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Red Wings at Penguins
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Pittsburgh Penguins

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
▸3
Pittsburgh Penguins
2
Final/OTTV TNT, MAX·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 3-2 in overtime, Simon Edvinsson scoring at 1:30. The Red Wings scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Simon Edvinsson's goal at 1:30 of overtime, which took the Red Wings' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 3.5 to 2.0; shots on goal were DET 31, PIT 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. Cam Talbot stopped 31 of 33 (.939), 1.5 goals saved above expected; Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 28 of 31 (.903), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Simon Edvinsson (1 G), 2. Bryan Rust (1 G), 3. Patrick Kane (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    S. Edvinsson1 G
  2. ★★
    PIT
    B. Rust1 G
  3. ★★★
    DET
    P. Kane1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
DETDET0122110711331
PITPIT01021201001233

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. DET
    J. Berggren(1)
    V. Tarasenko (2), J. Petry (2)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-0
    1:00
  2. DET
    P. Kane(3)PPG
    D. Larkin (3), L. Raymond (13)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-0
    5:15
  3. PIT
    B. Rust(4)
    M. Bunting (2)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-1
    7:19
  4. PIT
    A. Beauvillier(5)
    M. Pettersson (7), S. Crosby (11)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +20 ptsVideo
    2-2
    12:23

Overtime

  1. DET
    S. Edvinsson(2)
    A. DeBrincat (7), P. Kane (7)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +51 ptsVideo
    3-2
    1:30

Penalties

DET 4 PIM·PIT 4 PIM

2nd

  • 4:24PITSam Poulin · Trippingdrawn by Michael Rasmussen2 min
  • 14:15PITDrew O'Connor · Hookingdrawn by Andrew Copp2 min
  • 17:26DETBen Chiarot · High stickingdrawn by Drew O'Connor2 min

3rd

  • 0:36DETMoritz Seider · Cross checkingdrawn by Anthony Beauvillier2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalDET goalFinal: PIT 0%

Biggest swing: Simon Edvinsson, OT 1:30 — DET 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.27E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.26S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.17K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.17R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.16E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.15B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.14S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.14R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.13S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.12E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.11S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.10A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.10E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.09N. Acciari · Missed · xG 0.09B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.09B. Rust · Goal · xG 0.08S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.07E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.07E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.07S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.07B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.06S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.06B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.06R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.05E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.05M. Grzelcyk · Missed · xG 0.05K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.05E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.04B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.04E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.04B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.03A. Beauvillier · Goal · xG 0.03D. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.03K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.03M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.02E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Bunting · Missed · xG 0.02K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.02S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.02R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.02B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.02E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.02R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.01S. Poulin · Missed · xG 0.01J. Puljujarvi · Missed · xG 0.01K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.01D. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.01K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.00K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.00S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT2 G · 3.5 xG · 55 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsPIT
2.03 G
All situations
2 G3.5
1.72 G
Even strength
2 G2.5
0.31 G
Power play
0 G1.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET26%74%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.97 – 3.43

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsPIT
31
Shots on goal
33
55%
Faceoffs
45%
1/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
15
Hits
18
24
Blocked shots
17
20
Giveaways
20
9
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
53M. SeiderD000-130.16442—23:55
77S. EdvinssonD101040.32030—22:54
8B. ChiarotD000+120.02142—20:02
23L. RaymondL011020.07000—19:53
46J. PetryD011010.02220—19:42
71D. LarkinC011020.120007119:17
93A. DeBrincatR011+130.121005017:51
88P. KaneR112020.21010—17:01
3J. HollD000-110.04120—16:19
56E. GustafssonD000010.39010—16:10
37J. CompherL000-200.001203315:55
18A. CoppC000-100.000307515:09
92M. KasperC000+120.081104314:44
27M. RasmussenC000-100.01110013:06
48J. BerggrenR101+130.20000—12:51
11V. TarasenkoR011+140.22000—12:13
36C. FischerR000-110.01200—11:49
90J. VelenoC000000.001003311:39
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39C. Talbot(W)33312.9393.54+1.5461:30

Season series

DET leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).