+0.0958:33

Season series

DET leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).